Chiefs vs. Packers Player Props: Top NFL Picks for Love, Dillon, and Mahomes

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What kind of performances can we expect on Sunday Night Football from Jordan Love, AJ Dillon, and Patrick Mahomes? Follow along as our NFL betting expert, Nick Galaida, breaks down three of his favorite NFL prop bets and DFS pick’em predictions for today – Sunday, December 3, 2023. Get all of Nick’s picks, including more football props, at ScoresandOdds.

This evening, the Kansas City Chiefs and Green Bay Packers will meet at Lambeau Field for an exciting Sunday Night Football matchup. Ahead of kickoff, the Chiefs are 5-point favorites on the spread, with the total set at over/under 43.0 points.

If looking to wager instead on the player prop market tonight, we have three prop leans for this matchup between the Chiefs and Packers!

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Chiefs vs. Packers NFL Player Props for SNF

Jordan Love u20.5 Completions (-115), PointsBet

Jordan Love has been playing at a high level in recent weeks, but he has also benefited tremendously from a soft stretch in the schedule, culminating last week with a matchup against a Detroit defense that has scarecrows where the cornerbacks are supposed to be. Love has continued to struggle against pressure, even late into the season. At their worst, the Chiefs are a league-average pass rush. At their best, they are capable of single-handedly ruining a performance for an opposing quarterback. Love is more likely to go under this number than over this market number tonight.

AJ Dillon o13.5 Rush Attempts (+100), Caesars

AJ Dillon is certifiably one of the worst running backs in the NFL, but that has not stopped Green Bay from feeding him the rock in recent weeks with Aaron Jones out due to injury. Dillon ranks 10th-worst in rushing yards over expected per attempt this season, but he has still been handed 14 carries in each of the last two weeks. Tonight, he has a favorable matchup against a Chiefs defense that ranks 25th in rush EPA/play and 19th in rush success rate since Week 8. Dillon has very little competition for touches in the Packers backfield, which means he should be plenty busy once again in Week 13.

NFL DFS Pick’em

Patrick Mahomess Less Than 260.5 Passing Yards, PrizePicks

Patrick Mahomes had 298 passing yards last weekend against the Raiders, but it was the first time in a month that he had managed more than 241 yards through the air. Tonight, Mahomes has to contend with a capable Green Bay defense that is getting two starting safeties back from injury this evening, with Darnell Savage and Rudy Ford both returning to the field. The Packers are most vulnerable on the ground, which should reduce the workload for Mahomes in this matchup.

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About the Author

nickgalaida
Nick Galaida (nickgalaida)

A failed high school pitcher, Nick Galaida discovered that he has a higher aptitude for analyzing and writing about sports than he does playing them. To his friends, he is better known as “The Commish.” When he’s not organizing a fantasy league, placing a bet, or writing an article, he’s probably nose-deep in a book—further illustrating the point that his niche in this world is as a nerd rather than an athlete. Follow Nick on Twitter – @CommishFilmRoom