Yovani Gallardo Daily Fantasy News, Rankings, Projections

A crack at Yovani Gallardo (.385 xwOBA) and the Texas bullpen gets the Angels to near five implied runs for the second night in a row despite the negative run environment at home. RHBs have scorched Gallardo for a .413 wOBA and Statcast brings LHBs up to a .376 xwOBA against him this year. It truly is a stars and scrubs lineup for the Angels though. Mike Trout (198 wRC+, .338 ISO) might be the top overall bat on the board. Shohei Ohtani (181 wRC+, .341 ISO) is $1K less. Justin Upton (145 wRC+, .237 ISO) is the other big bat.

As they were last night, the Rays are the top projected offense on the board (5.70) and one of just three teams even above five implied runs tonight. Yovani Gallardo is the opponent in Texas. RHBs have a .412 wOBA against him this season and it's backed by a .393 xwOBA. You could say he's been much better against LHBs, but even that's a .332 wOBA that's boosted to .376 by xwOBA. The point is, Tampa Bay bats look really good up and down the lineup. Ji-Man Choi (147 wRC+, .269 ISO vs RHP this year), C.J. Cron (109 wRC+, .232 ISO) and Brandon Lowe (128 wRC+, .224 ISO) are the power bats here. Joey Wendle (114 wRC+, .134 ISO) is the affordable leadoff bat. It's tough to find many spots where players can go wrong against a starter and bullpen that have been pummeled in the most positive run environment on the board.

It's not very common to see a west coast park boast an offense with a top three implied run line on a full slate, but on a board loaded with high end pitching, the Texas Rangers are offering up Yovani Gallardo (13.7 K%, 5.50 SIERA, .368 xwOBA) in Oakland. Same handed batters have a .393 wOBA against Gallardo this year, though batters from either side are within four points of a .370 xwOBA. Matt Chapman (150 wRC+, .276 ISO) and Khris Davis (143 wRC+. .317 ISO) have done the most damage against RHP this year. Ramon Laureano (136 wRC+, .235 ISO) is a small sample superstar, but a very affordable leadoff bat. In all, each of the first six batters in the order are above a 115 wRC+ and .200 ISO against RHP this year.

Arizona has very graciously given us early access to the most potently projected offense on the slate. No other offense is within a half run of their board topping 5.74 implied run line in Texas against Yovani Gallardo (13.7 K%, 5.52 SIERA, .362 xwOBA). Gallardo is not an exceptionally hard contact prone pitcher (LHBs 30.7 Hard% since last season), but has terrible peripherals (K-BB has surpassed 6% since 2015). This is a pitcher type against whom stacks would seem most beneficial if we expect the bases to be crowded. The major difference in tonight's lineup for the D'Backs vs Monday is the absence of A.J. Pollock with David Peralta (137 wRC+, .228 ISO vs RHP last calendar year) dropping to third and Jon Jay (96 wRC+, .102 ISO) leading off. Jay has some value out of the leadoff spot here and costs just $2.5K on FanDuel. Paul Goldschmidt (122 wRC+, .216 ISO) and Eduardo Escobar (141 wRC+, .315 ISO) are other obvious bats here. Daniel Descalso (117 wRC+, .197 ISO) is the only other bat in the lineup above an 85 wRC+ against RHP over the last calendar year. Batters from either side of the plate are above a .330 wOBA and within three points of a .360 xwOBA against Gallardo since last season.

At 6.13 implied runs, the Mariners easily lead the slate, even well above the Rockies at Coors. That's because Yovani Gallardo (14.3 K%) has an ERA above six with estimators all above five, more due to a 3.3 K-BB% than contact issues (4.5% Barrels/BBE). These are the kind of pitchers players should want to stack against, as there should be plenty of traffic on the bases, though we may not necessarily be looking for individual home runs. Gallardo has allowed three HRs in four starts at home this year. None the less, Nelson Cruz (163 wRC+, .298 ISO vs RHP last calendar year) has been on fire (246 wRC+, five HRs last seven days) and is the clear top bat on this team and perhaps even the top value, even at a high price,in this spot. Mitch Haniger (135 wRC+, .227 ISO) is the only other batter in the lineup above a 120 wRC+ vs RHP over the last calendar year. While LHBs have a .339 wOBA against Gallardo that's 26 points lower than RHBs since last season, xwOBA puts batters from either side within three points of .360. It's hard to find an unplayable Seattle bat among the first eight in the order, considering the damage Mike Zunino (116 wRC+, .230 ISO) can do in the eighth spot at a tough position.

Each of the top four implied run lines play in positive run environments tonight. Then there's the Astros running fifth (5.33 runs) in the most negative run environment in baseball because they are facing Yovani Gallardo (13 K%, 5.40 SIERA, .387 xwOBA). Batters from either side of the plate are above a .340 wOBA against him since last year with no split in his xwOBA at .365. Jose Altuve removes a big bat from this lineup, but it also leaves Alex Bregman (133 wRC+, .204 ISO vs RHP last calendar year) and George Springer (101 wRC+, .166 ISO) as the only really expensive ones. No other bat in the lineup is above $4K on DraftKings or $3K on FanDuel. However, Evan Gattis (92 wRC+, .207 ISO) is also the only other bat above a .190 ISO against RHP. This is a competent lineup, but not a juggernaut in a tough park without Altuve and Correa.

At home, against Yovani Gallardo (15.5 K%, 4.97 SIERA, .359 xwOBA), the Red Sox own a board topping 6.15 implied run line, a total that has been rising this afternoon. Batters from either side of the plate have handled Gallardo well since last season (between a .346 and .362 wOBA and xwOBA). Further bad news for him is that Mookie Betts (133 wRC+, .234 ISO vs RHP last calendar year), Andrew Benintendi (136 wRC+, .200 ISO), J.D. Martinez (183 wRC+, .391 ISO) and Xander Bogaerts (105 wRC+, .188 ISO) all exceed a 200 wRC+ and 45% hard hit rate over the last week. Mitch Moreland (112 wRC+, .229 ISO) is the other potent bat in this lineup. Paying up for Boston bats may be viable if passing on high priced arms tonight, virtually impossible as a group if not.

Yovani Gallardo pitched into the eighth inning with three runs and seven strikeouts against the White Sox last time out, but still has a nine ERA over 20 innings this year with four HRs. In 150 innings since last season, batters from either side of the plate are above a .340 wOBA and xwOBA against him. The Detroit lineup does not look encouraging, but there are only five teams above them on tonight's board at a respectable four and a half implied runs. Nick Castellanos (112 wRC+, .211 ISO) is, by far, the best hitter in the lineup against RHP over the last calendar year, but some near competent bats cost much less in John Hicks (97 wRC+, .154 ISO), Niko Goodrum (87 wRC+, .201 ISO) and Mikie Mahtook (101 wRC+, .151 ISO) for the minimum price on FanDuel ($3.2K on DK) in the leadoff spot.

It takes an extremely positive run environment and Yovani Gallardo to approach five implied runs for the White Sox (4.88). In two starts, Gallardo has allowed nine runs over 9.1 innings with three HRs, five walks and seven strikeouts. Since last season, batters from either side of the plate have a wOBA and xwOBA between .350 and .370 against him and he's not even generating ground balls at an above average rate any longer. There's some value in this White Sox lineup in this spot. Yoan Moncada (117 wRC+, .213 ISO vs RHP last calendar year) and Jose Abreu (131 wRC+, .242 ISO) are the top bats with Avisail Garcia (110 wRC+, .150 ISO) and Daniel Palka (89 wRC+, .203 ISO) are the cheaper ones. Players looking for a catching punt can consider Kevan Smith (103 wRC+, .086 ISO), batting fifth.

While there may be a game at Coors tonight, the Red Sox actually have the highest projected run line (5.48) against Yovani Gallardo at Fenway, while the Rockiers are only fifth with 5.1 implied runs in a difficult matchup against Carlos Martinez under normal circumstances. Despite a deep pitching slate, six lineups still project for five runs or more tonight, though the Yankees may drop a bit going from Graveman to Manaea. A St Louis stack is likely to be popular (5.38 runs is second most) as they don't appear to be priced up enough for Coors against Antonio Senzatela, who's 3.67 ERA is a product of a .252 BABIP and 78.1 LOB%. A 6.3 SwStr% could make the regression even more difficult (4.87 SIERA). A spot where players could see less than warranted ownership is in Cleveland, where the Tribe takes on Ian Kennedy, who's 4.06 ERA (4.84 SIERA) is a product of .198 BABIP. His career high 11.7 BB% matches his rate of Barrels/BBE, which is the highest on the board. Kennedy has allowed at least 25 HRs in five of the last seven seasons and Cleveland bats graded very highly in our Trendspotting article today (premium subscription required). Unfortunately, players will have to choose between Carlos Santana (126 wRC+, .238 ISO vs RHP since 2015) and Edwin Encarnacion (139 wRC+, .272 ISO vs RHP since 2015), but both have a 50% hard hit rate over the last week. Francisco Lindor (118 wRC+, .163 ISO vs RHP career) and Jason Kipnis (128 wRC+, .177 ISO vs RHP since 2015) could help fill out middle infield needs, the latter finally seeming to get on track with a 135 wRC+ over the last week and a career 95.2 mph aEV against Kennedy (12 BBEs).