DFS Hockey Primer: What You Need to Know

For those of you that are new to daily fantasy hockey or have not yet made the jump and need a quick overview on the game and some basic strategy, this is the article for you. The idea is to rack up the most fantasy points from your roster by having your skaters score goals, earn assists, log pluses (or minuses), and get penalty minutes.

The Basics

That may sound obvious, but actually accomplishing this goal is a very tricky task. On FanDuel, you must compile a roster of eight skaters and one goalie. That is, staying under the given salary cap, you must select two LWs, two RWs, two Cs, two defensemen and one goaltender.

sidney-crosby-300x200

If you want to cash on any particular night, you really must hit on the goaltender on a winning team, and you need to have at least three goal scorers. On FanDuel and DraftKings, you can win with depth players (who are often the ones who put the puck in the net with helpers from your stars) that have a high +/- rating (for FanDuel, but not DraftKings) for the night, who shoot the puck a ton, or who are troublemakers (as most sites reward players with points for penalty minutes (PIMs) and for “live” statistics such as hits and blocked shots).

Thus, make sure that you understand your site’s scoring system. I know that this mantra is pounded into your head with the start of every fantasy season, but it is worth me saying again. Each DFS site weighs goals and assists differently, just as they value goalie wins in a different matter. What this means is that it is in your best interests to pay up for a goalie on one site, or spend on that top sniper on an another site, because FanDuel and DraftKings, for example, each weigh those relative statistics amongst total projected winning scores differently. On FanDuel, a goalie win may account for much more than that same task counts on DK or DraftDay. Thus, when building your projections or your lineups, make sure you take the relative differences into account.

After you have digested this, it is time to look at my plan of attack and some advanced strategies that I have employed each night.

Strategy

The first thing I do on any given day is jot down some notes about the Vegas lines, whether it is the money-lines or over/unders, in order to help assess where the money is going. Some of the information I will write out is accessible to the public, but my information with respect to sharp money is sort of my own read that I attempt to convey in each daily piece that I write. The thought here is that Vegas spends much more money and energy in setting accurate lines than we spend on any given day playing DFS hockey. As such, we can assume that the information that Vegas releases is as solid a base as any from which we may start our lineup building.

Editor’s Note: RotoGrinders will be providing automated NHL lineups and much, much more on the site this season!

Goalies

The next thing I do is to take note of the lines that players are likely to play on that night. Then, I take a look at which goaltenders are set to start that night. I usually tweet out the starting netminders each day about an hour before the first puck drops. Knowing who the starting goalies are each night is really no different than ensuring in daily fantasy baseball that your players are actually in their respective team’s starting lineup.

Now that you have all of your data written down or scribed in some form, take a look at, for example, FanDuel, and note each players’ salary. Personally, I always start out selecting my goalie. I will take the cheapest goalie on the team that is likely (according to Vegas) to get a “W”. The thought here is that FanDuel weighs goalie wins heavily (comparable to a pitcher’s win in baseball) so you want to “pay up” for a goaltender, or at least pay up for the one of the top tier netminders. This theory is true when building your cash-game lineups.

Remember that my strategy is just a suggestion and is one that I do not always follow. The critical point is that you should always commence your lineup on any given night with your goaltender. Each goalie on each team has a different floor and, necessarily, a different upside. One big mistake that you can make is to limit your goaltender selection by building around your skaters first.

Skaters

Once I have my goalie, from there I add a couple of core superstars and then add in the remaining puzzle pieces. At points during the season, especially in your cash-game lineups on short-slate nights, you will almost feel obligated to play, for example, Sidney Crosby or Alex Ovechkin every night, because you know that even though they come with a high price tag, you do not want to be the one daily fantasy player without them in the lineup. This situation happened during this baseball season when it was almost impossible to not play Clayton Kershaw.

Ideally, you want to target your skaters on teams from games that have a high over/under. It’s also helpful to find situations where one team has a significantly better power play and is playing a team with a significantly poor penalty kill percentage. You should then attempt to select a netminder in a game with a lower than normal over/under where the moneyline is extremely in favor of the favored team. For NHL purposes, I like to have a goalie on a team with that is at least a -175 on the ML or higher. With respect to my skaters, I try to roster as many forwards and defensemen as possible that skate on the first line (or first defensive unit) as well as on their team’s top power play unit. Of course, this may not always be possible, so you must learn to dig deep to find “values”.

The hardest part about setting a daily fantasy hockey lineup is finding those value or bargain bin players. To do so, pay careful attention to a team’s lines, and note whether a value player (in other words, a player with a cheap price tag) is playing with the first line or second line. It is a bonus if this value player is expected to see power play time. Much like NFL or MLB DFS, pay particular attention to cheap players who are getting a significant bump in responsibility. That is, if a skater who typically sees third-line usage and is suddenly projected to skate with his team’s top line and first power play unit, then to roster that player you will have to pay a fraction of what you would pay for another skater in a similar situation that usually sees the same usage.

For example, Steven Stamkos will see first line and first power play unit time, but he is usually one of the most expensive players to buy each night. If a less talented player replaces Stamkos one night, you can roster him for much less cap space, and you know he’ll be skating with more talented linemates than he may be used to skating with. So, lock him in and then use that savings to spend elsewhere, say, on a more expensive goalie than you had planned on rostering before.

Lastly, on short-slate nights, be on the lookout for offensive-minded defensemen that log 22:00 minutes of ice time per game or more. You may be in a position in which you want to spend top dollar on that D-man. If you roster that one blueliner who notches a few assists or records a goal when there are 3, 4 or 5 games on a night, you should usually cash in your double-up games. The thought is that a high-priced, offensive defenseman is more likely to at least reach his value when compared to a similarly priced forward that might get second power-play unit time in a poor matchup.

Game Wrap Up/Analytics

In the end, succeeding in the daily fantasy hockey landscape is as much about following the game on a nightly basis as it is in making the right roster choices. If you become adept at finding and exploiting salary inefficiencies, then you will be able to maximize the firepower of your lineup each night. As you follow the NHL news, you will spend less time trying to find holes in players’ salaries and more time building optimal lineups. Remember that daily fantasy hockey is still a small world, in comparison to NFL, MLB and NBA, so if you learn the game, you will be able to make your lasting mark in the DFS world.

Over the course of the season, I will be sure to include more advanced strategies in my pieces. One of the primary tools that the hockey world has been rapidly (yet, somehow slowly) accepting are advanced analytics. While there is no perfect statistic that encapsulates a skater’s worth like say, xFIP, win shares or wRC+, us hockey analysts have been crunching numbers in an attempt to be the first to create that one metric that accurately measures a skater’s value. Until then, we must keep using Corsi, Fenwick and other analytics that are designed to track puck movement and puck possession, which I will explain in the coming months.

Good luck Grinders!

About the Author

  • Tony Mauriello (TheTonyM)

  • A 25-year fantasy sports veteran and a California and New York licensed corporate transactional attorney by day, Tony has been a part of the daily fantasy sports world for four years and joined the RotoGrinders team prior to the 2013-2014 NHL season. A Duke law graduate and Boston sports (and Eagles) fan, he is also a member of the Fantasy Sports Writers Association and contributes to Rotoworld, FantasyPros, and ProjectRoto. Please feel free to contact him at any time on twitter @TheTonyM with your fantasy sports questions.

Comments

  • pepsi7

    • 2013 FanDuel WFBC Champion

    • x3

      2012 FanDuel WFBC Finalist

    Great article Tony.

    Hockey is back baby!

  • rookieblitz

    Great job Tony, can’t wait to start playing NHL games again

  • bainb998

    Lace em up and lets get it on! Hockey is back!

  • tzahlhas

    Thanks Tony. Great insight for roster construction. Can’t wait for the season to start. One question though… which Hanson brother should I pay up for?

  • TheTonyM

    RG NHL Daily Plays

    Gents – thanks very much for the kind words and, yes, it’s great to be back!

  • millert25

    Thank you for the information. I’m trying hockey for the first time this week. Where is the best place to get the vegas lines from?

  • TheTonyM

    RG NHL Daily Plays

    MillerT – I use VegasInsider.

  • chrisp200

    super excited for this. Hockey is all I play

  • ohnjz

    AlphaDraft Rep

    • 2013 StarStreet NFL Playboy Mansion Finalist

    The beast is back. Pay close attention to Tony’s advice this season if you like money.

  • KingRink

    Great Article Tony !! Wednesday can’t come soon enough Good luck to everyone playing DFS Hockey this year

  • colinwdrew

    • 209

      RG Overall Ranking

    • 2020 DraftKings FHWC Champion

    • 2018 DraftKings FHWC Finalist

    Tony, any idea when the lineup tools on RG will be up? Until then, clunky DailyFaceoff it is.

  • UofM1blue

    Tony, I have truly missed your articles. Welcome back!

  • 34midwaymonsta

    Lets do it!

  • Mhesters

    You forgot to mention the other hard part about hockey – that players will sit out for the slightest injury, hangnail on shooting hand or chin zits that can make the helmet uncomfortable :)

    Nice article – thank you

  • RotoHobo

    Good stuff Tony!

  • mrballer

    Great Read Tony, I am excited to have Hockey back and have options to play each night unlike NFL

  • BuffloSoldier

    RG Soccer Contributor

    Didn’t DK remove penalty minutes?

  • LedgerSko

    Good to hear from you again Tony. I am so glad hockey is back. I’ll be able to play the full season this year. Baseball was such a frustrating grind. Hockey is where it’s at!!!!

  • chacha59

    LOVE YOUR BACK TONY!!! ALWAYS A GREAT READ N HELP!!!

  • nils

    Truly excellent piece, Tony! Thanks for helping out us newbies. Good luck and may you crush it this season!

  • wahnd

    Thanks Tony. I am looking forward to learning more from you!

  • FantasyFan14

    Da T Man is back in da house. Here we go boys…

  • ldmariodl28

    • Blogger of the Month

    Tony, what NHL publications/websites do you like the best for NHL news

  • Frisco5x

    as always, great article Tony

  • boggslite

    NHL Analyst, GrindersLive Co-Host

    • 112

      RG Overall Ranking

    • Ranked #67

      RG Tiered Ranking

    • 2017 DraftKings FBWC Finalist

    • x2

      2013 FanDuel WFBC Finalist

    Great stuff as always Tony, looking forward to working with you for another NHL Season!

  • X Unread Thread
  • X Thread with New Replies*
  • *Jumps to your first unread reply

New to DFS?

Be sure to click through our links and use our exclusive promo codes to receive the industry's best sign-up bonuses, including free access to our premium content.

RotoGrinders.com is the home of the daily fantasy sports community. Our content, rankings, member blogs, promotions and forum discussion all cater to the players that like to create a new fantasy team every day of the week. Our goal is to help all of our members make more money playing daily fantasy sports!

Bet with your head, not over it!
Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-Gambler