Chiefs vs. Chargers Same Game Parlay for Thursday Night Football

Article Image

We have an absolute dandy for you this evening, a Thursday Night Football divisional clash between the Kansas City Chiefs and the Los Angeles Chargers. We’ll see 2018 MVP and 2020 Super Bowl-champion QB Patrick Mahomes take on 2020 Rookie of the Year QB Justin Herbert. The stakes have never been higher for this rivalry—the winner will most likely take the division. All eyes will be on what should be an incredible contest, and to make it even more interesting for ourselves, we’re putting together a SEVEN-LEGGED Same Game Parlay on PointsBet. Full send!

For anyone not following, a Same Game Parlay basically just means a parlay consisting of multiple correlated wagers from one specific game. It provides bettors with a plethora of options to bet a game—and piece together props into a parlay within that game—beyond just the standard spread, moneyline, and over/under totals.

SGPs have become one of the most popular ways to bet on professional sports, and we’ve been assembling parlay bets this way on PointsBet all season. So, without further ado, let’s dive right into our insane seven-legged SGP for this AFC West clash!

Chiefs vs. Chargers Thursday Night Football Same Game Parlay

Total Odds (7 Legs): +600

Pick Your Own Line: Kansas City +3.5 (-276)

Get out the green chili sauce and whip out the Omeprazole, because we’re getting spicy tonight. In a seven-leg parlay, we obviously need a few safe, dependable bets to lay the foundation. I’ve preached it all year, and I’ll die on my molehill if I must: betting primetime spreads will ultimately screw you. In this kind of a game—with both squads coming in hot and battling for the rights to the division—you can’t possibly pick the favorite to win by over a field goal on the road. Flip the script, make your own spread, and take the favorites getting 3.5 points. This way, we get the green if Patrick Mahomes, Travis Kelce, and Tyreek Hill and the AFC defending-champion Chiefs win easily, or by a small margin, or even if they friggin’ lose by a field goal. Kansas City has won six games in a row, and outscored opponents 163-65 in that span. Andy Reid’s squad just hung 48 points on the Raiders, their third straight opponent to score just nine points. Kansas City has not allowed three touchdowns in a game in nearly two months, so another 30-24 LA win like in Week 3 of this season seems like a longshot. This is safe!

Alternate Totals: OVER 47.5 (-210)

Hopefully that first writeup didn’t scare you away from this OVER. Don’t worry—the current over/under on most sportsbooks is 52.5, so we’re already five points below the line most OVER bettors are hoping to exceed. Beyond that, you can feel safe in the fact that each squad has averaged a robust 27 points per game this season, which is tied for eighth place in the NFL. The Chiefs also average 30.4 points per road game—tied with Buffalo for second-most in the league—and like we already mentioned, they just put up 48 on the Raiders. The Chargers, meanwhile, average 30.6 points per home game, and just hung 37 on the Bengals. If you think this is going to be a field goal battle, you’re sorely mistaken. Take it down a notch or two to be sure, but bet the OVER on anything under 50.

Home Team Total: Chargers OVER 20.5 (-240)

This is almost a continuation of the last leg—LA has scored at will at home this season, and Justin Herbert looks as comfortable as ever in big-time games. I know Kansas City has been awesome defensively over its six-game winning streak, but it also hasn’t faced an offense as dynamic and healthy as this current Chargers squad. Herbert has two fantastic receivers in Keenan Allen and Mike Williams, a dual-purpose stud running back in Austin Ekeler, and a reliable third-down and red-zone tight end in Jared Cook. The Bolts might not win, but they’ll definitely compete for 60 minutes. They’ve scored at least 37 points in three of their last four games—the equivalent of three touchdowns seems like an easy mark for Herbert and Co. to reach this evening.

Justin Herbert OVER 1.5 TDs (-191)

Like any good parlay, every new prop seems to roll off the last one as if it’s all part of a realistic game script. As I mentioned, the Chargers have been phenomenal over the past four weeks, and they have scored the ball effortlessly at home all season long. That’s thanks in large part to Ekeler, but mostly thanks to Herbert and his continual evolution as a professional pocket passer (how about that for PPP?). The 23-year-old is just plain SICK, maintaining a 67.1 percent completion rate to go with 30 touchdowns, 11 interceptions, 294 yards per game, and a 100.3 QB rating. He’s 3-1 in primetime games, with a 12-1 TD-to-INT ratio and 116.5 QB rating, and he’s 2-1 in his career against the Chiefs, with an 8-1 TD-to-INT ratio and 117.9 QB rating. Herbert might just win this game for LA—Hell, he already beat the Chiefs once this season! But at the very least, bet him to find the end zone twice through the air.

Patrick Mahomes 250+ Passing Yards (-301)

It took us five props to discuss the QB who’s been to the past two Super Bowls—the horror! Mahomes endured an underwhelming (and downright disappointing) first half of the season, but he’s somewhat quietly exhibited utter dominance over the better part of Kansas City’s past half-dozen games. The three-time Pro Bowler has four games with at least 258 passing yards in the Chiefs’ six-game winning streak, and 10 total in 14 games. This is the Chiefs’ biggest game of the regular season, and he’s got Kelce, Hill, and second-year running back Clyde Edwards-Helaire healthy. In warm-weather conditions, I think 250 air yards from Mahomes in a late-season battle for the AFC West is about as safe as props come.

Travis Kelce 50+ Receiving Yards (-250)

Speaking of safe props, how about we pick a gimme for the best tight end in football? Kelce always seems to play a crucial role in primetime games for the Chiefs, and he’s perennially the most dependable safety blanket for the most dominating QB in football. He’s has some underwhelming games over the past month month or so, somehow logging three separate games with exactly 27 receiving yards. I guess that’s why his 50+ yards prop tonight is set at -250, and not -1000 like it probably would have been last season or the season before. I’ll take my chances—like Austin Powers, I like to live dangerously. I also know that Kelce hauled in 7-of-11 targets for 104 yards when these squads met earlier in the year, and he’s exceeded 50 yards in nine total games on the campaign. Throughout his career, he averages 69.4 yards in AFC West tilts, and 78.0 yards per primetime game.

Anytime Touchdown Scorer: Austin Ekeler (-140)

Last but not least, we have the most underrated running back in the game of football. Ekeler has been absolutely amazing this season, and he’s one of the major catalysts to LA’s 8-5 record. He has 16 total touchdowns on the year—nine on the ground, and seven through the air. He found paydirt when the Bolts beat the Chiefs earlier in the season, and has scored four TDs in three AFC West battles so far. He’s broken the plane in each of LA’s past five games, and scored eight total TDs in that span. I think -140 for Ekeler to score in one way, shape, or form is an early Christmas present, as will be a SGP win at +600.

Image Credit: Imagn

About the Author

SloanPiva
Sloan Piva (SloanPiva)

Sloan Piva is a veteran of the sports journalism industry, and a freelance sports betting analyst. He received his master’s degree in Professional Writing from the University of Massachusetts, and currently resides in East Bay, Rhode Island with his wife and daughter. He covers the MLB, NFL, NBA, NCAA, and PGA, as well as anything related to fantasy sports and sports betting. Shoot him an email anytime at SloanPiva@gmail.com!