MLB Daily Grind Down May 20th Part 3
The RotoGrinders MLB Grind Down article will give you an in-depth analysis into the MLB schedule. This article will break down the numbers for every single game and give you analysis on which trends you can exploit.
While matchups are a major factor in daily fantasy baseball, there are plenty of other factors to consider such as injuries, weather, and salaries. The analysis should point you in the right direction, but it is still up to you to decipher the information and make your own selections. No sport has more variance than baseball. The best choice is not always the right choice but following the trends will win you money over time. (any fp listed uses Fanduel’s scoring system)
Arizona at Colorado
| Arizona | Colorado | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coors Field | 8:40 PM | ||||||
| Patrick Corbin – (6-0), 1.52 ERA, 6.95 K/9, 1.07 WHIP | Jon Garland – (3-4), 4.89 ERA, 5.09 K/9, 1.5 WHIP | ||||||
| PvB | (28-77 H/AB) 0.364 BA-A, 15.58 K%, 1 OPS-A | PvB | (57-181 H/AB) 0.315 BA-A, 13.26 K%, 0.917 OPS-A | ||||
| ROAD | (2-3), 3.34 ERA, 3 HRA, 5.9 K/9, 1.171 WHIP | HOME | (0-0), 3.86 ERA, 1 HRA, 6.9 K/9, 1.114 WHIP | ||||
| BATTER SPLITS BREAKDOWN | |||||||
ARI BvP  | ARI vs R | COL BvP | COL vs L | ||||
| Note: Batter Splits Above Open in Pop Up Window | |||||||
Las Vegas
- OU 9.5
- Favored Pick’em
Pitchers
- Home Jon Garland has been okay on the year. His ERA at home is under 5. That is a great accomplishment. He is unplayable in daily fantasy but as a fan of the sport that is worth saying. Avoid
- Away With all the hype surrounding Matt Harvey, you might be surprised to hear that Patrick Corbin is younger and has a better record and lower ERA. He takes half of his starts in ARI, which is a very hitter friendly park. Pitching in COL is difficult, however, and the OU is too high for me to risk using him on a game listed as a pick’em. He is a hell of pitcher, though, so keep him on your radar. Avoid
Batters
- Home COL is batting .364 vs. Corbin and crushes the ball at home. You can pretty much play who ever you like. Carlos Gonzalez is on a tear with 46.25 fp. Wilin Rosario has the best numbers versus Corbin if you are looking for guys to target.
- Away Jason Kubel is 9-25 versus Garland with 3 HRs, Eric Chavez has 2 HR in 35 ABs. He has also been red hot producing 40 fp over the last week. Paul Goldschmidt is on his way to an MVP. He hs 34 fp over the last week. Didi Gregorius is still batting over .400 versus right-handers and Miguel Montero looks tasty in this park versus the righty also.
St. Louis at San Diego
| St. Louis | San Diego | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Petco Park | 10:10 PM | ||||||
| Shelby Miller – (5-2), 1.4 ERA, 10.04 K/9, 0.88 WHIP | Jason Marquis – (5-2), 3.49 ERA, 5.33 K/9, 1.35 WHIP | ||||||
| PvB | (4-12 H/AB) 0.333 BA-A, 16.67 K%, 0.917 OPS-A | PvB | (30-103 H/AB) 0.291 BA-A, 17.48 K%, 0.854 OPS-A | ||||
| ROAD | (1-1), 4.5 ERA, 3 HRA, 9.4 K/9, 1.636 WHIP | HOME | (3-1), 4.15 ERA, 4 HRA, 5.9 K/9, 1.451 WHIP | ||||
| BATTER SPLITS BREAKDOWN | |||||||
| STL BvP | STL vs R | SDP BvP | SDP vs R | ||||
| Note: Batter Splits Above Open in Pop Up Window | |||||||
Las Vegas
- OU 7
- Favored STL -140
Pitchers
- Home You might think that Jason Marquis 3.49 ERA on the year is a product of him taking half of his starts in a very pitcher friendly park at home. However, his home ERA is actually much worse than his road ERA, at 4.15, so the numbers are organic. His K/9 is still low but so is his price so if you want to gamble on him as a second pitcher, I think that is a solid play given his recent performance. He is unusable in a single pitcher format. In Play
- Away It was great for me when the season started and Shelby Miller was cheap. The news is out about this kid and his price has risen. He is legitimate stud with a sick ERA, WHIP, and K/9. He faces a very poor hitting SDG team today in a pitcher’s park. Target
Batters
- Home If you are playing the fade then Jedd Gyorko and Yonder Alonso have been hot and gain the splits in their favor.
- Away Matt Holliday has 2 HRs in 20 AB versus Marquis. Carlos Beltran has taken him yard also. Matt Carpenter has been hot and is hitting righties well on the year. The OU is very low so it might be best to look elsewhere for offense.
Washington at San Francisco
| Washington | San Francisco | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AT&T Park | 10:15 PM | ||||||
| Zach Duke – 0 | Ryan Vogelsong – (1-4), 8.06 ERA, 8.32 K/9, 1.84 WHIP | ||||||
| PvB | (20-66 H/AB) 0.303 BA-A, 4.55 K%, 0.773 OPS-A | PvB | (9-23 H/AB) 0.391 BA-A, 30.43 K%, 0.957 OPS-A | ||||
| ROAD | (1-2), 7.43 ERA, 2 HRA, 6.1 K/9, 1.65 WHIP | HOME | (3-1), 2.08 ERA, 3 HRA, 7.3 K/9, 1 WHIP | ||||
| BATTER SPLITS BREAKDOWN | |||||||
| WSN BvP | WSN vs R | SFG BvP | SFG vs L | ||||
| Note: Batter Splits Above Open in Pop Up Window | |||||||
Las Vegas
- OU 8
- Favored SFO -130
Pitchers
- Home Ryan Vogelsong is off to a rough start in 2013. He is favored today but I do not think that is wise to gamble on a player with a 8.06 ERA and 1.84 WHIP on the year. I will probably run a WAS stack in one of my LUs despite the low OU and Vegas faith in him. He needs to prove it to me first. Avoid
- Away Zach Duke was a starter for most of his career but he has been a reliever this year. He is making a spot start today and you always wonder in these occasions how long the player will pitch. He is not that good of pitcher to began with but he absolutely useless if he does not qualify for the win. Avoid
Batters
- Home Gentlemen Start your SFO stacks. Buster Posey versus the left-hander looks exceptionally tasty.
- Away Adam Laroche and Ryan Zimmerman have been hot producing over 30 fp each. Both are undervalued because of their slow start. Bryce Harper should play tonight but the late start makes him a risky proposition. If he does, the numbers look good.