LoL DFS Targets: Friday, October 9th

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Counter Logic Gaming was the first North American team to be eliminated from the tournament after failing to win a single game Thursday, even seeing defeat to Brazilian Wildcard team paiN Gaming. It’s a big blow to the sudden confidence many felt in the ability of teams from this region and leaves Cloud9 as the likely last hope. North America is safe for today though as Group B won’t play until Sunday. Today we get C, which is largely a two team show. The most important game of the day is first up as an SKT win would all but guarantee them the top spot in the group, but a loss would see EDG come back into contention.

Split slates on DraftKings again today as they will remain for the next three days, but it worked out a little better than I first thought it may. There weren’t nearly as many ties as one may have expected, and there were still plenty of mistakes being made. That’s what we want to see.

Group C Standings

SK Telecom T1 3-0
Edward Gaming 2-1
H2k Gaming 1-2
Bangkok Titans 0-3

Early Slate

SK Telecom T1(-182) vs. Edward Gaming(+149)
H2k Gaming(-1050) vs. Bangkok Titans(+643)

Lloyd, BKT $5,300 – At $1,600 cheaper than the next lowest priced ADC, Lloyd is surprisingly a pretty good option in this slate. BKT simply aren’t at the level of their group mates, but caused their game against H2k on Saturday to be hectic enough that Lloyd participated in 10 kills, dying just three times. While a stomp is always a possibility when a team is simply outclassed, this is as cheap as you’ll ever get an ADC that already showed capability against the very team he’s playing.

Marin, SKT $6,800 – In three games at the World Championship this year Marin has yet to finish with less than five kills. He’s also only died twice and also piled up 12 assists which leaves his KDA at 20/2/12 for the tournament. $6,800 is hardly an unfair price to pay for that kind of floor. There’s clear upside with Marin as well should EDG keep this game more competitive than they did back on Saturday, which isn’t unreasonable to expect as this is their last hope of fighting past SKT to the top of the group.

Middle Slate

Edward Gaming(-2500) vs. Bangkok Titans(+1062)
SKT Telecom T1(-525) vs. H2k Gaming(+382)

kaSing, H2k $3,500 – This is a punt. There is a very realistic possibility that kaSing will finish with negative points in this slate. The reality of it is that in order to build a team with as many players from EDG and SKT as we want , we also need to roster players from H2k and/or BKT. Both games in this slate are extremely lopsided to the point that 20 minute surrenders are realistic outcomes. However, H2k is at the very least more likely to extend the game than BKT is. Another reason to consider punting with kaSing is that if two games do in fact only last in the 20-25 minute range, winning Supports won’t be able to separate themselves from kaSing’s score as well as winning ADCs and Mids will separate themselves from the losers from those positions
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Clearlove, EDG $7,500 – Through three games Clearlove’s Kill Participation is by far the highest amongst Junglers at 85.7%. In a game that could be over quickly, a high KP is extremely important. Even in the event that EDG closes this game out with only 10 kills, Clearlove will be involved enough to pay off his price. Ideally BKT will find a way to hold on in this game so it reaches upwards of 30 minutes, but it’s not expected, so heavily involved players out of the jungle are as safe as it’s going to get.

Final Slate

Edward Gaming(-525) vs. H2k Gaming(+382)
SKT Telecom T1(-5000) vs. Bangtok Titans(+1387)

Easyhoon, SKT $8,300 – This pick carries significant risk and should not be touched in cash. We knew coming into the tournament that SKT likes to get Easyhoon involved. He featured several during the regular season and is expected to join a new team as a starter after Worlds. SKT is likely to have Group C won before this game is played which leaves this is the most realistic time to get Easyhoon get a taste of the tournament before heading back to the bench for the knockout rounds. SKT may indeed play Faker for the entire tournament, but Easyhoon is worth rostering in a GPP bullet with the chance that he plays and is in the neighborhood of 1% owned. Absolute risk of a donut, but a GPP winning play.

G4, BKT $5,200 – This is similar to the above play, but with less risk given that G4 will of course actually play. Something we’ve seen before from SKT is the team not necessarily taking every game particularly serious. If Group C has in fact already been won, it won’t be a surprise to see SKT play off the board Champions or allow the game to extend much longer than it would if they were, quite frankly, actually trying. It’s difficult to predict the mindset a team will have going into the game, but if the group has already been one, don’t be surprised if SKT gets a little crazy, which opens things up for BKT players like G4.

About the Author

wazzu24
wazzu24

wazzu24, who began contributing to RotoGrinders in September of 2015, is an avid DFS player and League of Legends writer. He previously contributed to Vulcun.com’s strategy blog. Alex can be found on Twitter at @wazzu24.