2020 NFL DFS Usage Trends: Week 4

In this space, headed into Week 4, we look at volume, team-by-team. The little volume of volume we have and see what that means for DFS, limiting our scope to volume. There will be analysis on how productive players were and should be, what sort of value they hold on the coming slate, and the ownership they project in other spaces. Here, we will look at volume in context to better frame our team outlooks.

“IAY/PA” is intended air yards per pass attempt.

Arizona Cardinals

With the Cardinals headed into another week as favorites with a high team total, Christian Kirk and Andy Isabella are enticing names after the obvious Kyler Murray, DeAndre Hopkins, Kenyan Drake, although Hopkins is gobbling up nearly 36% of the target share. With Kirk still on the injury report and Larry Fitzgerald a shell of his prior self, Isabella only saw his snap count go from 14 to 26 from Week 2 to Week 3 and targets from three to four, but he’s getting a 15.6 aDOT, while Murray has 12 deep attempts this season per PPF. Not the snap count or deep frequency from the QB we really want for could be higher ownership than we want. Drake is fine for the price; he’s out-carrying Chase Edmonds about 9:1, but only has five targets.

Atlanta Falcons

About the Author

AlexSonty
Alex Sonty (AlexSonty)

Alex Sonty is a professional DFS and poker player and also serves as a part-time political science professor in Chicago, IL. He’s been playing fantasy sports since 1996 and entered the DFS realm in 2014, pivoting from high-stakes cash games to mid-stakes MLB and NFL tournaments in recent years. He is a Chicago Tribune, SB Nation, and FanGraphs alum, while holding a J.D./M.A. and L.L.M. from DePaul University. Follow Sonty on Twitter – @AlexSonty