Best Patriots vs. Bills Player Prop Bets for Monday Night Football

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What kind of performances can we expect from Josh Allen, Devin Singletary, and Hunter Henry Monday night? NFL betting analyst Nick Galaida has his picks. Follow along as he breaks down his four favorite prop bets for Patriots vs. Bills on Monday Night Football.

Tonight, the New England Patriots and the Buffalo Bills will battle in a highly-anticipated contest at Highmark Stadium. New England has won six consecutive games, with their most recent defeat coming in overtime to the Dallas Cowboys on October 17. The Patriots’ recent surge has catapulted them to the top-seed in the AFC ahead of this evening’s kickoff. Buffalo began the fall slate with wins in four of their first five games, but they have not won back-to-back contests since Week 5. Oddsmakers are expecting that trend to come to an end in this one, pricing the Bills as a field goal favorite on the spread. Bettors looking to place a few more wagers in the hours leading up to kickoff will see that the value on the spread and the total has been reduced compared to its opening market price. Instead of forcing action on saturated markets, bettors may find more expected value on player props for this Monday Night Football game.

Patriots vs. Bills Player Props

Devin Singletary – o39.5 rushing yards (-110)

On Thanksgiving, the Bills played one of the toughest run defenses in the NFL in their matchup against the New Orleans Saints. In that matchup, Devin Singletary totaled 44 yards on 15 carries. He was the clear top option out of the backfield, with Matt Breida only seeing nine carries. Singletary is averaging 4.7 yards-per-carry on the ground this fall. In a matchup that is likely to place unusual emphasis on the running game, Singletary should be able to eclipse this number if he sees double-digit touches.

Josh Allen – o35.5 rushing yards (-110)

Josh Allen has been the leading rusher for the Bills in three separate games in 2021. Allen has totaled 35 rushing yards or more seven times in 11 games. The Patriots have one of the toughest secondary units in the entire NFL. Still, great coverage sometimes leaves unexpected escape routes from the pocket for opposing quarterbacks to use their legs to pick up first downs. Allen has a good chance to hit this number in a matchup where he is going to need to use his legs to keep Buffalo competitive.

Josh Allen – “Yes” Interception (-130)

One of the biggest risks to this prop not cashing for bettors tonight is if Buffalo limits their passing attempts against a tough opposing secondary unit. Still, it seems unlikely that Allen will throw the ball less than 25 times in this contest, considering that his season-low in attempts is 26. In two of Buffalo’s last three games, Allen has attempted only 28 passes, but he threw an interception in both contests. Across Buffalo’s last four games, Allen has seven total interceptions, despite playing three below-average secondary units, two of which were the Jacksonville Jaguars and the New York Jets. At least one errant throw should be expected from Allen in this one.

Hunter Henry – Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+380)

If looking for more of a longshot player prop to consider this evening, Hunter Henry to find the end zone could be worth a small wager. Henry ranks eighth in the league with seven touchdown receptions this fall. He is unquestionably one of Mac Jones’ favorite targets when New England finds themselves near the goal line. The Patriots figure to emphasize the running attack in short-yardage situations this evening, but a surprise play action pass could result in quite a bit of profit for bettors if they are willing to take a small risk here.

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About the Author

nickgalaida
Nick Galaida (nickgalaida)

A failed high school pitcher, Nick Galaida discovered that he has a higher aptitude for analyzing and writing about sports than he does playing them. To his friends, he is better known as “The Commish.” When he’s not organizing a fantasy league, placing a bet, or writing an article, he’s probably nose-deep in a book—further illustrating the point that his niche in this world is as a nerd rather than an athlete. Follow Nick on Twitter – @CommishFilmRoom