MLB Daily Grind Down June 9th

by Kyle Koch (Jackandsoda) Last Updated 2013-06-10 14:15:08

The RotoGrinders MLB Grind Down article will give you an in-depth analysis into the MLB schedule. This article will break down the numbers for every single game and give you analysis on which trends you can exploit.

While matchups are a major factor in daily fantasy baseball, there are plenty of other factors to consider such as injuries, weather, and salaries. The analysis should point you in the right direction, but it is still up to you to decipher the information and make your own selections. No sport has more variance than baseball. The best choice is not always the right choice but following the trends will win you money over time. (any fp listed uses Fanduel’s scoring system)

Time for a little Back’s Beef! Jackandsoda style. Let me just start by saying that the Daily Grind Down is a labor of love. I truly enjoy doing this article. Otherwise, I would have stop a long time ago. I am truly thankful for all the positive messages I have gotten and if I did not respond back to you it was only because I am stretched thin. What I do not like is the badgering that I seem to get by certain players.

This is all I ask of you, please do not come back and post messages after the end of games about players you liked that I did not. If you do not have the courage to post these players before the start of the games then your comments mean nothing to me or to the community and only to serve to stroke your own ego. Furthermore, no one reads this article after the start of the games so you are yelling into the wind. I hear it but when I look at your Rotogrinders Page and see that you have not progress past the 1 and 2 dollar games and that your last GPP win was a year ago, I simply laugh off this rant.

I welcome debate. I want as many people posting their thoughts on the games as possible. The goal of this article is to make us all better in this tight community. No one is right all the time. If you are right over a third of the time in baseball, then you are considered one of the best players. Think about that. I wish there were more people sharing their analysis before the start of the games so please people do not stop doing that.

Anyway, here is today’s Daily Grind Down to help you get out of the weekend on a positive note. I apologies for the data. The template seems to be out of order and I like the skills to fix it. The info is all there you might just have to search for it under a different team.

Cleveland at Detroit

BATTER SPLITS BREAKDOWN
CLE BvP		CLE vs L		DET BvP		DET vs R
Note: Batter Splits Above Open in Pop Up Window

Las Vegas

• OU 9

• Favored DET -130

Pitchers

• Home Jose Alvarez as been lighting it up in AAA this year with a 2.42 ERA, 1.009 WHIP, and a K/9 of 9.2. CLE is a tough opponent. They are batting .258 on the road, .267 versus left-handers, and .227 over the last 7 days. You know the drill. He is super cheap and will have huge GPP upside. In Play

• Away I like Justin Masterson as pitcher but I will not suggest any pitcher on the road in DET. They are just too tough at home. It does not help things that his road ERA is a 5.12. DET is batting .304 at home, .281 versus right-handers, and .327 over the last 7 days. Avoid

Batters

• Home DET as a team has a .299 BAA versus Masterson so everyone is playable. Miguel Cabrera ‘s 11-28 with 2 HRs and Tori Hunter ‘s 6-18 with 3 HRs bear special notice.

• Away AAA call ups have more bad starts then stellar ones so consider everyone playable. I like the right-handed bats today. Drew Stubbs has been hot over the last 7 days and hits left-handers at a much higher rate than right-handers.

Texas at Toronto

Texas at Toronto

BATTER SPLITS BREAKDOWN
TEX BvP		TEX vs R		TOR BvP		TOR vs R
Note: Batter Splits Above Open in Pop Up Window

Las Vegas

• OU 9.5

• Favored TOR -145

Pitchers

• Home Josh Johnson first start back from injury looked great. He had a 2 to 1 ground ball to fly ball out ratio and only gave up 1 ER in 7 IP with 6 Ks. TEX is a little tougher of a draw. They are batting .253 on the road, .270 versus right-handers, and .202 over the last 7 days. In Play

• Away Justin Grimm is a 7.14 pitcher on the road this year and there is no reason to believe that number will dip today in TOR. He has limited K/9 upside to begin with so unless he pitches next to flawless for 7 IP then he will not be a solid play today. TOR is batting .263 at home, .250 versus right-handers, and .249 over the last 7 days.

Batters

• Home There must be a wreck on the freeway because things are stacking up in TOR! Adam Lind and Melky Cabrera make great plays either way. Both are batting over .300 versus right-handers. Edwin Encarnacion has been hot with 25 fp over the last week

• Away Lance Berkman is 4-12 with 1 HR versus Johnson. A.J. Pierzynski is batting .326 versus right-handers on the year.

St. Louis at Cincinnati

St. Louis at Cincinnati

BATTER SPLITS BREAKDOWN
STL BvP		STL vs R		CIN BvP		CIN vs R
Note: Batter Splits Above Open in Pop Up Window

Las Vegas

• OU 8.5

• Favored STL -110

Pitchers

• Home Bronson Arroyo 2.64 home ERA is very impressive. There is no arguing that he is pitching well right now. I am going to hold to my take on him that I have a hard time believing that a 36 year old pitcher will maintain his nearly a full point jump in ERA from his career average to this year and expect his hot streak to end abruptly. Maybe not this start. Maybe not the next but this will not go on forever. He held STL to only 2 ER in 7 IP when he faced them early this year so if you buy heavily into recent trends then he might make a nice play. Vegas does not have faith in him and neither do I. STL is batting .268 on the road, .289 versus right-handers, and .313 over the last 7 days. Avoid

• Away Lance Lynn on the road is just not the same player. If I were going to spend money on the against the grain player on a pitcher in CIN then it would be on a lefty. It does not help the fact that CIN is one of the teams that has hit Lyne hard in the past. CIN is batting .264 at home, .250 versus right-handers, and .242 over the last 7 days.

Batters

• Home Brandon Phillips might be the sneaky play of the day. He is 3-8 versus Lynn but all 3 of those balls were well hit. Something tells me he goes yard today. Votto, Bruce, and Choo all have great righty/home splits today.

• Away Carlos Beltran is 10-29 with 1 HR vs. Arroyo. Matt Holliday is 15-49 with 4 HRs! Jon Jay and Daniel Descalso have positive BvPs as well. Matt Carpenter has been red hot producing 31 fp over the last 7 days.

Miami at NY Mets

BATTER SPLITS BREAKDOWN
MIA BvP		MIA vs L		NYM BvP		NYM vs R
Note: Batter Splits Above Open in Pop Up Window

Las Vegas

• OU 7.5

• Favored NYM -180

Pitchers

• Home What happens when an immovable object meets an unstoppable force? More importantly what happens when a very moveable object meets a very stoppable force? We are about to find out today when NYM host MIA. Jonathon Niese has been solid at home with a 3.23 ERA. He is trending upward in his last 3 starts with only 3 ER in 20.1 IP but if you needed me to tell you he was in play versus the Marlins then you are well behind the learning curve for daily fantasy. MIA is batting .228 on the road, .210 versus left-handers, and .269 over the last 7 days. In Play

• Away Tom Koehler does not have enough K/9 upside to play in general but he has been an awful pitcher on the road with a 5.01 ERA so that leaves little room for doubt on weather or not he is useful today. NYM is batting .213 at home, .231 versus right-handers, and .220 over the last 7 days. Avoid

Batters

• Home Here is where that opening analogy comes into play. NYM has been so cold for so long, I cannot even began to tell you who I think you should take. Obviously, both Koehler and NYM cannot both be a bad play but I will it to you to figure out just who. My money is avoiding both sides.

• Away Niese is not overpowering and MIA has been better recently. I like their LU to add some value to yours. Marcell Ozuna and Ed Lucas are both batting over .300 versus left-handed pitching and are the most obvious plays.

LA Angels at Boston

BATTER SPLITS BREAKDOWN
LAA BvP		LAA vs R		BOS BvP		BOS vs R
Note: Batter Splits Above Open in Pop Up Window

Las Vegas

• OU 10

• Favored BOS -170

Pitchers

• Home Has Ryan Dempster priced drop on your site? If not do not consider playing him today because he has struggled mightily on the year. He is a huge favorite today but the OU is also high and LAA is pretty patient at the platye so I do not think he will record all that many Ks. LAA is batting .242 on the road, .273 versus right-handers, and .245 over the last 7 days. Avoid

• Away Joe Blanton has had a nice run of 3 good starts in a row but they were against some of the worst offensive teams. Lets see how things turn out today versus the highest scoring team in the league. BOS is batting .282 at home, .287 versus right-handers, and .357 over the last 7 days. Avoid

Batters

• Home BOS is on fire so let’s grill up another stack today! Johnny Gomes is 5-11 with 2 HRs versus Dempster. David Ortiz is 10-29 with 3 HRs.

• Away Albert Pujols is a sick 20-58 with 7 HRs versus Dempster. LAA as a team has a .333 BAA so consider everyone playable.

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