Inside the Matchup Matrix: Week 2

Kevin Cole goes inside the numbers to identify attackable and avoidable DFS matchups. He brings a scientific approach coupled with years of NFL knowledge to the table in identifying noteworthy situations on a weekly basis.

Week 2

This is the Matchup Matrix, where I simulate every game on the main Sunday slate in order to find stacks with the highest upside. You can find last week’s results here.

In my Find Your Edge article last week, I went through the last two years’ worth of DraftKings tournament contest results and identified a number of stacks that tournament winners (top-0.1% of entries) are using more than the field.

Three of the commonly rostered stacks with the greatest leverage, or winner usage over the field, were QB/WR, QB/WR/TE and QB/WR/WR. Those are the stacks I’m focusing on in my simulations.

Methodology

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About the Author

  • Kevin Cole (colekev)

  • Kevin Cole previously worked on Wall Street as an equity and credit analyst before transitioning to data-related sports analysis. For a number of years, Kevin has specialized in creating predictive sports models that includes published work at Pro Football Focus, Rotoworld, numberFire, and RotoViz. He is now the Director of Data and Analytics at RotoGrinders.

Comments

  • maxrluminox

    Kevin,

    I am really enjoying these articles. Based on the past articles, I am assuming that you are running these stacks back with the opposing WR?

  • colekev

    @maxrluminox said...

    Kevin,

    I am really enjoying these articles. Based on the past articles, I am assuming that you are running these stacks back with the opposing WR?

    Not always. I don’t think you should game stack by rule. It depends on the value of the receivers on the other side. I’d lean towards it though.

  • Johnnyplayer

    good reference charts. Thanks! don’t know if its possible but it would be nice to see a ‘value’ score when comparing the stacks between DK and FD pricing

  • TheBigGronkowski88

    When you say “Go ahead and dig in”, where are these graphs and tables located?

  • Cal

    RG CoFounder & Admin

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    @TheBigGronk he just meant digging further into the graphs and tables in the article. If there’s more you’d like to see we’d love to hear suggestions.

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