| Date | Opp | DKSAL | FDSAL | DKFPTS | FDFPTS | k | ip | ab | sho | w | hra | l | er | cg | ha | 3ba | bba | sba | ibba | whip | hbp | qstart | 1ba | k/9 | 2ba |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-08-01 | @ ARI | -- | -- | 7.9 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 0 |
Yefry Ramirez Daily Fantasy News, Rankings, Projections
Value Bats Available in Cleveland’s Lineup
The Indians will face Yefry Ramirez this afternoon, who owned an ugly 5.92 ERA / 5.25 xFIP in 2018 with an 8.8% BB rate and 45.2% FB rate. The Indians are projected for the 2nd highest total of the day with a 5.93 implied total vs. Ramirez, yet have a number of bats who feel very underpriced. Jason Kipnis will bat 2nd at just $4k on Draftkings; he has a .365 xwOBA vs. RHP so far this year. Carlos Santana will bat 3rd at just $4.2k and is the owner of a 103 wRC+ and .176 ISO vs. RHP since 2018. Carlos Gonzalez bats 4th at just $3.5k and has a 99 wRC+ and .183 ISO vs. RHP since 2018. Jose Ramirez follows him and is just $4.1k due to a rough 2019 thus far; however he is still the owner of a 135 wRC+ and .267 ISO vs. RHP since 2018 with 46 steals over that timeframe. Jake Bauers bats 6th at just $3.7k with a 97 wRC+ and .168 ISO vs. RHP since 2018. Francisco Lindor isn’t a “value” at $5k but is certainly in play in a great matchup where he’ll leadoff and has a 115 wRC+ and .234 ISO vs. RHP since 2018.
Missing bats makes exposure to top lineup more affordable
After conceding the division to the Red Sox last night, the Yankees appear to have let up in their posted lineup against Baltimore tonight. Although some regulars will rest, this is still an extremely potent lineup against a rookie who has struggled against LHBs this season (.363 wOBA, 27.9 GB%) in a dangerous park. The lone positive is that Yefry Ramirez has held batters from either side of the plate below a 30 Hard%, but the ball doesn't have to be hit incredibly hard to do damage at Yankee Stadium and Ramirez will be backed by one of the worst bullpens in baseball. The Yankees may have done DFS players a favor by making exposure to the top projected lineup tonight (5.95 implied runs) by nearly one-half run a bit more affordable. Aaron Judge (150 wRC+, .254 ISO vs RHP this season) and Didi Gregorius (128 wRC+, .254 ISO) can be supplemented by more affordable bats in Aaron Hicks (127 wRC+, .185 ISO), Andrew McCutchen (115 wRC+, .158 ISO) and Luke Voit (168 wRC+, .303 ISO) surrounding them.
Daily Bullpen Alert: Five pens above a five FIP and below a 10 K-BB% last 30 days
Six bullpens exceed a five FIP over the last month, five of them below a 10 K-BB% as well, all in action on Friday night. The Marlins (5.58 FIP, 9.1 K-BB%) are at home against the Red (59 wRC+ last seven days) and send Wei-Yin Chen to the mound (.266 xwOBA at home this year). The Orioles (5.41 FIP, 9.6 K-BB%) send Yefry Ramirez to Yankee Stadium tonight. The Twins (5.24 FIP, 9.8 K-BB%) have Jose Berrios on the mound in Oakland. The Cardinals (5.08 FIP, 6.5 K-BB%) are starting Jon Gant (5.1 IP per start), but at home against the Giants. The Nationals (5.02 FIP, 11.9 K-BB%) are at home behind Joe Ross in his second start against the Mets. The Royals (5.02 FIP, 5.6 K-BB%) start HR prone Ian Kennedy in Detroit. It doesn't look like there are a lot of ideal spots among that group, due to starting pitcher, park or opposition. The Yankee bats would be the obvious exception. One more situation to mention is the Rangers (4.98 FIP, 10.7 K-BB%), who are going with a bullpen day at home against the Mariners.
Boom or Bust Cheapie
There's a whole lot of ways that this could end badly, but conversely there are a whole lot of ways where this could end with Ramirez as the top scoring PT/$ play of the night. On the year, Ramirez has not been a great pitcher from a real life perspective. He's walking a ton of guys, getting average K's, and owns a sky high 5.59 xFIP, but his matchup leaves him with a ton of upside. In the Sox projected lineup, there is a projected 25.8% k rate and realistically, that number should probably be higher. There are only 3 bats in the lineup with under a 25% k rate and only 1 bat with over an 8% walk rate which should drastically add to Ramirez's safety. Yes, he has huge FB numbers, but as long as he can land on the right side of HR/FB variance he can cruz through this lineup.
Top projected lineup tonight could be a bit over-priced
Despite the continued absence of Aaron Judge and an interesting arm on the mound against them (Yefry Ramirez 25.6 K%, 13.4 SwStr%, 3.49 ERA, 3.83 SIERA), the Yankees still top the board by a wide margin with a 5.75 run line. No other team is currently above 5.5 and only one other offense is above 5.1 runs. While Ramirez has had some issues with LHBs (.348 wOBA), his xwOBA is 48 points lower and just 10 points above his .290 xwOBA against RHBs, but lefties don't have to do much to do damage in this park. It's difficult to find the Yankee bat you need in your lineup without Judge though. Each of the first eight batters are above a 100 wRC+ vs RHP over the last calendar year, but none are above 120. Miguel Andujar (120 wRC+, .174 ISO) is the only batter two through seven below a .200 ISO, but nobody is above .250 vs RHP over the same span. Cost makes this a difficult lineup to stack, though it seems more possible on FanDuel. Giancarlo Stanton (118 wRC+, .250 ISO) is the lineup's top bat. Pay up for Yankee bats if you want, but it doesn't seem a necessity against an interesting arm.
Daily Bullpen Alert: Bullpens in motion
Bullpen analysis is very difficult to do today (or this week) with moving pieces all around the league. Relievers may be traded during the writing of this post. Going by the last 30 days, the Indians (5.56 FIP, 9.7 K-BB%) and Indians (5.26 FIP, 14.3 K-BB%) are the only two pens above a five FIP, but both have recently acquired top end of the bullpen arms and the Cleveland pen has been above average by K-BB. Focusing on pitchers who are averaging five innings or less per start, there are four of them plus that special situation in Tampa Bay, where Stanek and Yarbrough should combine for around seven innings. Sam Gaviglio and Drew Pomeranz are the only members of that club with more than five starts on the season. Gaviglio has been fine and while the Toronto pen has a 15.8 K-BB% over the last month, it comes with a 4.67 FIP. Pomeranz has been terrible, but the Boston bullpen has been better (3.71 FIP, 15.5 K-BB%). Wade Miley has a great park and strong bullpen behind him (3.65 FIP, 15.1 K-BB%) with some arms more concerning than others. Yefry Ramirez pitches in Yankee Stadium with the Orioles (4.23 FIP, 13.4 K-BB%) moving some pieces around this week. The Royals (4.49 FIP), Mets (4.86), Marlins (4.49) and Cardinals (4.26) all have a sub-7 K-BB% over the last 30 days.
High priced bats face a rookie who has been pretty good so far.
Even on the road, in what should be considered a slight park downgrade, the Red Sox still have a 5.2 implied run line that's fourth best on the board in Baltimore. Yefry Ramirez has not been that bad though. In fact, he hasn't been bad at all. After a 24 K% (7.3 BB%) through 14 AAA starts, he’s struck out 24 of his first 97 major league batters with a .283 xwOBA, 86.3 mph aEV and 4.8% Barrels/BBE. He's not likely to shut down the top half of this Boston offense, but he doesn't have to do much for less than $6K in an SP2 spot on DraftKings. Against Ramirez through four starts (plus one long relief appearance), RHBs have just a .229 wOBA with a 54.3 GB%. That's going to regress, but even xwOBA has them at just .262. Mookie Betts (137 wRC+, .228 ISO vs RHP last calendar year) and J.D. Martinez (177 wRC+, .384 ISO) are rarely poor plays, but are extremely expensive where you might be able to find better outfield values tonight. Andrew Benintendi (145 wRC+, .211 ISO) may be the top bat in this spot, as LHBs have a .353 wOBA and 36 GB% against Ramirez so far. There may be some regression going the other way there too though. LHBs have just a .304 xwOBA against Ramirez.