Primetime Parlay: Cowboys vs. Eagles Same Game Parlay Picks and Props
Throughout the 2022 NFL season, this article will use ScoresAndOdds’ ParlayIQ tool to examine building same game parlays across various sports betting sites for primetime NFL matchups. We will examine stats, roster news, trends, player props and betting odds across sportsbooks to pick the most profitable combination of outcomes for primetime games. Now let’s build our Cowboys vs. Eagles same game parlay for Sunday Night Football.
Happy Football Sunday, Grinders! As the DFS slate comes to an end, we are treated with a primetime game worth the watch. The 5-0 Philadelphia Eagles meet the resilient 4-1 Dallas Cowboys in a battle for early supremacy in the NFC East division. Jalen Hurts and the Eagles’ offense looks dynamic as both the running game and passing game continue to feature well in Philadelphia. For Dallas, the defense, led by Micah Parsons, has been incredible, buoying the Cowboys as they await the return of Dak Prescott. We haven’t seen a matchup of this caliber in quite some time. Let’s add some extra spice with a same game parlay.
Cowboys vs. Eagles Same Game Parlay Preview
At the time of this writing on Sunday morning, the Eagles are 6.5-point favorites at home. FanDuel Sportsbook prices both sides of the spread at -110. The implied game total is 42.5 with a -118 price tag on the under.
Thus far, 64% of tickets have come in on the Dallas side of the spread while 55% of the money has come in on Philadelphia. The spread opened on October 4th at -4.5. Casual betting seems to be siding with Dallas while the bigger movers prefer the Philadelphia side. 93% of the money has been on the under, moving that number from 45.5 all the way down to 42.5.
As for injuries, we have a bit to discuss. Starting with Dallas, Dak Prescott is questionable to return tonight but most reports indicate he will be back next week. If that’s the case, Cooper Rush will draw another start, proving to be one of the better backups in the NFL. CeeDee Lamb popped up on the injury report with a hip injury and is questionable for the game. In better news, Micah Parsons and Dalton Schultz left the injury report during the week and will suit up in the important tilt.
For the Eagles, Jordan Mailata will return to the offensive line — further bolstering one of the better units in the league. Jake Elliott will return after missing Week 5. Otherwise, the Eagles come into the game in full health.
The Cowboys’ defense is incredible. Micah Parsons is a darkhorse MVP candidate early in the season. That said, the Eagles continue to show week-to-week that they are the most complete football team in the NFC. This should be a good one. The table is set. Time to eat. Let’s build our ticket.
Cowboys vs. Eagles Same Game Parlay Picks
Dallas Cowboys Over 16.5 Points
While the Eagles’ implied total feels pretty low, the Dallas point total jumped off the page at me. ParlayIQ and our simulations agree, pegging this outcome for 57% of the simulations — a -133 line. The Cowboys exceeded this number four of five matchups with the only one under the first game of the season against Tampa Bay. Since Week 1, Cooper Rush has shepherded the Cowboys — with a lot of help from the defense — to more than 20 points each game.
I agree with the sims on this line. We should look to add some player props that correlate with this leg.
Ezekiel Elliott Over 50.5 Rushing Yards
The simulations and player stat projections love this leg as an addition to the Dallas point total. Despite looking far less explosive and athletic than his battery mate, Elliott continues to feature for the Dallas Cowboys.
So, if Zeke is going to feature for this team then we need to give him a look. The Eagles allow 5.0 yards per carry and Dallas averages 27.6 carries per game. While running the ball excessively doesn’t fit in with the initial script, the Cowboys should be able to find plenty of success with either back. Elliott has 15 carries or more over the last four weeks and 22 last weekend. Has he been efficient? No. Should he exceed 50.5 yards with 15-20 carries? Yes.
Normally, we fear another back to steal carries. With Dallas, however, there are plenty of carries to go around.
Jalen Hurts Over 49.5 Rushing Yards
As we’ve worked with ParlayIQ throughout the NFL season, we’ve learned that the simulations love props that correlate together. For instance, since we like the Dallas over and Elliott’s rushing prop, the sims are telling us to play the over in the football game and take a look at a Zeke touchdown. For these props to flow together is very logical. Unfortunately, FanDuel will not offer a standard parlay price for legs that go together.
With all of that said, we need to include some legs that don’t fit this script perfectly. After all, these are low-volume bets hoping to catch a big one. So, instead of weaving together more Dallas props, I want to take a look at the Philly side.
What’s not to love? The Eagles are loaded with viable candidates. However, that seems to be the problem. The Birds have so many mouths to feed and every single one is capable of breaking a big play. Instead, we look at the alpha, Jalen Hurts.
Watching the Giants play the Cowboys in primetime some weeks back, we saw an athletic quarterback break off very big runs against the Dallas defense. The Cowboys are going to get plenty of pressure but can be had if leaving a lane or two for a quick signal-caller. Jalen Hurts is significantly more dynamic than Daniel Jones.
I like the over on his rushing prop. I think Hurts will have enough designed runs to complement the unscripted rushes. One or two big runs and we are on our way.
CeeDee Lamb Over 61.5 Receiving Yards
We added a Philadelphia leg, now we go back to the Dallas side. CeeDee Lamb continues to establish himself as one of the better wide receivers in the NFL. Also, he continues to be the apple of his quarterback’s eye.
Lamb boasts a target market share north of 34%. Lamb is not simply catching horizontal screen passes. His 10.44 ADOT suggests Cooper Rush is looking downfield for Lamb. If Dallas is going to play a complete offensive game, Lamb will likely see his typical 7-10 targets with room for more.
We saw Darius Slay have great success against Justin Jefferson in a primetime spot. That said, we don’t shy away from cornerback matchups when the volume is present. I think Lamb is a fine addition of Dallas is going over their point total.
DAL vs. PHI Same Game Parlay Odds
- Dallas Cowboys Over 16.5 Points
- Ezekiel Elliott Over 50.5 Rushing Yards
- Jalen Hurts Over 49.5 Rushing Yards
- CeeDee Lamb Over 61.5 Receiving Yards
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So, after punching our ticket into ParlayIQ, the simulations suggest the following price:
FanDuel, however, offers this price:
Tonight marks the second time that I am going to book a ticket when ParlayIQ suggests a better price. The simulations are not in love with Jalen Hurts rushing prop. That seems to be suppressing the price for this same game parlay. Regardless, using the simulations to keep an eye on the expected value continues to be helpful.
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PLACE THIS BET ON Parlay Odds: +1082
Risk: 1/2 unit to win 5.41 units
Good luck with all of your bets and plays this evening. Share your parlays with me on Twitter and any other plays you are making for the game. First touchdown scorers? Touchdowns? DFS lineups? Thanks for reading.
Image Credit: Imagn