College Football Week 12 Betting Picks: Oklahoma at Baylor
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The marquee matchup in week 12 of the college football season will take place in Waco Saturday evening as the No. 13 Baylor Bears host the No. 10 Oklahoma Sooners. The Sooners come into the game as a 10.5-point road favorite over the undefeated Bears. Oddsmakers expect a lot of points to be scored in this matchup setting the total at 67.5. Here’s a breakdown and Week 12 college football betting picks for this Big 12 showdown.
Week 12 College Football Odds — Oklahoma vs. Baylor
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- Current Spread: Oklahoma -10.5
- Current Total: 67.5
44% of bets are on Oklahoma and 89% of bets are on the Over, per VegasInsider.com.
Baylor’s run through the 2019 season has been nothing short of magical. Head coach Matt Rhule has done an incredible job of taking a program that was in shambles and turning it into what it is today. However, none of this is fooling oddsmakers in Week 12. The 9-0 Bears are a double digit underdog against a one loss Oklahoma team, and with good reason. Baylor has had an incredible streak of good fortune this season as they have found ways to snatch victory from the jaws of defeat on numerous occasions. In week 7, they were a botched call by the referee on a fumbled snap away from suffering a home loss at the hands of a less than impressive Texas Tech team. The past two weeks they’ve struggled mightily with two of the bottom four teams in the Big 12. They managed to come away with a three point win in Week 10 against a West Virginia team that fumbled the snap twice on red zone drives ruining any chance of scoring. Last week, they only mustered 9 points in regulation against TCU but managed to outlast the Horned Frogs in overtime. Yes they are undefeated, but many of their wins have been in ugly fashion against bad teams.
It’s not up for debate which team is more talented. That would be the Oklahoma Sooners. They boast one of the most explosive offenses in the country featuring a dynamic Quarterback-Wide Receiver duo in Jalen Hurts and CeeDee Lamb. Hurts has accounted for 39 touchdowns on the year while Lamb has racked up 983 receiving yards on 44 receptions. That’s 300 yards more than Baylor’s leading receiver, Denzel Mims, on the same number of receptions. Baylor’s defense has been stout this season, but they have yet to face an offense as prolific as this one.
I see this as a statement game for the Sooners. They have struggled the last couple of weeks as their defense has returned to its 2018 form. They’ve allowed 79 points in the last two games resulting in a road loss versus Kansas State and a narrow one point home win against Iowa State. Prior to Week 9, they looked like one of the best teams in the country and a prime candidate to make it into the playoffs. They’ll need to win this game in dominant fashion to prove they still belong in that discussion.
Week 12 College Football Picks — Oklahoma vs. Baylor
I think the Sooners win comfortably in this one. I know they’re going on the road and the atmosphere in Waco will be electric. But Oklahoma is the more talented team and they are desperate to prove they are still one of the top programs in the country. Anybody that has watched Baylor’s games this year cannot deny the resilience they show and their ability to find ways to win. But their lack of dominance against inferior opponents is also noticeable. I like the Sooners to cover the spread.
I’m leaning towards the over in this game as well. The fact that Baylor has yet to face a team with the fire power Oklahoma possesses combined with the struggles the Sooner defense has run into lately points to an old fashioned Big 12 shootout in primetime. If the Sooners get the lead early, I expect them to keep their foot on the gas in order to make a statement to the playoff committee. I can see the final score looking something like 45-28.
College Football Picks: Oklahoma -10.5; Over 67.5
Image Credit: USA Today Sports Images