Saturday CBB Opening Betting Lines Report: Duke Rare Underdogs At Virginia

(USA Today Sports Images)

March Madness is just over a month away and there are some pivotal games Saturday that will impact seeding, highlighted by a much-anticipated rematch between Duke and Virginia. The Blue Devils are a betting underdog for just the second time this season as Virginia opened a 2-point favorite at home.

No. 2 Duke Blue Devils at No. 3 Virginia Cavaliers, 6:00 p.m. ET

Opening Line: Virginia -2

This game is a rematch of the 72-70 thriller Duke won at home on Jan. 19. Not only was it one of the best games of the season, it also featured one of the worst beats. The Blue Devils closed as 3.5-point favorites and led by four in the final seconds but De’Andre Hunter’s shot at the buzzer covered the spread for Virginia backers.

Zion Williamson (27) and R.J. Barrett (30) combined for 57 points in the first meeting to lead Duke. Hunter scored a team-high 18 points for Virginia, including the three-point dagger for Duke bettors as time expired. Saturday’s winner will take over sole possession of first place in the ACC.

Since the loss, Virginia has rattled off four straight wins but the Cavaliers are just 2-2 ATS. Overall though, Virginia is a profitable 16-5 ATS and 8-3 versus the number at home on the season.

Duke hasn’t been an underdog since its opening game versus Kentucky. The Blue Devils crushed Kentucky 118-84 as 2.5-point dogs. Duke has covered three straight and four of its last five since the ATS loss to Virginia.

Despite featuring multiple future NBA lottery picks, the Blue Devils are surprisingly one of the top under teams in the country. Duke is 15-5-1 to the under this season. The first time the two teams met, the game went over the total of 136.

In his latest Bracketology, ESPN’s Joe Lunardi has both teams firmly entrenched as No. 1 seeds. A loss on Saturday by Virginia or Duke won’t impact either team’s seeding.

Duke is also the clear favorite to win the NCAA Championship with odds of +180 at the Westgate LV SuperBook. Virginia is tied with Michigan State as the third betting choice at +800.

ATS Trends

Underdog is 20-8-1 ATS in the last 29 meetings.
Road team is 20-5-1 ATS in the last 26 meetings.
Blue Devils are 2-7 ATS in the last nine meetings.
Cavaliers are 5-1 ATS in their last six home games.

Saturday’s Top 25 Opening Lines and ATS Trends

No. 19 Wisconsin Badgers at No. 7 Michigan Wolverines, 12:00 p.m. ET

Opening Line: Michigan -5.5

ATS Trends

Badgers are 1-4 ATS in the last five meetings.
Badgers are 1-4 ATS in the last five meetings in Michigan.
Underdog is 16-5 ATS in the last 21 meetings.
Under is 4-1-1 in the last six meetings.
Under is 6-1 in Badgers last seven overall.
Under is 5-1 in Wolverines last six overall.

Oklahoma State Cowboys at No. 5 Kansas Jayhawks, 12:00 p.m. ET

Opening Line: Kansas -11.5

ATS Trends

Cowboys are 1-4 ATS in their last five games following a ATS win.
Jayhawks are 1-5 ATS in their last six vs. Big 12.
Jayhawks are 1-6 ATS in their last seven games overall.
Home team is 8-3 ATS in the last 11 meetings.

Miami Hurricanes at No. 8 North Carolina Tar Heels, 12:00 p.m. ET

Opening Line: North Carolina -17.5

ATS Trends

Favorite is 5-2 ATS in the last seven meetings.
Hurricanes are 2-5 ATS in the last seven meetings.
Under is 7-2 in the last nine meetings in North Carolina.
Under is 4-1 in Hurricanes last five overall.

No. 10 Virginia Tech Hokies at Clemson Tigers, 12:00 p.m. ET

Opening Line: Clemson -1

ATS Trends

Hokies are 3-0-1 ATS in the last four meetings.
Hokies are 7-2 ATS in the last nine meetings in Clemson.
Over is 6-1-1 in the last eight meetings in Clemson.
Underdog is 14-6-1 ATS in the last 21 meetings.
Tigers are 4-0 ATS in their last four games overall.

No. 5 Kentucky Wildcats at No. 21 Mississippi State Bulldogs, 1:00 p.m. ET

Opening Line: Kentucky -3.5

ATS Trends

Home team is 7-1-1 ATS in the last nine meetings.
Wildcats are 0-3-1 ATS in the last four meetings in Mississippi State.
Over is 9-2-1 in the last 12 meetings.
Over is 3-1-1 in the last five meetings in Mississippi State.
Over is 5-0 in Bulldogs last five home games.

Auburn Tigers at No. 22 LSU Tigers, 2:00 p.m. ET

Opening Line: LSU -2

ATS Trends

Auburn is 11-0 ATS in the last 11 meetings in LSU.
Auburn is 20-8 ATS in the last 28 meetings.
Road team is 7-1 ATS in the last eight meetings.
Over is 12-3 in the last 15 meetings in LSU.
Over is 5-1 in LSU’s last six overall.

Minnesota Golden Gophers at No. 11 Michigan State Spartans, 2:00 p.m. ET

Opening Line: Michigan State -13

ATS Trends

Home team is 8-3 ATS in the last 11 meetings.
Golden Gophers are 6-14 ATS in the last 20 meetings.
Golden Gophers are 1-5 ATS in the last six meetings in Michigan St.
Under is 13-4 in the last 17 meetings in Michigan St.
Under is 19-7 in the last 26 meetings.
Under is 8-1-1 in Golden Gophers last 10 road games.

TCU Horned Frogs at No. 16 Iowa State Cyclones, 2:00 p.m. ET

Opening Line: Iowa State -10.5

ATS Trends

Favorite is 5-0 ATS in the last five meetings.
Home team is 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings.
Horned Frogs are 1-4 ATS in their last five road games.
Over is 7-0 in the last seven meetings in Iowa State.
Over is 6-0 in the last six meetings.
Over is 4-1 in Cyclones last five overall.

No. 13 Villanova Wildcats at No. 9 Marquette Golden Eagles, 2:30 p.m. ET

Opening Line: Marquette -1

ATS Trends

Wildcats are 9-4 ATS in the last 13 meetings.
Wildcats are 5-2 ATS in the last seven meetings in Marquette.
Golden Eagles are 5-1 ATS in their last six games overall.
Favorite is 10-4 ATS in the last 14 meetings.
Over is 6-1 in the last seven meetings.
Over is 5-1 in the last six meetings in Marquette.

No. 17 Louisville Cardinals at No. 24 Florida State Seminoles, 4:00 p.m. ET

Opening Line: Florida State -2

ATS Trends

Cardinals are 4-1-1 ATS in the last six meetings.
Cardinals are 3-0-1 ATS in the last four meetings in Florida State.
Cardinals are 4-0 ATS in their last four road games.
Underdog is 3-0-1 ATS in the last four meetings.
Road team is 3-0-1 ATS in the last four meetings.

Florida Gators at No. 1 Tennessee Volunteers, 4:00 p.m. ET

Opening Line: Tennessee -11.5

ATS Trends

Favorite is 7-1 ATS in the last eight meetings.
Home team is 5-1 ATS in the last six meetings.
Gators are 1-4 ATS in the last five meetings in Tennessee.
Gators are 0-5 ATS in their last five games overall.
Under is 4-1 in the last five meetings in Tennessee.
Under is 13-3 in Gators last 16 road games.

No. 18 Texas Tech Red Raiders at Oklahoma Sooners, 4:00 p.m. ET

Opening Line: Texas Tech -1

ATS Trends

Favorite is 4-0-1 ATS in the last five meetings.
Home team is 8-0-1 ATS in the last nine meetings.
Red Raiders are 0-4 ATS in the last four meetings in Oklahoma.
Red Raiders are 1-6 ATS in their last seven road games.

Nebraska Cornhuskers at No. 15 Purdue Boilermakers, 8:30 p.m. ET

Opening Line: Purdue -10

ATS Trends

Cornhuskers are 0-6 ATS in their last six games overall.
Boilermakers are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games overall.
Under is 4-0 in Cornhuskers last four overall.
Over is 4-1 in the last five meetings.

St. Mary’s Gaels at No. 4 Gonzaga Bulldogs, 10:00 p.m. ET

Opening Line: Gonzaga -17

ATS Trends

Gaels are 7-19 ATS in the last 26 meetings.
Gaels are 2-6 ATS in the last eight meetings in Gonzaga.
Gaels are 1-4 ATS in their last five road games.
Road team is 7-2 ATS in the last nine meetings.
Under is 9-2 in Bulldogs last 11 home games.
Under is 19-4 in the last 23 meetings in Gonzaga.

About the Author

  • Thomas Casale (tcasale)

  • Thomas Casale is the Editor of Sports Betting Content for RotoGrinders. He's been following the sports betting industry for almost 30 years. Before coming to RotoGrinders, Thomas contributed to The Linemakers and worked as an editor at BetChicago. He's also provided fantasy sports analysis for multiple websites and print publications, while covering the NFL, college football, college basketball and MMA at different media outlets.