Hey everyone, welcome to the daily sports betting breakdown here on RotoGrinders. If you haven’t seen the article before, we are giving you our favorite picks, as well as the information you need to further your sports betting knowledge, from one of the top games on the slate every Monday-Friday.
Now, let’s get to the breakdown for February 5th, 2019: Detroit Pistons at New York Knicks.
Historical Numbers Against the Spread
The Detroit Pistons are currently on the bubble for the playoffs right now ranking 9th in the Eastern Conference with a record of 23-29 and are 5-5 in their last 10, while the Knicks rank dead last in the east with a record of 10-42 and have lost 13 straight. While I try to pick some of the more interesting games one the slate, today’s slate isn’t great and this game has some interesting trends this year.
Knicks Historical Numbers Against the Spread
The Knicks have been one of the worst teams in the league this year to bet on with a record of 22-27-3 ATS. While the Knicks have been a decent team to bet on on the road (13-13 ATS), they have been the 2nd worst team in the league to bet on at home with a record of 8-14-2 ATS. Additionally, the Knicks have done poorly on a full days rest this season with a record of 12-14-3 ATS. Overall, this is a very bad spot for the Knicks to cover.
Pistons Historical Numbers Against the Spread
Much like the Knicks, the Pistons have been a bit of a let down this season, and as such, they have been one of the worst teams to bet on this season going 23-28-1, however this spot actually sets up as a decent spot for them to cover. While a preliminary glace would see that the Pistons are playing on the second of a back to back on the road after a big win, the Pistons have actually performed decently in this spot. The Pistons are .500 ATS this season on the road (12-12 ATS) and are .500 on the second half of a back to back (3-3 ATS). While this may not seem like a good spot for them to cover, in comparison to how they’ve performed at home and with full rest, this is a above average spot for the Pistons to cover.
Historical Numbers on the Total
Detroit has played at one of the slowest paces in the league ranking 23rd, and have been an above average team defensively (ranking 11th in defensive efficiency), while ranking near the bottom of the league in offensive efficiency (23rd). The Knicks have played at a league average pace this year ranking 15th in the NBA, while being one of the worst offensive (27th in offensive efficiency) and defensive teams (28th in defensive efficiency).
Knicks Historical Numbers on the Total
Even though the Knicks play at an average pace and are terrible on defense, they are such a bad offensive team that they often get blown out and as such, they are a below average team at covering the over going 25-27 this year. While the Knicks have been an average team at covering the over, they are well below average at home going 10-14 on the season and have been horrible on a full days rest going 11-18. Overall, this is a very bad spot for the Knicks to cover on the over.
Pistons Historical Numbers on the Total
Detroit has been one of the worst teams in the league betting the over on this season going 21-29-2 thus far this year. Additionally, they have been the second worst team in the league at covering on the road going 8-14-2 and have only gone 1-5 win back to backs this year. This is a terrible spot for the Pistons to cover the over.
My Picks
