Jets vs. Niners Same Game Parlay Picks and Predictions for Today
The first week of the 2024 NFL season is nearly complete. All that is left is the New York Jets traveling to square off with the San Francisco 49ers. Quixotic Jets fans think this is their year (raises hand). San Francisco is looking to return to the Super Bowl and avenge a tough loss to the Chiefs. DraftKings Sportsbook offers the 49ers as 4-point home favorites. Can the Jets pull off an early upset? Let’s break down the teams, personnel, and build a same game parlay for Jets vs. 49ers on Monday Night Football.
Jets vs. 49ers Same Game Parlay Preview
Per ScoresAndOdds, the public and the sharps are on the Jets. More than 60% of betting tickets and money fell on the Jets side throughout the week. Yet, an overwhelming amount of tickets and money lie on the 49ers moneyline. Over 90% of bets and money sided with San Francisco. We expect a close game? A field goal victory?
With the game total resting at 43 points, we have a more decisive split in the action. The public — shocking — loves the over. The sharper money rests with the under, as 70% of betting handle predicts a low-scoring affair. With a pair of talented defenses in Week 1, this feels very sensible. Last night, the Lions and Rams failed to meet scoring expectations. Without a true volume of reps together, offenses tend to struggle with continuity and efficiency.
For the Jets, the quixotic hopes of the fan base lie on the shoulders of one man. “(player-popup #aaron-rodgers)Aaron Rodgers”:/players/aaron-rodgers-11601 returns after his Jets debut was cut short on Monday Night Football in Week 1 of 2023. Ominous, indeed, but Jets fans hope that Rodgers can right the wrongs of a lost season. With a stalwart defense behind him and a bolstered offensive line, a healthy Rodgers should make the Jets significantly more competitive than their 2023 incarnation.
The 49ers are loaded now that the “(player-popup #brandon-aiyuk)Brandon Aiyuk”:/players/brandon-aiyuk-1849809 situation is behind them. Aiyuk signed his big deal, and the 49ers run back their NFC Championship season with hopes of winning it all. “(player-popup #christian-mccaffrey)Christian McCaffrey”:/players/christian-mccaffrey-36994 looks to repeat a historic offensive season. McCaffrey is listed as questionable but practiced in a limited fashion throughout the week. Kyle Shanahan expects to have CMC at his best. Reports are that Aiyuk could see reduced snaps as he gets back into the flow of football after a prolonged absence.
Trent Williams signed his contract extension six days before the regular season opener. Be sure to check the news before kickoff. If Williams is out or rusty, the 49ers offense could be hindered.
For the Jets, Haason Reddick did not get the extension he was looking for and is very unlikely to suit up for Monday Night Football. The impasse between both sides is a big issue for the Jets defense as the season begins. “(player-popup #mike-williams)Mike Williams”:/players/mike-williams-37037 will be on a snap count as he returns from his season-ending knee injury in 2023. Williams offers big-play upside down the field for Rodgers, while “(player-popup #garrett-wilson)Garrett Wilson”:/players/garrett-wilson-3491660 aims to establish himself as one of the premier receivers in the National Football League.
The Jets offense struggled last season despite the exceptional play of “(player-popup #breece-hall)Breece Hall”:/players/breece-hall-3491661. We can’t make a comparison to the 2023 season with the quarterback and offensive line situations being completely different to open the season. The expectation is the offense should be far more competent. The better play on offense could mean an even bigger season for Hall — who is considered one of the best running backs in fantasy football.
The 49ers are a well-oiled machine when completely healthy. Even with a limited Aiyuk, we are talking about the 2nd-best scoring offense in the NFL. With Aiyuk limited, look for bumps to McCaffrey, “(player-popup #deebo-samuel)Deebo Samuel”:/players/deebo-samuel-982845, and “(player-popup #george-kittle)George Kittle”:/players/george-kittle-37069 in the passing game.
Let’s build this week’s Monday Night Football same game parlay.
Same Game Parlay Picks for Jets vs. 49ers
- Under 43 Points
- Deebo Samuel Over 48.5 Receiving Yards
- Jauan Jennings Over 18.5 Receiving Yards
Under 43 Points
There are far too many question marks to chase the over. On Sunday night, the environment felt perfect for a bounty of points. Two suspect defenses. Two explosive offenses. A dome. The game didn’t even really threaten the over.
Tonight, both teams present strong defenses. The Jets travel across the country. We have players who are just getting back into the swing of the NFL routine. We have players on snap counts. I think the sharps are right.
I am going to open with the under. We are a bit late, as this number opened 2 points higher. If you want, you can tease this up a bit with an alternate line.
Deebo Samuel Over 48.5 Receiving Yards
With an under opening up our parlay, props will correlate if they go under the number. Well, we are looking to boost our odds by completely swerving. With Aiyuk limited, the 49ers might need other weapons to pick up the slack. Look no further than the explosive “(player-popup #deebo-samuel)Deebo Samuel”:/players/deebo-samuel-982845.
Deebo could have some work funneled his way. With him being a long touchdown waiting to happen, the number is only this low because San Francisco features so many dominant offensive weapons. If McCaffrey is also limited by his calf injury, Deebo could be featured heavily.
Luckily, the algorithm is giving us a boost because we are going over when our points should be low. We will graciously accept the boost.
Jauan Jennings Over 18.5 Receiving Yards
Finally, another over that could make plenty of sense in a low-scoring affair. If Aiiyuk sees the sideline on offense, other wide receivers must get snaps. With “(player-popup #ricky-pearsall)Ricky Pearsall”:/players/ricky-pearsall-6228520 out because of the horrific shooting incident last week, Jennings is back with all of the experience required to sneak a few targets in for the 49ers’ offense. With such a small number, a couple of catches for Jennings and we are in business.
Again, the algorithm sees an over, which doesn’t correlate with our script. We get a little boost.
Jets vs. 49ers Parlay Odds
- Under 43 Points
- Deebo Samuel Over 48.5 Receiving Yards
- Jauan Jennings Over 18.5 Receiving Yards
DraftKings Sportsbook offers the following odds:
DRAFTKINGSParlay Odds: +675
Risk: 0.5 unit to win 3.375 units
Good luck with all of your wagers for this game. Share your parlays with me on X.
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