FREE NBA DFS Picks: 2/28 - DraftKings, FanDuel, Yahoo
It’s another great slate in the NBA daily fantasy sports universe on FanDuel, DraftKings, and Yahoo. Tonight will be incredible with 10 games and big-time DFS prize pools all over the place.
Our NBA DFS cheat sheets, NBA projections, projected ownership, core plays, and strategy guides are battle-tested and ready for all of this action. Below, you’ll find a high-quality option on each of these three DFS providers. We power our LineupHQ optimizer using some of the same information that you will see below, and encourage you to check out all the tools we have to offer for NBA daily fantasy sports in our DFS content schedule.
Without further delay, let’s check out who the projections think will smash their salary implied value tonight!
Top DraftKings DFS Value Pick – High Smash Probability
Serge Ibaka
DK Salary:$5,900.00
FPTS Projection:36.51
FPTS Ceiling:52.94
Early Projected Ownership:Very High
Per our range of outcomes projections, we expect Serge Ibaka to smash for DraftKings GPP value in roughly 35.39% of his outcomes.
— We currently project 32 minutes and 1.14 fantasy points per minute.
— The Charlotte Hornets allow 2.36% fpts/gm above average.
— RotoGrinders early projections expect a 22.67% USG Rate.
— RotoGrinders early projections expect a 16.60% rebound rate.
— RotoGrinders early projections expect a 7.90% assist rate.
It’s worth noting that Serge Ibaka is currently listed as questionable for Friday’s game with knee soreness but he’s in line for a big night if he is in fact able to suit up. Despite their slow pace, Charlotte has been very giving to opposing bigs this season which gives Ibaka excellent upside on his price tag. If Ibaka does sit, look for Rondae Hollis-Jefferson and/or Chris Boucher to see extended run. RHJ has seen the more stable minutes this season while Boucher has been the superior point-per-minute fantasy producer.
Top FanDuel DFS Value Pick – High Smash Probability
Tristan Thompson
FD Salary:$5,000.00
FPTS Projection:29.51
FPTS Ceiling:47.81
Early Projected Ownership:Very High
Per our range of outcomes projections, we expect Tristan Thompson to smash for FanDuel GPP value in roughly 35.96% of his outcomes.
— We currently project 32 minutes and 0.92 fantasy points per minute.
— The New Orleans Pelicans allow 3.40% fpts/gm above average.
— RotoGrinders early projections expect a 18.77% USG Rate.
— RotoGrinders early projections expect a 15.54% rebound rate.
— RotoGrinders early projections expect a 7.27% assist rate.
No Andre Drummond should mean more solidified minutes for Tristan Thompson on Friday night who draws a favorable road matchup against the Pelicans. While Thompson already projects favorably you could make an argument that there’s an even bigger upside to his current projection as his career rebound rate (17.5%) trumps his current 15.54% projection.
Top Yahoo! DFS Value Pick – High Smash Probability
Dario Saric
Yahoo Salary:$10.00
FPTS Projection:25.4
FPTS Ceiling:33.78
Early Projected Ownership:Very High
Per our range of outcomes projections, we expect Dario Saric to smash for Yahoo GPP value in roughly 45.72% of his outcomes.
— We currently project 30 minutes, and 0.85 fantasy points per minute.
— The Detroit Pistons allow 0.24% fpts/gm above average.
— RotoGrinders early projections expect a 17.46% USG Rate.
— RotoGrinders early projections expect a 13.22% rebound rate.
— RotoGrinders early projections expect a 10.78% assist rate.
Dario Saric drew the starting nod in the Sun’s last game with Kelly Oubre sidelined with a torn meniscus and has already been announced in Friday’s starting lineup against the Pistons. Saric posted a middling fantasy performance against the Clippers but did see 31 minutes of court time and went just 1/7 from the field finishing with just five points. Friday’s matchup against the Pistons is a much better one which should help improve Saric’s efficiency and as a result his overall production.