MLB Daily Grind Down May 14th Part 2
San Francisco at Toronto
| San Francisco | Toronto | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rogers Centre | 7:07 PM | ||||||
| Barry Zito – (3-1), 2.75 ERA, 5.75 K/9, 1.3 WHIP | R.A. Dickey – (2-5), 5.06 ERA, 7.13 K/9, 1.35 WHIP | ||||||
| PvB | (21-92 H/AB) 0.228 BA-A, 16.3 K%, 0.891 OPS-A | PvB | (11-51 H/AB) 0.216 BA-A, 19.61 K%, 0.588 OPS-A | ||||
| ROAD | (0-1), 14.21 ERA, 2 HRA, 12.8 K/9, 2.684 WHIP | HOME | (1-3), 6.75 ERA, 6 HRA, 8.3 K/9, 1.412 WHIP | ||||
| BATTER SPLITS BREAKDOWN | |||||||
SFG BvP  | SFG vs R | TOR BvP | TOR vs L | ||||
| Note: Batter Splits Above Open in Pop Up Window | |||||||
Las Vegas
- OU 9.0
- Favored TOR -133
Pitchers
- Home R.A. Dickey hasn’t been the same pitcher that he was last season. He is having trouble locating the strike zone which really hurts him because he is not only walking more batters than usual, but he is having to throw a lot of pitches right over the middle of the plate in some of these counts. Until he fixes this, I am just going to stay clear. Avoid
- Away As soon as I saw this line, I figured that the Giants had Barry Zito on the mound and it turns out I was right. Zito has been awful on the road this season with an ERA of, get this, 14.21. Granted that was only two starts, but Zito struggled on the road last season too. Avoid
Batters
- Home Start your stack and mini stack engines. The Rays have an excellent matchup against Zito and all of the right hand bats are in play tonight. Bautista, Encarnacion, Cabrera, and Lawrie should all be considered.
- Away If Dickey keeps pitching like he has been, this game could end up being a 10-9 game. I think that Dickey will pitch OK, but I still think the Giants score some runs if you want to target them.
Boston at Tampa Bay
| Boston | Tampa Bay | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tropicana Field | 7:10 PM | ||||||
| John Lackey – (1-3), 2.82 ERA, 9.77 K/9, 1.3 WHIP | Matt Moore – (6-0), 2.14 ERA, 9.21 K/9, 1.17 WHIP | ||||||
| PvB | (36-130 H/AB) 0.277 BA-A, 18.46 K%, 0.846 OPS-A | PvB | (8-33 H/AB) 0.242 BA-A, 24.24 K%, 0.606 OPS-A | ||||
| ROAD | (0-2), 4.82 ERA, 2 HRA, 11.6 K/9, 1.607 WHIP | HOME | (3-0), 1.42 ERA, 2 HRA, 9 K/9, 1 WHIP | ||||
| BATTER SPLITS BREAKDOWN | |||||||
| BOS BvP | BOS vs L | TBR BvP | TBR vs R | ||||
| Note: Batter Splits Above Open in Pop Up Window | |||||||
Las Vegas
- OU 7.5
- Favored TB -142
Pitchers
- Home Matt Moore has had two less than stellar outings in a row, but I expect him to right the ship tonight against the Red Sox. While the Sox have some solid bats, they have been slumping a bit lately and Moore dominates at home with a 1.42 ERA and a 1.00 WHIP. Target
- Away John Lackey has actually pitched pretty well for the Red Sox this season, but I expect those numbers to be much closer to the last two year’s once he gets a few more starts under his belt. He is a pretty big underdog against a Rays offense who is usually pretty good at home. Avoid
Batters
- Home If Luke Scott is in the lineup tonight he may be worth a look. He is 6/16 off of Lackey with 5 XBH’s. Ben Zobrist also makes a good play as he is batting .317 at home this season. And last but not least, Longo is in play, he is just on fire right now and should see plenty of RBI opportunities.
- Away I don’t love the Red Sox bats against Moore today, but Dustin Pedroia is always a beast against lefties, I probably wouldn’t spend my money on him, but he could be a sneaky GPP play.
Cincinnati at Miami
| Cincinnati | Miami | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marlins Park | 7:10 PM | ||||||
| Homer Bailey – (1-3), 3.83 ERA, 8.98 K/9, 1.25 WHIP | Ricky Nolasco – (2-4), 3.72 ERA, 6.36 K/9, 1.16 WHIP | ||||||
| PvB | (17-57 H/AB) 0.298 BA-A, 26.32 K%, 0.789 OPS-A | PvB | (27-110 H/AB) 0.245 BA-A, 27.27 K%, 0.773 OPS-A | ||||
| ROAD | (0-3), 6.23 ERA, 4 HRA, 5.7 K/9, 1.558 WHIP | HOME | (1-1), 3.79 ERA, 1 HRA, 4.3 K/9, 1.105 WHIP | ||||
| BATTER SPLITS BREAKDOWN | |||||||
| CIN BvP | CIN vs R | MIA BvP | MIA vs R | ||||
| Note: Batter Splits Above Open in Pop Up Window | |||||||
Las Vegas
- OU 7.0
- Favored CIN -156
Pitchers
- Home Ricky Nolasco has a decent ERA and a pretty solid WHIP this season. The problem is that he can never count on any run support from that offense. He has great BvP against all of the Reds not named Joey Votto, but I just don’t think he is worth risking as he will likely only get a run or two in run support. Avoid
- Away Homer Bailey should certainly be on your radar today against the Marlins. At this point, it is no secret that the Marlins aren’t very good. No need to break down a ton of numbers here, so take Bailey and be glad that you did. Target
Batters
- Home You could maybe consider Juan Pierre or Marcell Ozuna, but I highly doubt that you would regret it if you end up not taking any Marlins today.
- Away Joey Votto is 6/20 with 2 HR’s and a double against Nolasco and has really turned it on this month with a .359 batting average and an OPS of .944. I like him tonight against Nolasco as well as the other left hand bats of Shin-Soo Choo and Jay Bruce.
Colorado at Chicago Cubs
| Colorado | Chicago Cubs | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wrigley Field | 8:05 PM | ||||||
| Jeff Francis – (1-3), 6.9 ERA, 7.2 K/9, 1.77 WHIP | Carlos Villanueva – (1-2), 3.02 ERA, 6.67 K/9, 1.01 WHIP | ||||||
| PvB | (19-64 H/AB) 0.297 BA-A, 20.31 K%, 0.688 OPS-A | PvB | (11-37 H/AB) 0.297 BA-A, 13.51 K%, 1.054 OPS-A | ||||
| ROAD | (0-1), 8.1 ERA, 1 HRA, 5.4 K/9, 2.1 WHIP | HOME | (1-1), 3.04 ERA, 2 HRA, 5.1 K/9, 1.05 WHIP | ||||
| BATTER SPLITS BREAKDOWN | |||||||
| COL BvP | COL vs R | CHC BvP | CHC vs L | ||||
| Note: Batter Splits Above Open in Pop Up Window | |||||||
Las Vegas
- OU 10.5
- Favored CHI -119
Pitchers
- Home I sure love it when the wind is blowing out at Wrigley. However, the pitchers usually don’t. With an line this high, I don’t care who is pitching. Avoid
- Away Jeff Francis = MAJOR AVOID
Batters
- Home Everyone is in play today for the Cubs. Francis likely won’t last more than a few innings so even the left hand bats of the Cubs should make a decent play. The wind should carries fly balls over the fence so I am going to spend my salary dollars on quite a few players in this one. I could break down each player, but it’s much easier to say that they are all in play.
- Away Load up on Rockies tonight too. Even though Villanueva has been good this season, that wind is really going to hurt his ERA. Troy Tulowitzki already has two HR’s off of Villy and could easily make it three tonight. You also have to like Carlos Gonzalez against a righty.
Chicago White Sox at Minnesota
| Chicago White Sox | Minnesota | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Field | 8:10 PM | ||||||
| Jake Peavy – (4-1), 3.03 ERA, 10.6 K/9, 1.06 WHIP | Kevin Correia – (4-2), 3.09 ERA, 3.9 K/9, 1.2 WHIP | ||||||
| PvB | (38-167 H/AB) 0.228 BA-A, 26.95 K%, 0.623 OPS-A | PvB | (9-29 H/AB) 0.31 BA-A, 13.79 K%, 1.034 OPS-A | ||||
| ROAD | (2-1), 3.79 ERA, 5 HRA, 11.4 K/9, 1.053 WHIP | HOME | (3-0), 1.86 ERA, 2 HRA, 4.3 K/9, 1.034 WHIP | ||||
| BATTER SPLITS BREAKDOWN | |||||||
| CHW BvP | CHW vs R | MIN BvP | MIN vs R | ||||
| Note: Batter Splits Above Open in Pop Up Window | |||||||
Las Vegas
- OU 8.5
- Favored CWS -103
Pitchers
- Home Kevin Correia would be a fantasy stud if sites didn’t award strikeouts. He typically keeps his ERA fairly low and has a decent WHIP. But the problem is the K’s, he is only averaging about 4 K’s per 9 innings which makes him fantasy irrelevant for the most part. Avoid
- Away Jake Peavy has been one of the very few bright spots on this White Sox team this season. He is 4-1 with a 3.03 ERA and a solid 1.073 WHIP. All things considered, he should pitch well tonight against the Twins. I just think for his price, there are much better options out there, especially on sites that you absolutely need a win from your pitcher. In Play
Batters
- Home Joe Mauer seems to have decent BvP numbers against all the top pitchers in the league, he is matchup proof. I think he is a bit overpriced today, but is still a decent option. I don’t expect too much from the rest of the Twins bats against Peavy though.
- Away Adam Dunn actually has positive BvP numbers, but I don’t think I am ever going to recommend taking him. Alex Rios has been hot lately and is worth a look though and Alejandro De Aza gets the benefit of the lefty/righty splits.
