Information Overload: Week 2
Using highly valuable visuals, Aaron Hendrix looks closely at various advanced data sets and then comments on how we can best take advantage in daily fantasy football each week.
Week 1 was a strange week in many ways. It was a good week to play the chalk as the likes of Alvin Kamara and James Conner did exactly what was expected of them and then some. When the scores to cash in GPPs were approaching 200 fantasy points, you know it was not a good week to take a contrarian approach. I know my bankroll took a hit as a result, but those are the chances I take playing that style.
Moving forward on Information Overload in the 2018 season I’m going to include the 2017 charts for at least the first few weeks of the NFL season until we have more data from 2018 that we can trust. Is the Saints defense really that bad or was that an anomaly? Teams do have bad weeks so I don’t want to put too much weight on one week of data. I’ll present the data for both seasons where I can for now and we’ll try and take a look at what is real and what is noise and make the best decisions possible from what we believe to be true.
How much information is too much information? Those familiar with my Information Overload article from the 2017 NFL Playoffs know that I believe there’s never enough. Over the course of the 2018 season, I’m going to present a boatload of data and projections (along with analysis) to help guide you through this weekend’s massive GPPs.
Here’s a quick summary of everything that is included in this article. You can click on the images to view them in more detail if you have problems viewing them. If you have ideas for things you’d like to see in future articles, be sure to leave them in the comments.
— Injury situations to monitor for the upcoming week
— Site pricing comparison
— Pace chart showing where teams rank in terms of pace in different game flow situations (utilizing a custom infograph)
— DVOA matchups (utilizing a custom infograph)
— Offensive line versus defensive line matchups (utilizing a custom infograph)
— Defense against the pass based on pass direction and distance (utilizing a custom infograph)
— Defense against specific receiver types (utilizing a custom infograph)
— My analysis of how each section impacts players and matchups from a DFS perspective
Our Premium content can help you make better picks every day
- To read this full article for this week’s NFL games, you need to have a subscription to Grinders Premium.
- A Premium subscription will allow you to access this article, as well as Consensus Value Rankings, daily picks from top-ranked players, and much more.
- If you have already used your free trial, you can purchase a weekly pass to quickly gain access to Premium Content!