Williams Perez Daily Fantasy News, Rankings, Projections

Williams Perez has a 70.8 GB% against right-handed bats in eight starts this season and had a 56.9 GB% against them last season. Playing in pitcher-friendly Petco Park, we will likely have to take the right-handed bats out of consideration. With a 3.97 run projection (6th lowest), the Padres don't have much upside in this matchup. If you're still looking for some production in this game to differentiate your lineup, Yangervis Solarte (.452 wOBA, 193 wRC+ L14) has been hot over the last couple weeks, has multi-position eligibility, and only cost $3.5K on DraftKings.

Williams Perez has successfully been generating a lot of weak ground balls (4.7 Hard-Soft%, 59.2 GB%), but has just a 3.7 K-BB% and a .231 BABIP keeping his ERA below four. Lefties have pounded him for a .359 wOBA in his career, giving Justin Bour (129 wRC+, .257 ISO vs RHP since last season) great value in the 3rd spot for just $3.5K. He has a 94.2 mph aEV this season. With Yelich and Stanton remaining out, Derek Dietrich (137 wRC+, .215 ISO vs RHP since 2015) would the other strong play here at a similar cost, but Mattingly continues to drop him in the batting order in favor of much lesser hitters vs RHP.

David Freese replaces Starling Marte (paternity list) in the cleanup spot, while Matt Joyce replaces him in the OF tonight against Williams Perez, who went eight strong against the Phillies as a last minute replacement in his last start, but has totaled 12.1 innings with more walks (eight) than strikeouts (six) in his other three starts. He's been average vs RHBs (.311 wOBA) since his callup last year, but gotten hammered by LHBs (.373 wOBA). Unfortunately, the Pirates don't have many LHBs, but the two at the top are decent plays. John Jaso (123 wRC+ vs RHP since last season) would be the value play for $3.5K or less at the top of the lineup, while Gregory Polanco (114 wRC+ vs RHP) remains aggressively priced for his output to this point. Matt Joyce is in a good spot batting 6th, but has just an 89 wRC+ vs RHP since last year without a great discount. Andrew McCutchen (139 wRC+, .201 ISO vs RHP since 2015) is a normally matchup and handedness proof OF bat, but is also very aggressively priced in a tough park. He has been hot (194 wRC+ last seven days) and retains a 253 foot average distance on batted balls this year.

Williams Perez (starting after Jhoulys Chacin) has a 3.5 K-BB% with an ERA and estimators just below five in 129 major league innings with a .379 wOBA allowed to LHBs. This gives some value to those cheap Phillies bats at the top of the order, namely Odubel Herrera (119 wRC+ vs RHP) and Ryan Howard (.239 ISO vs RHP since 2015), each below $4K on DraftKings with Howard being MUCH cheaper on FanDuel ($2.2K). Cesar Hernandez is not a strong hitter (82 wRC+ vs RHP), but can be looked at for under $3K against a weak pitcher at the top of the order, while Perez hasn't had great success against RHBs either (.325 wOBA), keeping Maikel Franco (115 wRC+, .196 ISO vs RHP) in play for under $3.5K.

Julio Teheran isn't bad at home, but is hittable. His replacement tonight, Williams Perez, should be punished. He has an ERA with estimators near five since his introduction to the major leagues last season with just a 14.0 K% and 11.4 BB%. LHBs, with which the Dodgers stack the lineup, have a .392 wOBA against him. He handles RHBs better (.255 wOBA), but that's just two men tonight and Justin Turner has a significant reverse platoon split (148 wRC+ vs RHP since last season). In fact, after Utley (84 wRC+), who draws significant value from being in the leadoff spot, every other Dodger batter has a 109 or better wRC+ vs RHP since last season with the remaining LHBs all at 117 wRC+ or better. Seager (154 wRC+) and Gonzalez (132 wRC+) are your top bats vs RHP, but the Dodgers LHBs + Turner offer an excellent stacking opportunity against a bad pitcher tonight.

Giancarlo Stanton has a .275 ISO, 45.2 Hard% vs RHP, 161 wRC+ at home since last season and now they've moved the fences in. Williams Perez's days should be numbered in any starting rotation. He's walked 10.1% of the batters he's faced and allowed 14 HRs in just 121.1 career innings. He generated just 4.8% swings and misses in his first start, which didn't last long. Dee Gordon should be able to get on and run wild or just wait for Yelich (128 wRC+ vs RHP since last year) or Stanton to drive him in. Justin Bour is a LH power bat (125 wRC+, .244 ISO vs RHP), who is slumping and has dropped in the order, but Perez has allowed a .376 wOBA to LHBs. Miami has the 4th highest run projections (4.34) on our Vegas Odds page tonight.