2022 British Open Weather: St. Andrew's Forecast and Projections
We’re teeing off for the 2022 British Open this week, and the weather at St. Andrew’s will likely be a factor. The weather in Scotland can best be described in two words: impactful and volatile. The “impactful” part can come in the form of both rain and gusty winds, as we saw last week in the Scottish Open where the Day-1 morning wave had a massive 3-stroke advantage over the afternoon wave. The “volatile” part is equally as important, because as of this moment, the forecast is still in flux.
As always in my Golf weather forecasts, we’re focusing more on wind than rain. While rain can halt play if it’s heavy enough, it also helps to soften and slow the course, meaning it helps as much as it hurts. With wind there’s no helpful side, it’s all negative impact, and the impact can lead to dramatic differences in scoring. My goal is always to try and highlight the timeframe with the lightest winds, the time with the strongest winds, and to see if there’s a cumulative advantage for one wave over another. You can use then use this to your advantage making your picks on DFS sites and sportsbooks.
For the very latest info as the British Open weather forecast changes, stay tuned to @KevinRothWx on Twitter or check my main forecast page.
British Open Weather Report & Forecast
Round 1 Weather Projection – Thursday, July 14th
Earliest tee times can expect about a 10mph wind to start, increasing to 10-15mph by the late morning. By the afternoon sustained winds should be closer to 15-20mph, with stronger gusts. The peak winds will start to wane a bit in the very late afternoon and early evening, winding back down to around 15mph by the time the round comes to a close.
The somewhat lighter AM winds gives an edge to golfers like Phil Mickelson and DeChambeau, while hurting Morikawa and Rory, who both tee off in the later AM (and will eventually see winds pick up). Tiger and Spieth should see strong winds to start, but slightly better conditions by the end of the round.
Rain is possible at any time, though for the aforementioned reasons I’m more concerned with wind than rain.
Round 2 Weather Projection – Friday, July 15th
Winds look a bit steadier on Friday, 10-15mph sustained with stronger gusts. As of now (and again, things could change), AM and PM winds look to be similar. Rain is likely, especially early.
Round 3 Weather Projection – Saturday, July 16th
About as good as you could ask for considering it’s Scotland, winds around 10-15mph, a bit stronger in the afternoon than AM.
Round 4 Weather Projection – Sunday, July 17th
Another manageable weather day to close out the tournament, with 10-15mph winds and a lower-end chance for rain.
Overall British Open Weather Forecast
While I don’t think we’ll see the massive weather advantage that we did last week at the Scottish Open, I do expect the weather will be a factor for both those making DFS lineups and betting on golf this week. As of now I give a slight edge to the Thursday AM / Friday PM draw, but this is an early forecast that has the potential to change. Stay tuned to @KevinRothWx for the latest.
Image Credit: Imagn