Chiefs vs. Raiders Same Game Parlay Picks and Props
Week 10 of the 2021 NFL season is here, and tonight will bring us a division-rivalry game between the Kansas City Chiefs and the Las Vegas Raiders. Both these squads have five total wins, but could be headed in different directions. After a slow start, the AFC defending-champion Chiefs have won their last two games, while the Raiders are coming off a disappointing loss to the 2-6 Giants. If you want to beat the spread either way at 2.5, you can do that right now on PointsBet. Or, you could dive deeper, clicking on tonight’s game and assembling a Same Game Parlay for increased fun and potential payout.
A Same Game Parlay basically just means a parlay consisting of multiple correlated wagers from one specific game. It provides bettors with good options to bet a game—and piece together props into a parlay within that game—beyond just the standard spread, moneyline, and over/under totals.
Here’s an example of my Same Game Parlay recommendation for the Monday Night Football matchup between Pittsburgh and Chicago last week:
- Pick Your Own Spread: Bears +10.5 (-230)
- Pick Your Own Total: OVER 35.5 (-240)
- Margins 13.5: Steelers 1-13 (+110)
- Receiving Props: Najee Harris To Get 25+ Receiving Yards (-180)
Total Odds: +470
That was a rough one—as my Grandpa used to say, “so close, but so far away!” We nailed the first three score-related legs, but missed on the Harris receiving prop. Hey, nobody said Same Game Parlays were easy—but they sure are fun! Let’s dive into our Sunday Night Football Same Game Parlay, and go into the work week with some cold, hard cash!
Chiefs vs. Raiders Same Game Parlay
- Moneyline: Chiefs (-145)
- Totals: Chiefs -27.5 (-115)
- Margins 13.5: Chiefs Win By 1-13 Points (+160)
- Quarterback To Get – Patrick Mahomes To Get 250+ Passing Yards (-280)
- Running Back To Get – Josh Jacobs To Get 50+ Rushing Yards (-180)
- Receiver To Get – Darren Waller To Get 75+ Receiving Yards (-105)
Total Odds (six legs): +1111
Moneyline: Chiefs (-145)
Look at those odds—I love the way that +1111 looks, and that’s gotta be good juju for us going into the evening. We have put together a six-leg parlay, but it’s comprised entirely of feasible props. First and foremost, we are selecting one of the two teams to win this contest outright. We don’t usually spring for moneylines in primetime, but I’m very confident in the Chiefs tonight. The Raiders have had a very challenging season—they lost head coach Jon Gruden when he stepped down amid controversy stemming from leaked emails, then they lost 2020 first-round wide receiver Henry Ruggs when he tragically killed a woman while drunk driving. Compared to what the Raiders organization has endured this season, the Chiefs have had smooth sailing. Kansas City hasn’t enjoyed the fruitful success it has in the past, but it’s still one of the more elite offenses in football. The Chiefs went into Vegas last season and won 35-31, and I think they will win by a similar margin this evening. Andy Reid’s squad has won in the Raiders home stadium in each of the past three seasons. Go with the reigning AFC champs to start your parlay.
Totals: Chiefs -27.5 (-115)
Since I’m choosing the Chiefs to win this game outright, I have no problem picking them to score the equivalent of four touchdowns. Kansas City has scored 30-plus points in four games this season, and logged 35 and 31 in its two games against Vegas last year. As a matter of fact, the last time the Chiefs scored under 28 points against the Raiders was December 2017, when KC put up 26. These teams always get up against each other, and both feature strong passing games with mediocre defenses. That’s a great recipe for the favorite to hit the OVER.
Margins 13.5: Chiefs Win By 1-13 Points (+160)
As we mentioned, these squads get up against each other, and both teams are fighting for a spot in the competitive AFC playoff picture. They are two of the 11 teams with at least five wins, so there really isn’t much room for error. Moving toward the home stretch of the season, every game counts when you’re trying to nab one of the seven conference playoff berths. And while we like Kansas City to win, we don’t like them to run away with this one. The Chiefs just beat the Packers without Aaron Rodgers 13-7, one week after narrowly defeating the Giants 20-17 (the same Giants that Vegas just lost to last weekend). The only blowout victory Kansas City has season was a 31-13 thrashing of the Washington Football Team in mid-October. This Raiders team is feisty, led by veteran QB Derek Carr and a talented set of skill-position players including running back Josh Jacobs, tight end Darren Waller, and wideouts Bryan Edwards and Hunter Renfrow. They may not have the nucleus KC enjoys with Patrick Mahomes, Tyreek Hill, and Travis Kelce, but they are more than equipped to keep this one from being a runaway. Last season, the Chiefs beat the Raiders by four in one game and lost by eight in their other meeting. Expect a single-digit win for Andy Reid’s boys today.
Patrick Mahomes To Get 250+ Passing Yards (-280)
I’m admittedly gun-shy when it comes to player props—one player prop has kept me from hitting nearly a dozen parlays of between four and six legs this season. So take my player prop suggestions with caution, and understand where I’m coming from when I play it super-conservatively. We’re going with Mahomes to put up 250 passing yards at -280 because the 300-yard threshold at +100 is way too risky. He’s only reached 300 passing yards three times all season, and two of those three games were at the very beginning of the Chiefs’ schedule. Is it possible that opposing defenses finally figured out how to contain the mighty superstar with a loaded trophy case? Yes, yes it is. Opposing coordinators have taken away the deep ball, and used the absence of second-year running back Clyde Edwards-Helaire to their advantage by selling out against the pass. The Raiders should employ a similar strategy this evening, likely bending but not completely breaking. Mahomes has reached 250-plus passing yards in seven of Kansas City’s nine games this season—root for the bend, not the break.
‘Josh Jacobs To Get 50+ Rushing Yards (-180)
If you are a wise bettor, you might consider ending your parlay with the Mahomes prop and making it a four-legger at +346. But if you’re like me, you’re probably stubbornly forging into heavier payout territory. Well, can’t say I didn’t warn you, but I also can’t say I blame you. Let’s have some fun. Jacobs has looked pretty spry the past couple games, averaging 4.83 yards per rush a few weeks ago in Philly and then 5.85 yards per carry in New York against a strong Giants front-seven last week. He’s hit 53 or more yards in two of his last three contests, including 76 last weekend in just 13 totes. The Chiefs surrender 121.7 rushing yards per game, which ranks 21st in the NFL. Kenyan Drake will get some touches, but not enough to keep Jacobs from the 50-yard mark. In three of the six games Jacobs has played this season, he has seen the field for 63 percent or more of the Raiders’ offensive snaps. The bruising back has also seen between 17 and 20 touches in four of his last five games. Meanwhile, Drake has seen over 48 percent of offensive snaps in just one game, and averages just 5.7 carries per game. Jacobs is the workhorse, bell-cow, whatever you want to call him—and he’ll be the one collecting 50-plus ground yards tonight.
Darren Waller To Get 75+ Receiving Yards (-105)
The last prop is often my favorite one, and hilariously it’s almost always the one that sinks my parlay. So, swim in these volatile waters at your own risk, bettors! I love Waller—he’s the second-best receiving tight end in football—next to Travis Kelce, his counterpart this evening. He’s 6’6” and 255 pounds, he’s quick, he’s got great hands and footwork, and he runs routes to perfection. What’s not to love? And since Ruggs threw his career down the toilet, Waller’s targets should go through the roof in the final stretch of the 2021 season. We got an initial glimpse of that last week in New York against the Giants, where Waller the Baller hauled in 7-of-11 targets for 92 yards. That’s the sixth game in seven outings in which Waller has received seven or more targets. I’m loving that for a guy who has caught 71.8 percent of his career targets while averaging 11.7 yards per catch. You know what I’m loving even more? Kansas City has surrendered more yards to opposing tight ends than any other team in the National Football League. Go off, Wall-rus! And help us get that parlay windfall!
Image Credit: Imagn