Find Your Edge: Week 10
Director of Data and Analytics, Kevin Cole, returns with a look at how past DFS slates can yield valuable insights to roster construction, decision making, and winning strategies for the coming slate of games. This is a big deal. We’ve collected a massive amount of data on past DFS slates, and Kevin is going to help you “find the edge” buried deep within them.
This week I’m going to look back into the format that is making a huge mark on the DFS landscape: NFL single-game Showdown.
If you hadn’t noticed, I’ve dedicated a lot of time and resources into providing some of the most actionable information out there for Showdown contests in our dedicated hub.
What you’ll find in the hub’s individual matchup writeup and the broader posts on different game profiles are numbers based on the actual results from hundreds of similar historical matchups.
While I still believe using similar historical matchups from the past ten years is a great way to project what will happen, there’s also value in checking in on the actual Showdown contest results to see if they align with our expectations.
In the tables below, I’m going to look at the numbers for the biggest contests from each of the 45 Showdown slates so far this year. I’m calling top-0.1% entires “Winners” and comparing those player allocations to the averages for the field.
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