Million Dollar Musings: Saturday, June 2nd
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Saturday, June 2nd
Happy Saturday y’all! Your normal Saturday host is parading off to Disney World for a potentially fun-filled getaway. When my kids were young, we took a couple family trips to that Magical Land, and it had it’s moments of magic, combined with some moments of ‘what in the world is happening, why am I still standing in this line’ type of moments.
We’ve got two decent sized slate to look at, with a seven-game early slate followed by an eight-game Main Slate tonight. There is a little weather to be concerned about in the early games in Baltimore and Minnesota, so keep an eye on that as the day progresses. For now, let’ jump on in.
EARLY SLATE OVERVIEW
The Main Slate is going to be filled with good pitching, but that is not so much the case early on. There are a lot of guys to talk about, but not a lot to love. On FanDuel, the pitching salaries are all close enough that salary doesn’t play a major role, while on DK/FDRFT, there are some huge gaps in pricing to steer our decisions. Based on year-to-date skills, two guys jump way out in front;
J.A. Happ at Detroit – 29.5% K, 6.7% BB, 3.84 ERA, 3.11 SIERA
Trevor Bauer at Minnesota – 28.6% K, 8.3% BB, 2.61 ERA, 3.38 SIERA
Happ has gone a little wonky over the past month with two poor starts and a third low strikeout game, but his overall K% as well as two big K games in his last three have me still on board here. It’s not just all the strikeouts and good control, he’s also doing a great job limiting hard contact with just a 28.7% hard hit rate allowed this season. It might look like a concern that he’s facing a heavily right-handed team, but his strikeouts are at 28.4% to righties, and he had higher strikeouts to righties in both 2016 and 2017. It’s not a matchup that gives him a boost in value, with Detroit being a better than average contact team, but they are not overly imposing either.
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