Find Your Edge: Week 5
Director of Data and Analytics, Kevin Cole, returns with a look at how past DFS slates can yield valuable insights to roster construction, decision making, and winning strategies for the coming slate of games. This is a big deal. We’ve collected a massive amount of data on past DFS slates, and Kevin is going to help you “find the edge” buried deep within them.
Week 5
With all the data we have on millions of past contests, sometimes it can be difficult to narrow down what exact topic to dig into for the week. This week the topic came to me from some at RG noticing how certain big-time DFS players used the same lineup in almost every tournament entered last week, with no change in strategy depending on the size of the field.
This got us thinking about if there are material differences between how much exposure you should have to stacking in different size tournaments.
In this piece, I’m going to dig into stacks in a similar fashion as previous weeks, comparing the winner versus field exposures, but also dividing the numbers by tournament size: tiny (less than 500 entries), small (between 500 and 1,000), medium (between 1,000, and 10,000), large (between 10,000 and 100,000) and massive (greater than 100,000).small
There’s plenty of game theory assumptions you can make for roster construction depending on tournament size, but the cold numbers can help solidify or disprove our intuitions.
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