Bengals vs. Rams Super Bowl Same Game Parlay Picks
Super Bowl Sunday is almost here, and before we know it the next Vince Lombardi trophy will hoisted by either the Cincinnati Bengals or the Los Angeles Rams! It’s been an amazing year, and it’s bittersweet that Sunday’s contest is the last professional football we will see for seven months. But all good things must come to an end, and we won’t miss this season if we end it with a massive win on a Same Game Parlay from PointsBet.
If you’re a regular here at RotoGrinders, you know we’ve covered Same Game Parlays for pretty much all the primetime games this NFL season. And we’ve hit some pretty big jackpots, too! Well, we’ve got the biggest and best Same Game Parlay built for this Super Sunday.
Now, follow us at your own risk—an eight-leg parlay is not for the faint of heart—or take just four or five of these props for a lower risk and smaller reward. But I’m going all-in for the big game. As recently-retired GOAT and champion of all champions Tom Brady has yelled hundreds of times, “Let’s go!”
This SGP was built and bet on PointsBet. All stats are from Pro Football Reference and NFL.com.
Bengals vs. Rams Same Game Parlay
- Pick Your Own Line: Rams +3.5 (-325)
- Alternate Totals: OVER 43.5 (-226)
- Quarterback Passing Touchdowns: Joe Burrow OVER 1.5 TDs (-145)
- Quarterback Props: Joe Burrow 250+ Passing Yards (-226)
- Quarterback Props: Matthew Stafford 250+ Passing Yards (-226)
- Anytime Touchdown Scorer: Cooper Kupp (-171)
- Receiving Props: Ja’Marr Chase 75+ Receiving Yards (-136)
- Special Teams Props: OVER 2.5 Field Goals (-250)
Total Odds (8 Legs): +900 | Bet: $100 | To Win: $900
Pick Your Own Line: Rams +3.5 (-325)
It’s against my gambling religion to bet the favorite’s listed spread in primetime games—and on Super Bowl Sunday, going chalk is a surefire way to burn your money. The savviest bettors will either stay away from spreads entirely, or buy points for the underdog Bengals. As we’re constructing an SGP, I’ll be buying points for the favorites. I have the Rams winning it all—I’ve had LA in the Super Bowl since the preseason—but now I’m assured a W here even if Cincy wins by a field goal. This is the smartest option if you’re including a spread pick in your Super SGP. Since the start of the 2021 season, the Rams have gone a league-best 15-5 straight up, and 7-3 straight up at home. However, they are only 5-5 against the spread at home in that span. Quarterback Matthew Stafford, All-Pro wide receiver Cooper Kupp, and defensive GOAT Aaron Donald and company have the best all-around team going into this weekend. But weird things happen on Super Bowl Sunday, and second-year stud QB Joe Burrow has been lighting up defenses—and victory cigars—all postseason. Take the favorites, but take them with an insurance policy.
Alternate Totals: OVER 43.5 (-226)
Another thing I always do in primetime and playoff SGPs is modify the over/under. Sportsbooks want you to bet the listed over/under of 48.5, because professional handicappers have estimated that to be the dividing line that will bring in the most house profit. Well, buy five (or more) points! We are dealing with two great offenses here, so the majority of bettors will be going OVER 48.5. I’m setting the bar lower, and enjoying my heart staying within my chest with my OVER 43.5 bet. That’s five combined touchdowns and three combined field goals. Since the start of the 2021 season, these two squads have combined for 6.1 touchdowns per game and 4.1 field goals made per game. With eight legs, we can afford to play it safe. In the end, we’re looking for a bunch of wins—that’s all, folks. And a doctored OVER in the Super Bowl, during the passing era, should keep us in the clear. LA ranks sixth in the NFL in points per game since September’s first kickoff (27.2 ppg), and Cincy ranks eighth (26.6). Lower the bar, take the OVER, and root for points like the majority of America.
Quarterback Passing Touchdowns: Joe Burrow OVER 1.5 TDs (-145)
This is one of the hardest bets of the parlay, because the Rams are such a dominant defensive unit and the Bengals have such a putrid offensive line. No QB has been sacked as much as Joey B has this year, and Aaron Donald and Von Miller will be licking their chops at the opportunity to pummel the top pick of the 2020 NFL Draft. But Burrow has been as cool a customer as we have seen in the pocket this season, and he’s got a ton of weapons out wide in Rookie of the Year Ja’Marr Chase, second-year phenom Tee Higgins, and slot standout Tyler Boyd. Burrow also has running back “(player-popup #joe-mixon)Joe Mixon”:/players/joe-mixon-36833—a more than capable receiver out of the backfield—and he likely won’t rely on his running back bruising his way to the end zone. The Rams finished the regular season ranked sixth in rushing yards allowed and fifth in net yards allowed per carry. Burrow will need to put up points through the air, and cornerbacks Jalen Ramsey and Darious Williams won’t be able to get to all of the gun-slinger’s passes. Burrow has registered multiple pass TDs in four of Cincy’s last five games—I think two passing TDs in the biggest game of his life is a conservative bar to set.
Burrow 250+ Passing Yards (-226) and Stafford 250+ Passing Yards (-226)
We’ve already determined that I like this game to reach around the mid-40s in scoring, and Burrow will log multiple passing strikes. Well, I also think we will see at least 500 total air yards, with both QBs racking up the attempts and total yardage. Quite simply, I think this is a great matchup, with two highly-skilled QBs. The veteran Stafford has been a yardage beast his whole career, and 2021-22 has been no different. The 34-year-old has hit 250 passing yards 15 times since the season started, and finished the regular season averaging 287.4 yards per game. As for his 25-year-old opponent, Burrow has reached 250 passing yards in 13 games, including six of his last eight (he came up six yards short in Cincy’s Wild Card win over Vegas). Joey B averaged 288.2 yards per game during the regular season, and led the free world with a 70.4 completion percentage. Dre, Snoop, Em, and Kendrick won’t be the only ones dropping bombs this Sunday night—these QBs are going to be slinging heat until the final whistle.
Anytime Touchdown Scorer: Kupp (-171)
Cooper Kupp has enjoyed a receiving campaign for the ages, and he’s my pick for the NFL’s Offensive Player of the Year Award announced on Thursday. Kupp finished the regular season with an NFL-best 145 catches, 1,947 receiving yards, and 16 touchdowns. He averaged 114.5 yards per game, while hauling in 75.9 percent of the passes Stafford threw his way. Now Kupp gets to showcase his unbelievable talents to the world, against a Bengals defense that ranked 26th in passing yards allowed, 17th in points allowed, and 13th in passing touchdowns surrendered. I think Cincy coach Zac Taylor and defensive coordinator Lou Anarumo will do their darndest to limit Kupp’s open-field separation, so I’m staying away from his lofty yardage props (like -500 for 75+ receiving yards, -145 for 100+). But -171 on a TD feels like a layup—Stafford and his BFF Kupp have connected for six TDs over the past five games, scoring at least one in each. I’m surprised PointsBet didn’t have this prop at more like -225.
Chase 75+ Receiving Yards (-136)
While I didn’t like the value listed under Kupp’s receiving yards props, I love the odds we’re getting with Chase here. The Rookie of the Year has hit 109 air yards in four of Cincy’s last six games, and he’s topped 75 yards in 10 different games since becoming a pro. Chase finished the regular season averaging 85.6 yards per game, and he’s averaged 93 per postseason game. I get that the Rams are a top-notch pass defense, but Burrow and Chase have a rapport that started long before they started dominating the AFC. These guys have enjoyed a mind meld of sorts since their days at LSU, and they won a championship together thanks to their connection. If 75 yards is all we need for a green here, I’m all over it.
OVER 2.5 Field Goals (-250)
You may want to skip this last leg, and lower the total odds to +600 instead of +900. But I like our chances here! The Rams have a strong defense that should be able to hold Cincy out of the end zone on multiple possessions, and we almost always see field goal tries toward the end of the first and second halves. Both these teams averaged two field goals per game this season, with LA’s Matt Gay going 32-of-34 and Cincy’s Evan McPherson hitting 14 of his last 14 attempts (including a dazzling 12-of-12 in the postseason—a special teams star has been born). These guys are not afraid of the moment, and there should be plenty of moments to be had. I’m going for it all, because this eighth leg boosts our potential payout from $3,000 to $5,000. Good luck, cross your fingers, and have some fun this Super Bowl Sunday!
Image Credit: Imagn