Best Packers vs. Bears Player Prop Bets for Sunday Night Football
What kind of performances can we expect on Sunday Night Football from Davante Adams, Justin Fields, and David Montgomery? Follow along as NFL betting analyst Nick Galaida breaks down his four favorite prop bets for the Packers vs. Bears.
On Sunday Night Football, the Chicago Bears and the Green Bay Packers will battle in a rivalry game at Lambeau Field. Both teams enter play relatively healthy, but the Packers are tending towards the postseason, and the Bears are spiraling to the bottom of the NFC standings. Oddsmakers are expecting a relatively easy victory for Green Bay, pricing the Packers as 12-point home favorites on the spread. As we approach kickoff, the value on the spread and the total has been reduced compared to its opening market price. Instead of forcing action on saturated markets, bettors may find more expected value on player props for this Thursday Night Football game.
Bears vs. Packers Player Props
Justin Fields u190.5 passing yards (-114)
First of all, Fields is averaging only 167.2 passing yards per game. In his first meeting against the Packers, he totaled only 174 passing yards on a 59.3 completion percentage. Green Bay is allowing the seventh-fewest yards-per-attempt of any team in the NFL this season through the air. Opposing quarterbacks have been held to a dreadful 87.3 passer rating when playing the Packers in 2021. Fields has struggled mightily as a rookie this season, and that trend is likely to continue on Sunday Night Football.
Justin Fields o16.5 passing completions (-102)
It may seem counterintuitive to bet the under on Fields’ passing yards and the over on his pass completions, but volume has not translated to strong output this fall for the rookie. Four of the last five times that Fields has seen the field, he has thrown the ball at least 16 times. Yet, he has thrown for more than 184 yards only once in that span. When in doubt, it is a smart idea to fade Chicago’s young signal caller on the stat sheet–even when he is given ample opportunity with the ball in his hands. Fields could complete a number of short passes in this one, but it would be surprising to see him do much of anything down-the-field, considering his unimpressive 6.9 yards-per-attempt in 2021.
David Montgomery o64.5 rushing yards (-114)
David Montgomery was not on the field when these teams played earlier this fall, but he certainly wishes he would have been. If there is one salient weakness in the Green Bay defense, it is their run defense, which is allowing a mediocre 4.3 yards-per-carry this season. Khalil Herbert was Chicago’s primary running back in Week 6, totaling 97 yards and a touchdown on 19 carries against the Packers. Bettors should expect a similarly strong performance from Montgomery this weekend.
Davante Adams – Anytime Touchdown Scorer (-130)
When these two teams met in Week 6, Adams was targeted only five times as part of a run-heavy game script, but still managed to total 89 receiving yards. Though he draws a semi-difficult assignment against Jaylon Johnson in this one, it is difficult for even the elite cornerbacks in the NFL to successfully contain Adams. Adams has scored in only four games this season, but it has not been due to a lack of targets. Over the last four weeks, Adams is averaging 10.5 targets per game, and that number might still have room to grow with Randall Cobb ruled out for this contest. Adams is worth consideration at near even-money in this spot.
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