Hey everyone, welcome to the daily sports betting breakdown here on RotoGrinders, where we are not only give you some of our favorite bets on one of the more exciting games of the night, but also all the historical numbers on the spread and total to help you improve your sports betting knowledge. We’ve been off to a nice start since we’ve started giving picks and are 9-2 overall. We had won 8 straight until a loser last night, but let’ right the ship tonight.
Now, let’s get to the breakdown for February 8th, 2019: the Milwaukee Bucks at Dallas Mavericks.
Historical Numbers Against the Spread
Tonight’s matchup features one of the top teams in the Eastern Conference going up against a bubble team in the Western Conference. The Mavericks currently sit at 11th in the Western Conference with a record of 25-28 and are 5-5 in their last 10, while the Bucks currently sit at 1st in the Eastern Conference with a record of 40-13 and are 9-1 in their last 10.
Bucks Historical Numbers Against the Spread
The Bucks have been one of the best teams in the league to bet on this year ranking second in the NBA with a record of 31-19-3 ATS. While the Bucks have been well above average at home this year ATS, they have only been slightly above average on the road going 14-10-2 ATS including a 10-8-2 record has a road favorite. Additionally, the Bucks have gone 21-11 ATS on one days rest, but have only gone 9-9 ATS in non-conference games. Overall, this is a slightly above average spot for the Bucks to cover.
Mavericks Historical Numbers Against the Spread
No team has covered at a higher rate than the Mavericks this season owning a ridiculous 34-19 ATS record. While the Mavericks have been a slightly above average team on the road this year, they have gone 19-7 ATS at home which ranks 1st in the NBA by a 3% margin. Additionally, Dallas has gone 18-11 ATS on one days rest and 16-5 in non-conference games this season which ranks 1st in the NBA. Overall, this is a great spot for the Mavs to cover.
Historical Numbers on the Total
The Bucks currently rank 5th in the NBA in pace while ranking 1st in defensive efficiency and 4th in offensive efficiency, while the Mavericks rank 19th in pace while ranking 11th in defensive efficiency and 19th in offensive efficiency.
Bucks Historical Numbers on the Total
The Bucks have been a slightly below average team at covering on the over this season going 25-27-1 which ranks 21st in the NBA. While the Bucks have done well on the over at home this season, they have a different team on the road going 11-15 and 8-12 as a road favorite. Additionally, the Bucks have been in low scoring games on one days rest going 14-18. Overall, this is a bad spot for the Bucks to cover on the over.
Mavericks Historical Numbers on the Total
Dallas has been one of the worst teams in to bet the over on this season going 21-29-3 which ranks 26th in the league. Additionally, they have been bad at covering the over at home going 10-14-2, 10-18-1 on a full days rest, and 5-15-1 in non-conference game which rank worst in the NBA. Overall, this is a terrible spot for the Mavericks to cover.
My Picks
(Top photo: Jeff Hanisch/USA TODAY Sports)