Bengals vs. Ravens Player Props: Top NFL Picks for Andrews, Burrow, and Mitchell
What kind of performances can we expect on Thursday Night Football from Mark Andrews, Joe Burrow, and Keaton Mitchell? Follow along as our NFL betting expert, Nick Galaida, breaks down three of his favorite NFL prop bets and DFS pick’em predictions for today – Thursday, November 16, 2023. Get all of Nick’s picks, including more football props, at ScoresandOdds.
Tonight, the Cincinnati Bengals and Baltimore Ravens will meet on Thursday Night Football for an important divisional showdown. Entering play, Cincinnati is 5-4 and in the basement of the AFC North. However, a victory would pull them within a half-game of first place in the division.
Ahead of kickoff, the Ravens are favored by 3.5 points on the spread. The game total is set at over/under 46.5 points. If choosing to wager instead on the player prop market, we have three prop leans for tonight’s matchup!
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Bengals vs. Ravens Player Props for TNF
- Mark Andrews o4.5 Receptions
- Joe Burrow o24.5 Completions
- Keaton Mitchell More Than 37.5 Rushing Yards
Mark Andrews o4.5 Receptions (-120), DraftKings
Mark Andrews has recorded fewer than five receptions in four of his last five games. However, he has a great opportunity for a spike week against the Bengals, which rank 30th in DVOA against tight ends in 2023. In the last three weeks alone, Cincinnati’s defense has allowed 23 receptions for 301 receiving yards to the combination of George Kittle, Dalton Kincaid, and Dalton Schultz. Andrews has eclipsed this market number in four consecutive games against the Bengals and figures to be plenty busy again in Week 11 after a poor showing against the Browns this past weekend. This is a worthwhile look for Thursday Night Football.
Joe Burrow o24.5 Completions (-122), FanDuel
The Ravens ranked 7th-best in defensive pressure rate last weekend against the Browns and 2nd-best in defensive pressure rate the week before that. Nearly every quarterback in the NFL is better from a clean pocket than they are under pressure, but Joe Burrow has less stark splits than many other signal callers. According to PFF, Burrow owns the 4th-best completion percentage under pressure of any qualified quarterback in the NFL this season. He also ranks 7th in passer rating when under duress. Burrow has eclipsed this market number in three consecutive games and in six of his last eight games overall. This play has a chance to cash regardless of the game script, with Cincinnati likely to prioritize the short passing game tonight against a strong Baltimore pass rush.
NFL DFS Pick’em
Keaton Mitchell More Than 37.5 Rushing Yards, PrizePicks
Asked about Keaton Mitchell and his lack of involvement in the second half against the Browns, head coach John Harbaugh said, “Looking back on it, would we have wanted them out there more? Yeah.” He went on to say that Mitchell should have been more involved, attributing his lack of touches to the Baltimore coaching staff still learning to trust a young player and what he’s healthy enough to handle. Assuming Harbaugh’s comments to the media were genuine, Mitchell could be in for a monster night against a Cincinnati run defense that ranks 28th in rush EPA/play and 24th in rush success rate this fall. The absence of Sam Hubbard, who is one of Cincinnati’s best run defenders, only makes this play more appealing on Thursday. If players have access to a sportsbook as well, Mitchell has value on his ladder all the way up to 1100 for 110 rushing yards on FanDuel.
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