DraftKings Tips: Late Swap

A little while ago, I created a video tutorial on how to get the most out of DraftKings’ late-swap feature—a feature that allows you to remove any player from your lineup whose game has not yet begun for any other player who also hasn’t yet played (assuming you stay under the salary cap).

Most people use the late-swap feature to remove injured players from their lineup, but I think there’s a big potential edge to be had by using the late-swap feature more strategically. Here’s a look at some tactics I use.

To recap, here are three ways I think you can gain an advantage by using the late-swap feature strategically.

1. Your flex should be the player with the latest game, whenever possible.

You should fill out your lineup as you’d like—don’t pick players based on the late-swap feature—but then rearrange the players you’ve chosen to give yourself as many options as possible. If you have three running backs with one in the flex, use the running back with the latest game time as your flex play. If you have four receivers, use the receiver with the latest game.
By starting the player with the latest game, you’re giving yourself more ‘outs’ if you want to make a switch. After the 1pm games, for example, you have more information about your lineup and how it compares to your opponents, so you can make changes if necessary to increase your win probability. With the flex spot open, you have more options for subbing players in and out.

2. Reassess how much risk you want to assume after each game slate.

The biggest thing to consider when making late swaps is “How much risk do I want to take on? Let’s say that you’re in a head-to-head matchup and crushing your opponent after the 1pm games, but you have a wide receiver in the flex. Knowing that running backs are safer options and that you want to avoid variance at all costs as a heavy favorite, it could make sense to switch your flex to a running back. That’s true even if you have the running back as the worse value; his narrower range of outcomes will improve your chances of winning since the only way you can lose is if your remaining players tank.

3. Remove/add stacks when necessary.

This is related to the last point, but you can use smart player combinations to help you increase or decrease risk/reward as you see fit. Maybe you’re in a five-man league and you consider yourself a pretty big underdog after the early games. You need as much volatility (and upside) as possible, so it could make sense to late-swap to a QB/WR pair. That will increase the ceiling and decrease the floor of your lineup. Since you’re an underdog, the decreased floor won’t really hurt you, so swapping to a stack will only improve your chances of winning.

About the Author

  • Jon Bales (JonBales)

  • Jonathan Bales is the founder of RotoAcademy and author of the Fantasy Sports for Smart People book series.

  • daveinchi1975

    2012 DSBC Finalist

    Excellent advice – I was getting killed w a gpp lineup after the early games today (No Brady-Gronk on that l/u) and had a GB stack with Rodgers-Parker-Nelson going. I figured that l/u wouldn’t cash even if my Pack stack went off since tons of people would have Packers players in New Orleans, so I decided to switch my Pack stack to a stack that less people would have – went with Pittsburgh (replacing Rodgers-Parker-Nelson with Roth-Brown-Wheaton) and just ate the salary loss. I figured if the Steelers went off, I’d have a better chance of cashing. The Steelers sure went off and I ended up getting 7 TDs from those guys to turn a likely non-cash into a solid cash. I still have to sweat out GB tonight, but it worked like a charm. If you aren’t likely to cash anyways, you might as well change your stack to a less likely stack since the less likely stack can move up more in a gpp than a stack of the usual suspects – probably would have worked with Foles-Maclin-Cooper to a slightly lesser degree as well.

    This works well in the opposite way – if you hit on multiple same team stacks (say, you went Brady-Gronk-Lafell (Edelman more likely) with several entries – I had 5 with Brady-Gronk-Edelman) in a gpp, then you can take your late game players and distribute risk over the late games – I did this with Dez Bryant who was a WR for me on 3 of those entries – I switched to Maclin on one of those entries and that stack now looks like the one that will score the most. I also switched out Parker (GB) for Moncrief, since I was extremely dependent on Parker over like 15 entries – I only went with Moncrief twice, but with his big game, if Parker busts, I still will cash well.

  • daveinchi1975

    2012 DSBC Finalist

    Also, thanks for the great advice, as someone who likes to make these types of changes, it didn’t occur to me to make sure that I used the flex for a Monday Night player (assuming that I was taking one) as opposed to at RB or WR, thereby giving a bit more risk-distributing flexibility with the late slate. Will do this from now on

    This blog is worth its weight in gold man.

  • daveinchi1975

    2012 DSBC Finalist

    *mention of Parker should have been Adams (confusing the college Davante with the pro guy).

  • 8MileAllstars

    I think I have a perfect example for you: https://rotogrinders.com/threads/DK_Step_4_Strategy_Question_re_MNF_game-405485

  • dncolonna

    Got caught last night deciding whether or not to switch the Dallas D for Washington. Obviously everyone was on Dallas and the only way I could move up the leader board was to make the switch. But, at the end of the day I thought Dallas would score more points so I kept them in there.

    I’m sure a lot of people wrestled with this last night, curious to know how many actually pulled the trigger and were rewarded.

  • daveinchi1975

    2012 DSBC Finalist

    I ended up changing Dallas to Washington with a entry with an outside chance at cashing, alas, it didn’t work as I feel 4 points short.

  • daveinchi1975

    2012 DSBC Finalist

    I’m doing something similar tonight – I have Luck-Hilton-Allen on 5 entries (each should cash), but because I think Eli-Randle-Donnell will be far less-owned, I’m switching 2 of the 5 to Eli-Randle-Donnell. I figure if Luck-Hilton-Allen do their thing, with 5, I would cash all of them, but so many will have that group that none of those cashes will be strong ones. Meanwhile, after the switch, I have 3 cashes (losing $40 or so) if that happens, but if the reverse occurs and Eli has a big game while hooking up with Randle-Donnell, while Bradshaw thieves a couple Luck passing TD’s, those 2 switched entries will leap up the leaderboards for strong cashes that will more than payoff my misses.

    These are $2 and $5 draftkings tourney entries.

    Will let you guys know how that works in terms of dollars and cents difference.

  • daveinchi1975

    2012 DSBC Finalist

    Here’s one of the 2 entries I switched:

    QB Eli Manning swap —%
    IND 0 NYG 0
    Mon 8:30PM
    0

    RB Jeremy Hill 37.3%
    JAX 23 CIN 33
    Final
    2 RuTD, 9 RecYds, 154 RuYds, 1 REC, 1 100+Rush 32.3

    RB Marshawn Lynch 26.3%
    OAK 24 SEA 30
    Final
    2 RuTD, 76 RecYds, 67 RuYds, 5 REC 31.3

    WR Julian Edelman 8.5%
    DEN 21 NE 43
    Final
    1 RecTD, 89 RecYds, 9 REC, 1 PuntTD 29.9

    WR Rueben Randle swap —%
    IND 0 NYG 0
    Mon 8:30PM
    0

    WR Allen Robinson 1.9%
    JAX 23 CIN 33
    Final
    35 RecYds, 4 REC 7.5

    TE Larry Donnell swap —%
    IND 0 NYG 0
    Mon 8:30PM
    0

    FLEX LeSean McCoy 24.7%
    PHI 31 HOU 21
    Final
    6 RecYds, 117 RuYds, 2 REC, 1 100+Rush 17.3

    DST Chiefs 15.4%
    NYJ 10 KC 24
    Final
    3 SACK, 1 7-13 PA 7

    Total Fantasy Points: 125.30
    3589th place (1150th place cashes)

  • daveinchi1975

    2012 DSBC Finalist

    I think it reasonable to figure Luck-Hilton-Allen garners around 60 fpts tonight which would have put me at around 400th for a $15 cash, but if Eli-Randle-Donnell go off for 60 instead, I think top 100 is likely given the lower % of gamers who have that combo. If they combine for 40, I think the entry will still pay for itself.

  • motownmauler

    omg your are just talking to yourself

  • X Unread Thread
  • X Thread with New Replies*
  • *Jumps to your first unread reply

New to DFS?

Be sure to click through our links and use our exclusive promo codes to receive the industry's best sign-up bonuses, including free access to our premium content.

RotoGrinders.com is the home of the daily fantasy sports community. Our content, rankings, member blogs, promotions and forum discussion all cater to the players that like to create a new fantasy team every day of the week.

If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER (1-800-426-2537) (IL). Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ/WV/PA/MI), 1-800-9-WITH-IT (IN), 1-800-522-4700 (CO), 1-800-BETS OFF (IA), 1-888-532-3500 (VA) or call/text TN REDLINE 1-800-889-9789 (TN).