Early Super Bowl Props and Picks for Monkey Knife Fight
Super Bowl props galore! Even if you aren’t in a state with online sportsbooks, you can still get in on the fun with NFL Super Bowl props from Monkey Knife Fight. The props-based DFS site offers all types of games with various players and projections.
Below are a few of my favorite picks for the Bengals and Rams. Make sure to use our exclusive Monkey Knife Fight promo code ‘GRINDERS’ to get a $100 deposit bonus when you sign up!
Monkey Knife Fight Super Bowl Props
More or Less (2/2, 3x Your Buy-In)
- Matthew Stafford OVER 280.5 Yards
- Joe Burrow OVER 275.5 Yards
Ok, I’ll be honest here. I don’t want a boring Super Bowl. I want fireworks, which usually mean prolific quarterback play, receivers breaking big plays, and a lot of offensive touchdowns and back-and-forth between teams.
I’m picking accordingly.
Putting aside my desire to see a lot of yards, I also think there’s merit to taking the over on both of these props. Generally speaking, particularly when it comes to Super Bowl, if you like the over on a prop it’s better to bet earlier than later. Public money dominates Super Bowl props and, as a result, prop projections typically increase as we inch closer to kickoff.
Encouragingly, Stafford is coming off a 337-yard passing game against the 49ers and averaged 287.4 yard paper game throughout the season. Some of his worst games in terms of yardage game in the final six week or so of the regular season, and there was speculation that Stafford wasn’t fully healthy.
Whatever his issues were then no longer seem to be plaguing the gunslinger now. Though he only passed the pass ball 17 times for 202 yards against the Cardinals in the Divisional Round, Stafford rebounded with a 366-yard game in Tampa Bay. He’s now averaging over 300 yards per game this postseason, which is in line with his previous three postseason appearances before joining the Rams.
The Bengals have the 24th-ranked DVOA against the pass but are 13th agains the run, so it makes sense that the Rams will try to attack through the air. When they do, I expect them to have success. I also think the favorites (-4) will play well enough defensively in the first half to get out to an early lead. From there, the Bengals will be forced to play catch up via Burrow’s arm as Cincinnati tries to mount another come-from-behind victory. It also doesn’t hurt that the Bengals are passing 60 percent of the time on first down, a trend that will likely continue against the Rams’ dominant run defense.
He might lack proper protection but that hasn’t stopped Burrow from connecting with a talented receiving corps that includes Ja’marr Chase, Tee Higgins, and Tyler Boyd.
Sure, this is how I foresee the game playing out but it doesn’t necessarily mean I’ll be right. There are definitely plausible scenarios where the quarterbacks struggle to reach these passing projections, especially if these prop lines get larger between now and kickoff.
The main thing you should keep in mind when making all of your Monkey Knife Fight picks is to try to increase your edge by making correlated plays. In this case it means picking a pair of overs or a pair of unders. Just look back to last week: The under hit for both Burrow and Mahomes, while the over hit for Stafford and Garoppolo.
Touchdown Dance, OVER 1.5 (1.5x)
This might not sound quite as easy as our Touchdown Dance in the AFC Championship game that included Tyreek Hill and Travis Kelce, but the total in this game is flirting with 50 points so we can expect right around 6 or 7 touchdowns. Now we just have to pick out which players will find paydirt. My money is on Cooper Kupp, Joe Mixon and Cam Akers.
Kupp has four touchdowns in the playoffs, and has caught a touchdown pass in eight of his last nine games. It wouldn’t surprise me if we don’t even need Mixon and Akers’ help to go over 1.5 touchdowns.
More or Less (2/2, 3x Your Buy-In)
- Cooper Kupp OVER 107.5 Receiving Yards
- Joe Mixon UNDER 64.5 Rushing Yards
Speaking off Kupp…LA’s top receiver, and arguably the top receiver in the NFL, is coming off of 142- and 183-yard performances. Crazy enough, we’ve watched him reach 108+ yards 13 times this season, including the playoffs.
Mixon ran for 88 yards against the Chiefs, which was only the second time the Bengals’ running back has eclipsed 64 rushing yards since the end of November. I don’t expect Mixon to find as many holes in the trenches as he found in Kansas City. He may very well have a big games but I expect a good portion of his yards to come from passes rather than handoffs.
More or Less (5/5, 15x Buy-in)
- Matthew Stafford OVER 280.5 Passing Yards
- Joe Burrow OVER 275.5 Passing Yards
- Cooper Kupp OVER 107.5 Receiving Yards
- Ja’Marr Chase OVER 5.5 Receptions
- Joe Mixon UNDER 64.5 Rushing Yards
- Tee Higgins OVER 5.5 Receptions
I’ve touched on all but two of these props in previous sections. If I’m looking for fireworks then it makes sense to add overs for Chase and Higgins. Overall I think this correlated parlay can reasonably cash if things go right. After all, Higgins and Chase both had 6 receptions against the Chiefs though Burrow threw for only 250 yards. I like their chances to repeat those performances in the event Burrow surpasses 280 yards.
Image Credit: Imagn