Bears vs. Packers Same Game Parlay for Sunday Night Football

by Sloan Piva (SloanPiva) Last Updated 2021-12-12 22:50:16

We’ve got a divisional battle on tap for Sunday Night Football, with reigning MVP Aaron Rodgers and the Green Bay Packers hosting the Chicago Bears at Lambeau Field. The Pack are whopping -12.5 favorites (-751 ML), with the over/under set at 43 total points. As usual, we won’t be touching the standard spread on this primetime game. Instead, we’ll be assembling yet another Same Game Parlay on PointsBet.

A Same Game Parlay basically just means a parlay consisting of multiple correlated wagers from one specific game. It provides bettors with good options to bet a game—and piece together props into a parlay within that game—beyond just the standard spread, moneyline, and over/under totals.

SGPs have become one of the most popular options in sports betting, and we’ve been all over them since the start of the 2021 NFL season. Let’s dive right into our parlay for this NFC North showdown, and make some money to pay off our Christmastime credit card bills!

Bears vs. Packers Same Game Parlay

• Make Your Own Spread: Packers -6.5 (-250)
• Alternate Totals: UNDER 49.5 Points (-276)
• Race to 35 Points: Neither (-351)
• Home Team Touchdowns: OVER 2.5 (-250)
• Anytime Touchdown Scorer: Aaron Jones (+115)

Total Odds (5 Legs): +475

Make Your Own Spread: Packers -6.5 (-250)

As my regular readers know, I typically avoid straight spreads in primetime games. PointsBet SGPs make it super easy to pick a favorite without having to worry about covering the full spread set by sportsbooks. For this Sunday evening affair, we have the Packers beating the Bears. But how can we trust Green Bay to cover the -12.5? Sure, Aaron Rodgers is head-and-shoulders above Chicago rookie QB Justin Fields, and the Pack have a myriad of weapons on offense. But the Bears front-seven remains strong, Green Bay stud wideout Davante Adams is banged up (hamstring), and the Pack won’t be looking to boat-race Chicago. They just need the W. I know you probably regard this as an overcautious pick—Green Bay is 9-3 against the spread, and an NFL-best 5-0 ATS at home—but parlay-building is all about stacking Ws. If we picked five props at -110, our potential payout would be huge—but our odds of winning would also be very low. Two of Green Bay’s last three wins have been by eight points or fewer, and the Pack beat Chicago by 10 points when these rivals last met on October 17.

Alternate Totals: UNDER 49.5 Points (-276)

I almost went away from the 43-point over/under the other direction—nearly locking in the OVER of 37.5 at -240—but then I realized that Bears games have finished at 41 total points or fewer in seven of Justin Fields’ last nine games. Chicago has the third-worst scoring offense in the NFL this season—averaging 16.8 points per game—and an even more abysmal road offense. The Bears average 14.3 points per away game, and have averaged just 17 points at Lambeau Field since 2015. Chicago has an anemic offense led by an erratic, unconfident rookie QB, and the Pack won’t need to put up a ton of points. Rodgers can lean on powerful running back duo Aaron Jones and A.J. Dillon to preserve a lead and milk the clock. The UNDER has hit in eight of 12 games for each of these squads, and I’m betting it will hit once again this Sunday night. But the extra touchdown cushion makes it feel extra safe.

Race to 35 Points: Neither (-351)

Like I mentioned, Green Bay won’t need a ton of points to win this game. While Rodgers and his skill-position players have feasted on inferior opponents this season, they don’t typically run up the score to Bill Belichick-ian levels. The Pack have put up 30-plus points in their last two games (at Minnesota, vs. LA Rams), but both of those were close contests decided by one score. In the seven games before those two, Green Bay scored 27 or fewer points. Rodgers and company have reached 35 points just twice all season, and have maintained an average of 23.6 per game over the course of the campaign. I expect the Pack to finish in the mid-to-high 20s Sunday evening. Rodgers has said himself that he “owns” the Bears—which is not untrue, as evidenced by his 21-5 record against them, to go with a 107.7 passer rating, 57 TDs, and just 10 picks. But over the last 13 times these squads have met, Green Bay has averaged 24.7 points against Chicago. This should be a safe green.

Home Team Touchdowns: OVER 2.5 (-250)

You might be questioning my sanity for betting Green Bay to score three touchdowns, one leg after I told you the Pack would finish below 35 points. Well, it all adds up in this funky mathematicians’ world. Green Bay averages 3.4 touchdowns per home game and 3.3 over its last three contests. In their five games against losing teams this season, the Pack have scored 16 TDs. I expect Rodgers and his high-flying offense will get to three TDs and then coast to the finish line with a lot of running and some field goals. Even if they score four total TDs, we can stay in the money as long as they only add two field goals.

Anytime Touchdown Scorer: Aaron Jones (+115)

We always like to include at least one player prop, and Jones is usually one of my go-to guys in primetime affairs. The dual-purpose stud running back always turn it up in evening games, with 18 career TDs in primetime contests. He also eats up divisional opponents—five of his seven TDs this season have come against NFC North rivals. When these squads met in mid-October, Jones finished with 17 total touches, 110 yards, and a receiving TD. He can gash opponents on the ground or through the air, and he might be utilized even more than usual with Davanta Adams battling a hamstring injury. Fire Jones up for the TD prop, and cross your fingers for the five-legged parlay gold.

Image Credit: Imagn