Daily Batter Breakdown: Mon, June 16th

by Jon Schiller (Varncass) Last Updated 2014-06-16 16:18:40

Welcome to the Daily Batter Breakdown. Each day, with at least 8 games on the night slate, I’ll breakdown some of the best top tier hitters to target based on matchup. The biggest split taken into account will be left/right, but each player card will also show park factors, player salaries and then a description of why I’ll be targeting him. Be sure to check out the FAQ for more information on specific stats.

I hope everyone had a wonderful Father’s Day and enjoyed the plethora of sports that happened this weekend. It seemed that baseball took a bit of a backseat with all that was going on but without NHL and NBA, baseball will take front stage as the only big American sport running (minus the World Cup, of course). It’s time to get down to the real grind.

		Miguel Montero
		Daily Breakdown			Avg	OPS	HR%	wOBA
		Left/Right Splits			0.305	0.925	5.39%	0.398
		Last 7 Days Splits			0.217	0.829	8.70%	0.361
		Opp SP vs. LR			Avg	OPS	HR%	wOBA
		Peralta – RIGHT			0.268	0.742	8.82%	0.332
PARK-1	PARK-LR	FD	DS	DD	DK	FF	SS	FTD
0.974	0.970	$3,500	$5,522	$9,150	$4,200	$82,600	$7,300	$9,850

Miguel Montero

Montero is extremely cheap on Draftstreet tonight and makes a solid catcher option on most sites especially there. Montero has had a bit of a power swing lately, smashing homers regularly. He is only good against right handed pitching, hitting .309 with a .934 OPS and all of his homers, and Peralta has allowed RHB to beat him easier than lefties. The D’Backs are hitting at home in a hitter’s park and Montero should be able to do a lot of damage tonight.

		Matt Adams
		Daily Breakdown			Avg	OPS	HR%	wOBA
		Left/Right Splits			0.376	0.951	2.55%	0.408
		Last 7 Days Splits			0.667	2.333	33.33%	1.004
		Opp SP vs. LR			Avg	OPS	HR%	wOBA
		Degrom – RIGHT			0.241	0.747	12.12%	0.332
PARK-1	PARK-LR	FD	DS	DD	DK	FF	SS	FTD
0.892	1.018	$3,000	$5,453	$8,200	$3,700	$73,000		$8,200

Matt Adams

Adams remains cheap across the industry even after 3 games in a row with a homer since returning to the lineup. He’s not only hitting for power this year (.977 OPS against right handers), but he’s also hitting for average, .374. DeGrom has been serviceable but has been bit by the long ball a bit and has been pretty hittable in the past 3 games. I like Adams to go deep again tonight especially at that salary.

		Ian Kinsler
		Daily Breakdown			Avg	OPS	HR%	wOBA
		Left/Right Splits			0.279	0.687	1.47%	0.301
		Last 7 Days Splits			0.080	0.275	0.00%	0.124
		Opp SP vs. LR			Avg	OPS	HR%	wOBA
		Vargas – LEFT			0.253	0.721	7.60%	0.325
PARK-1	PARK-LR	FD	DS	DD	DK	FF	SS	FTD
1.139	1.090	$3,500	$7,339	$9,750	$4,400	$79,700	$7,400	$9,300

Ian Kinsler

Kinsler’s bit of a slump has really lowered his price to usable levels. He’s starting to get it together and has really put some good swings on the ball and it’s always better to get a player while their salary is still low. Kinsler has hit lefties to around a .900 OPS in his career and even though Vargas has been solid and I’m not a proponent of stacking all Tigers today, Kinsler still makes a solid play most likely batting 2nd against a lefty at his cheap price.

		Brock Holt
		Daily Breakdown			Avg	OPS	HR%	wOBA
		Left/Right Splits			0.308	0.763	1.28%	0.337
		Last 7 Days Splits			0.387	0.89	0.00%	0.391
		Opp SP vs. LR			Avg	OPS	HR%	wOBA
		Correia – RIGHT			0.298	0.805	7.36%	0.353
PARK-1	PARK-LR	FD	DS	DD	DK	FF	SS	FTD
0.960	1.043	$3,400	$5,151	$9,150	$4,000	$71,800	$7,400	$8,850

Brock Holt

With Holt, you really aren’t looking for the home run play, but he will get you a guy who has a chance to really help your cash games as one of the lower risk players. It helps that he’s against Correia here who has been pretty miserable this year and just isn’t that great of a pitcher. He doesn’t strike many people out and has given up an .830 OPS to both sides this year. The Red Sox are one of my favorite teams to load up on today as they have the highest over/under and Holt should be leading off.

		Eugenio Suarez
		Daily Breakdown			Avg	OPS	HR%	wOBA
		Left/Right Splits			0.167	1.111	16.67%	0.466
		Last 7 Days Splits			0.333	1.178	13.33%	0.5
		Opp SP vs. LR			Avg	OPS	HR%	wOBA
		Vargas – LEFT			0.253	0.721	7.60%	0.325
PARK-1	PARK-LR	FD	DS	DD	DK	FF	SS	FTD
1.139	1.090	$3,000	$4,725	$10,450	$3,600	$44,700	$6,500	$7,300

Eugenio Suarez

It really depends on where you get Suarez tonight because of price but I still like him on the cheap sites. He’s showed up and really changed the shortstop perspective for the Tigers. He’s hitting at an unsustainable level right now, but is hot and still really cheap on DraftKings and DraftStreet, along with a few other sites. He will hit in the 9 hole but does face a lefty in Vargas who gives up all of his power to right handed batters.

		Matt Kemp
		Daily Breakdown			Avg	OPS	HR%	wOBA
		Left/Right Splits			0.174	0.509	0.00%	0.226
		Last 7 Days Splits			0.429	1.365	4.76%	0.565
		Opp SP vs. LR			Avg	OPS	HR%	wOBA
		Matzek – LEFT			0.235	0.471	0.00%	0.209
PARK-1	PARK-LR	FD	DS	DD	DK	FF	SS	FTD
0.868	0.958	$3,600	$6,156	$9,900	$4,400	$74,000	$6,800	$9,700

Matt Kemp

I think it’s finally a go to deploy Matt Kemp willy-nilly again. He’s cheap on all of the sites and finally appears to be getting his stroke back from his all-star seasons. He’s been awful against left handed pitching this year but what would you trust more, a 331 AB sample with a 1.064 OPS against lefties or a 71 at bat sample with a .523? I’m going to go with the former and assume his lefty struggles are just a product of him struggling overall. I know Matzek had a great debut, but I’m not expecting everything to be rainbows and unicorns in his 2nd MLB start.

		Michael Brantley
		Daily Breakdown			Avg	OPS	HR%	wOBA
		Left/Right Splits			0.329	0.903	4.05%	0.396
		Last 7 Days Splits			0.393	1.112	3.57%	0.482
		Opp SP vs. LR			Avg	OPS	HR%	wOBA
		Weaver – RIGHT			0.237	0.660	6.66%	0.298
PARK-1	PARK-LR	FD	DS	DD	DK	FF	SS	FTD
0.933	0.992	$3,900	$8,424	$10,500	$4,900	$103,200	$9,300	$10,450

Michael Brantley

Brantley is scorching hot right now, and should be utilized in most formats unless he’s one of the top 8 outfielders in terms of salary. Two hits in 5 straight games, and the monster game against Texas last week has made for an extremely solid week of hitting for him. Weaver is a solid pitcher, and I am not going to be stacking Indians but I really like Brantley as a solo artist tonight in his breakout campaign. Weaver has allowed at least 1 HR in his last 4 all while compiling a miserable WHIP in that time and really struggling in general. I wouldn’t feel hesitant to roll out Dr. Smooth tonight.

		Daniel Nava
		Daily Breakdown			Avg	OPS	HR%	wOBA
		Left/Right Splits			0.247	0.715	2.74%	0.322
		Last 7 Days Splits			0.476	1.093	0.00%	0.483
		Opp SP vs. LR			Avg	OPS	HR%	wOBA
		Correia – RIGHT			0.298	0.805	7.36%	0.353
PARK-1	PARK-LR	FD	DS	DD	DK	FF	SS	FTD
0.960	1.043	$2,200	$5,599	$6,750	$3,400	$47,200	$3,300	$6,850

Daniel Nava

Nava is still min priced on FanDuel after his absolutely miserable start to the season, which really entices me to use him. He’s been better lately with 5 hits in 3 walks in the last 3 starts, and appears to be seeing the ball a bit better right now. As noted above, I like the Red Sox tonight against Correia, especially the lefties. Nava himself has hit right handed pitching to a .711 OPS even considering the fact he couldn’t hit his way out of a wet paper bag to start the year. He’s cheap almost everywhere and should see some solid opportunities tonight.

		David Ortiz
		Daily Breakdown			Avg	OPS	HR%	wOBA
		Left/Right Splits			0.248	0.845	6.54%	0.351
		Last 7 Days Splits			0.154	0.69	7.69%	0.293
		Opp SP vs. LR			Avg	OPS	HR%	wOBA
		Correia – RIGHT			0.298	0.805	7.36%	0.353
PARK-1	PARK-LR	FD	DS	DD	DK	FF	SS	FTD
0.960	1.043	$3,900	$8,840	$10,350	$4,800	$87,600	$8,000	$10,700

David Ortiz

Ortiz is my favorite play of the night as he always brings huge HR upside and power especially against right handed pitching. He’s been struggling a little bit lately but all that means is his price is a bit manageable and his career OPS against right handers is insane. I really like him tonight against Correia and the Red Sox are my favorite low risk hitters tonight.

		Seth Smith
		Daily Breakdown			Avg	OPS	HR%	wOBA
		Left/Right Splits			0.299	0.922	3.59%	0.399
		Last 7 Days Splits			0.211	0.671	0.00%	0.289
		Opp SP vs. LR			Avg	OPS	HR%	wOBA
		Young – RIGHT			0.220	0.680	10.59%	0.307
PARK-1	PARK-LR	FD	DS	DD	DK	FF	SS	FTD
0.991	0.957	$3,300	$5,566	$7,550	$3,600	$59,700	$6,300	$7,600

Seth Smith

It seems like so long ago that Smith was hitting everything he saw, but alas, times change. He usually only hits against right handed pitching, so it’s nice that Chris Young is on the mound today for the Mariners. I find this game extremely interesting as the Padres are actually a favorite here in this game and are almost at 4 runs. It appears that Vegas really likes the Padres here and I might try to get one of their cheaper better players like Smith into my lineup. I don’t really believe in Chris Young either, so that makes it easy as well.