2022 Green Bay Packers Odds, Schedule, & Fantasy Football Team Preview
Welcome to the 2022 NFL season preview for the Green Bay Packers. The Packers are coming off three straight 13-win seasons and three straight division titles. However, Aaron Rodgers and company face perhaps the most adversity they have in several seasons with the departure of superstar wide receiver Davante Adams. Aaron Jones and AJ Dillon are likely to split backfield duties, with Jones perhaps in the mix to help out even more in the receiving game. There are some key questions as we look ahead to the Packers season:
– Green Bay Packers Betting Odds: Does the offense remain elite despite multiple departures from the receivers room?
– Team Matchup Overview: Is a weak division enough to offset tough matchups with the Buccaneers, Bills, and Rams?
– Fantasy Football Drafts: Which running back should we be targeting? Do either have enough stand alone value or are they being overvalued by the market? Who emerges as the new number one target in the passing game?
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2022 Green Bay Packers Schedule, Lines, and Best Bets
Projected Odds, derived & modified from data originally published by Sean Koerner here.
Win Total and Total Games Favored:
11 (-110) / 15 Games Favored ( 6 Big Favorites / 0 Big Dogs)
11 wins is a big number for a team that just traded away a superstar, but the Packers benefit from playing in one of the weakest divisions in football. 4 of the 6 games in which they are big favorites come against the Bears and Lions within their division. They also have home games against the Giants and Jets where they find themselves nearly double-digit favorites.
The flip side is they have difficult matchups with expected Super Bowl contenders like the Bucs, Bills and Rams.
Best Bet: The Packers are among the most popular teams in the NFL and their lines on futures are usually a bit inflated as a result. They have the 5th best odds to win the Super Bowl and 2nd best odds to win the NFC, ahead of the Rams who were last year’s champion. I would not touch either of those with the questions surrounding the passing attack.
They are also pretty heavy favorites to win the NFC North, with -165 being the best number I see out there. The team likely leans more run-heavy this season, but they have two talented backs that should be very productive. I think they can rely on a balanced offense and strong defense to remain one of the best regular season teams, but I am concerned they are not able to hang with the elite teams to make a deep playoff run. I would take over 11 wins as the best bet due to the weak division.
Green Bay Packers Props
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Favorite Prop: Christian Watson had offseason knee surgery and is likely to miss some or all of training camp. This severely hinders his ability to make an immediate impact and allows other receivers opportunities to overtake him on the depth chart. He may ultimately emerge as a favorite target of Aaron Rodgers this season, but this is a clear setback to begin the season. I like him to stay under 600.5 Receiving Yards in his rookie season.
Green Bay Packers Fantasy Football Projections
Team Rankings and Ratings
Offense Ranks:Rank 10/ Very Strong Rush / Strong Pass/ Rank 6 Points For)
Defense Ranks:Rank 6/ Elite Rush / Very Strong pass / Rank 30 Points Allowed)
Opponent Strength – Rushing:7 difficult vs. rush. 5 soft vs. rush.
Opponent Strength – Passing:6 difficult vs. pass. 5 soft vs. pass.
We started to see a shift towards a more run-heavy offensive attack last year, and I think that trend certainly continues this season with the departure of Adams. The Packers have two talented backs to split the workload and carry the offense. Aaron Rodgers is talented enough to keep the passing attack in the top half of the league, but it is unlikely they remain one of the elite offenses.
Green Bay Packers Top Fantasy Football Plays & Picks
Noteworthy Depth Chart
QB: Aaron Rodgers – Underdog Rank: 101 (ADP 106 / 4.95% ADP Gap)
RB: Aaron Jones – Underdog Rank: 21 (ADP 17 / -19.05% ADP Gap)
RB: AJ Dillon – Underdog Rank: 69 (ADP 66 / -4.35% ADP Gap)
WR: Allen Lazard – Underdog Rank: 97 (ADP 82 / -15.46% ADP Gap)
WR: Christian Watson – Underdog Rank: 117 (ADP 116 / -0.85% ADP Gap)
WR: Amari Rodgers – Underdog Rank: 209 (ADP 240 – 14.83% ADP Gap)
TE: Robert Tonyan – Underdog Rank: 146 (ADP 146 / 0% ADP Gap)
*Note: Premium Subscribers can find updated rankings for Underdog Fantasy in the content schedule here.
New Additions of Note: Sammy Watkins, Christian Watson, Romeo Doubs
Departures of Note: Davante Adams, Marquez Valdes-Scantling, Equanimeous St. Brown
Aaron Rodgers remains an elite talent at QB, but he lost his top target in Davante Adams. The lack of talent at the wide receiver position is a threat to his overall production.
Aaron Jones lost rushing attempts and goal line work to AJ Dillon at times last year, and we can expect that to continue in 2022. However, there are plenty of opportunities available in the passing game and that will be Jones’ path to remaining an elite fantasy option. He was second on the team last season with 52 receptions, and I would not be surprised to see him even more involved this season. He should remain very useful in full PPR formats.
AJ Dillon carved out a very healthy role by the end of last season. He ended the year as the leading rusher with 803 yards on 187 carries and 5 rushing touchdowns. He could see even more of the rushing workload as Jones might be split out wide more often this season.
The biggest question for the Packers is who will step up and help fill the void left by the Adams trade. Adams leaves behind enormous production of 123 receptions, 1553 yards and 11 touchdowns last season.
Allen Lazard has the inside track to the number one wide receiver role as he showed flashes of productivity last season. Newcomer Sammy Watkins will certainly be involved as well if he can stay on the field. The deep sleeper in the receiver’s room could be Romeo Doubs. Watkins has a long injury history and Watson underwent knee surgery that will set him back, so the door could be wide open for Doubs to emerge as a significant producer.
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