MLB Daily Grind Down: Sunday, June 23rd Part Three
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Miami vs. San Francisco
| 4:05 PM | Miami – ROAD | San Francisco – HOME | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TEAM BATTING | AVG | OPS | K% | FPAB | AVG | OPS | K% | FPAB | |
| SEASON | 0.230 | 0.614 | 18.60% | 0.41 | 0.274 | 0.727 | 16.60% | 0.57 | |
| VS. LEFT/RIGHT | 0.237 | 0.616 | 17.20% | 0.30 | 0.268 | 0.730 | 16.00% | 0.45 | |
| SP STATS | Eovaldi – RHP | Cain – RHP | |||||||
| WHIP | ERA | K/9 | FPPG | WHIP | ERA | K/9 | FPPG | ||
| SEASON | 0.67 | 3.00 | 4.50 | 7.00 | 1.13 | 4.55 | 8.34 | 10.33 | |
| LAST 14 DAYS | 0.67 | 3.00 | 4.50 | 7.00 | 0.84 | 1.31 | 7.57 | 12.73 | |
| BATTER SPLITS | Note: Batter Splits Below Open in Pop Up Window | ||||||||
MIA vs R  | MIA BvP | SFG vs R | SFG BvP | ||||||
What Vegas Says
- Over/Under Total Runs – 7 RUNS
- Favored Team – SFG (-189)
Pitcher Grind Down
Home – Matt Cain – Cain is the biggest favorite of the day facing one of the worst offenses in baseball. He’s a clear cut top-tier pick and is coming off a 10K performance against San Diego where the bullpen unfortunately lost him the lead. I have him as my #2 pitcher of the day, just behind Harvey.
Away – Nathan Eovaldi – I don’t see him going beyond the 5th inning and I can’t imagine he picks up the W. The Giants are a struggling offense but still…Avoid.
Batter Grind Down
San Francisco – Gregor Blanco is 8 for his last 24 and hits right handed pitching well. I don’t know much about Eovaldi so I am tending to shy away from this game beyond Matt Cain, but the San Fran bats have been better at home all season and a couple of guys like Belt and Posey (if in the lineup) could be worth a look.
Miami – Logan Morrison went deep twice of big time Timmy Jim on Friday and Cain has given up a lot of HRs this season and Stanton has 2 HRs in a small sample against Cain but beyond that there’s not much to consider in this lineup.
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LA Dodgers vs. San Diego
| 4:10 PM | LA Dodgers – ROAD | San Diego – HOME | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TEAM BATTING | AVG | OPS | K% | FPAB | AVG | OPS | K% | FPAB | |
| SEASON | 0.255 | 0.695 | 18.60% | 0.52 | 0.249 | 0.707 | 20.80% | 0.58 | |
| VS. LEFT/RIGHT | 0.247 | 0.681 | 19.90% | 0.39 | 0.252 | 0.716 | 19.00% | 0.45 | |
| SP STATS | Capuano – LHP | Cashner – RHP | |||||||
| WHIP | ERA | K/9 | FPPG | WHIP | ERA | K/9 | FPPG | ||
| SEASON | 1.52 | 5.45 | 6.55 | 5.13 | 1.23 | 3.56 | 6.57 | 7.76 | |
| LAST 14 DAYS | 1.27 | 3.32 | 6.37 | 10.73 | |||||
| BATTER SPLITS | Note: Batter Splits Below Open in Pop Up Window | ||||||||
| LAD vs R | LAD BvP | SDP vs L | SDP BvP | ||||||
What Vegas Says
- Over/Under Total Runs – NA
- Favored Team – NA
Pitcher Grind Down
Home – Andrew Cashner – Cashner is another tremendous play today, pitching at home against a team that is among the league’s worst against right handed pitching. His 2.65 home ERA is enticing and 11 Ks in his last 2 starts is above average as well. All in all, I think Cashner is in line for a nice game Sunday as the Padres continue their recent hot streak.
Away – Chris Capuano – Capuano hasn’t pitched in awhile and will likely toss 5 innings and then call it a day. The Padres crush left handed pitching so he’s a complete avoid for me today.
Batter Grind Down
LA Dodgers – No one from LA has faced Cashner more than 7 times, and no one has more than 1 hit against him. Puig and HanRam are hot though. Puig is 8 for his last 27 and HanRam is 7 for his last 20. Both could be in play today along with lefty Andre Ethier and Adrian Gonzalez. All-in-all though, I don’t see much from this Dodger offense.
San Diego – A laundry list of players for the Pads crush lefties. We can start with Headley who’s 4 for 10 off of Capuano with a HR and move right onto Denorfia who is 7 for his last 22 and has an .883 OPS against left handed pitching. Don’t forget Kyle Blanks though, the 6’6” bohemoth has 5 HR in 65 ABs and an OPS over .950 against lefties on the season. I love the Padres today, they’re hot and in a great spot.
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Cincinnati vs. Arizona
| 4:10 PM | Cincinnati – ROAD | Arizona – HOME | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TEAM BATTING | AVG | OPS | K% | FPAB | AVG | OPS | K% | FPAB | |
| SEASON | 0.251 | 0.725 | 19.90% | 0.59 | 0.259 | 0.714 | 18.50% | 0.55 | |
| VS. LEFT/RIGHT | 0.251 | 0.722 | 20.20% | 0.47 | 0.269 | 0.741 | 19.40% | 0.48 | |
| SP STATS | Latos – RHP | Delgado – RHP | |||||||
| WHIP | ERA | K/9 | FPPG | WHIP | ERA | K/9 | FPPG | ||
| SEASON | 1.20 | 3.20 | 8.22 | 11.48 | 1.33 | 4.00 | 9.00 | 7.00 | |
| LAST 14 DAYS | 1.28 | 4.50 | 9.00 | 10.33 | 1.14 | 2.57 | 7.71 | 11.00 | |
| BATTER SPLITS | Note: Batter Splits Below Open in Pop Up Window | ||||||||
| CIN vs R | CIN BvP | ARI vs R | ARI BvP | ||||||
What Vegas Says
- Over/Under Total Runs – 8.5 RUNS
- Favored Team – CIN (-127)
Pitcher Grind Down
Home – Randall Delgado – All praise Randall Delgado right? I mean 7 IP with 6 Ks and just 2 earned against the Marlins must mean he’s a stud. Except it was the Marlins and not a team with left handed studs like Votto, Bruce and Choo. Avoid
Away – Mat Latos – Latos has had some rough luck this season with the bullpen giving away some wins for him and on Saturday Chapman blew a save against the Dbacks to cost his team late again. Regardless, the Diamondbacks have still been a below-average offense this season and while I wouldn’t personally use Latos, I can see his upside.
Batter Grind Down
Arizona – The upside of guys like Goldschmidt, Kubel and Montero can’t be ignored but against Latos I’d rather just take my chances that they stay quiet. If you do want to go there, Kubel has 2 HR in 5 ABs against and Gerardo Parra is white hot of late.
Cincinnati – Jay Bruce has 5 HR in the last 7 days and seems to be on one of his patented hot streaks where he puts everything he touches 25 rows deep into the stands. Gotta love him today and Votto/Choo are both great plays in terms of the left/right matchup and in a hitters park. The one guy I’d avoid is Brandon Phillips, as he’s in a terrible rut right now. He has just 5 hits in his last 10 games and hasn’t eclipsed 2 total fantasy points in that span.
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Oakland vs. Seattle
| 4:10 PM | Oakland – ROAD | Seattle – HOME | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TEAM BATTING | AVG | OPS | K% | FPAB | AVG | OPS | K% | FPAB | |
| SEASON | 0.247 | 0.729 | 19.50% | 0.62 | 0.234 | 0.675 | 22.20% | 0.49 | |
| VS. LEFT/RIGHT | 0.240 | 0.700 | 19.70% | 0.44 | 0.236 | 0.682 | 21.80% | 0.41 | |
| SP STATS | Parker – RHP | Bonderman – RHP | |||||||
| WHIP | ERA | K/9 | FPPG | WHIP | ERA | K/9 | FPPG | ||
| SEASON | 1.30 | 4.30 | 6.10 | 8.80 | 1.16 | 3.28 | 2.98 | 6.80 | |
| LAST 14 DAYS | 0.86 | 2.45 | 4.09 | 11.33 | 0.90 | 0.90 | 3.15 | 9.67 | |
| BATTER SPLITS | Note: Batter Splits Below Open in Pop Up Window | ||||||||
| OAK vs R | OAK BvP | SEA vs R | SEA BvP | ||||||
What Vegas Says
- Over/Under Total Runs – 7.5 RUNS
- Favored Team – OAK (-135)
Pitcher Grind Down
Home – Jeremy Bonderman – Who the hell does Jeremy Bonderman think he is? Like honestly. I mean this clown cost me a DFBC seat by not letting Joey Blanton pick up the win on Tuesday night and had double digit fantasy outputs in his 2 starts before that. It’s time for him to come back to earth though, and he’s a total avoid for me today. 0 strikeouts against the Angels last time out and was bailed out by the awful Josh Hamilton who grounded into 3 double plays. The luck will fade soon for the Bondsman.
Away – Jarrod Parker – Parker has been really good lately and the Mariners have shown they can blow up an opposing pitcher’s stat line with the best of them. They have a ton of left handed bats though, and Parker has surprisingly struggled getting lefties out this season. I still think he’s a targetable play in a pitchers park, but don’t be surprised if he doesn’t get out completely unscathed.
Batter Grind Down
Seattle – The guy I like a lot today is Mike Zunino at a dirt cheap price. He’s a solid right handed bat with some pop and a ton of upside. I think a couple of lefties can get to Parker as well (see stats vs. LHB above) but if you’re taking Mariners you are probably in search of good value and Zunino offers that. He might be my favorite “punt” of the day at catcher.
Oakland – Bonderman has struggled much more against left handed hitters than right, and for that reason I look to Seth Smith and Brandon Moss to do the heavy lifting for Oakland today. I also like Jed Lowrie at a cheap price point, as he went yard Saturday and hits righties better than left. I really picture Bonderman getting knocked around by this Oakland offense today, so pull the trigger on any of these guys (but don’t literally pull the trigger, Aaron Hernandez)
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Texas vs. St. Louis
| 8:10 PM | Texas – ROAD | St. Louis – HOME | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TEAM BATTING | AVG | OPS | K% | FPAB | AVG | OPS | K% | FPAB | |
| SEASON | 0.263 | 0.752 | 17.40% | 0.61 | 0.276 | 0.745 | 17.90% | 0.61 | |
| VS. LEFT/RIGHT | 0.267 | 0.769 | 17.60% | 0.51 | 0.291 | 0.774 | 18.50% | 0.50 | |
| SP STATS | Tepesch – RHP | Wainwright – RHP | |||||||
| WHIP | ERA | K/9 | FPPG | WHIP | ERA | K/9 | FPPG | ||
| SEASON | 1.33 | 4.84 | 6.41 | 7.25 | 1.01 | 2.37 | 8.18 | 14.73 | |
| LAST 14 DAYS | 1.51 | 9.77 | 6.51 | 3.07 | 1.00 | 2.57 | 6.86 | 13.00 | |
| BATTER SPLITS | Note: Batter Splits Below Open in Pop Up Window | ||||||||
| TEX vs R | TEX BvP | STL vs R | STL BvP | ||||||
What Vegas Says
- Over/Under Total Runs – 7.5 RUNS
- Favored Team – STL (-186)
Pitcher Grind Down
Home – Adam Wainwright – Wainwright returns home where he has been stellar all season long (15.8 FPPG) to face one of the best offenses in baseball. His disappointing performance against the Cubs on Tuesday likely looms large in most people’s head (specifically SocrDave who is still rejoicing in it) but he’s much more reliable at Busch Stadium. He’s a huge favorite and has to be in the consideration as one of the Top-3 pitchers of the day.
Away – Nick Tepesch – Not much to say about Tepesch. He’s a huge underdog and is averaging just 3 FPPG over the last 2 weeks. The Cards are a consistently good offense and I can’t imagine him putting up a big score. I do like that Sunday Night Baseball always tends to be low scoring, but you can’t make that a reason for putting Tepesch in. Avoid.
Batter Grind Down
St. Louis – Tepesch has a near 900 OPS against left handed batters and has allowed 7 HR to them this season. Matt Carpenter and Carlos Beltran come to mind but I’d love to see if the kid Matt Adams got the start tonight as well. Unfortunately it’s the late game so you won’t know until after most lineups lock. Tepesch has been impressively staunchy against righties though (.535 OPS against) so you may want to avoid Craig, Holliday and Molina. A value play to look at is Jon Jay who had a 4 hit game on Sunday Night baseball a few weeks back and should be in the lineup against the righty.
Texas – Tough to recommend anyone against a guy as good as Wainwright. Pierzynski has good numbers off him in a tiny sample (2 for 3) and has been on fire lately. He may be the only Ranger I look at today but again, with the night game it can be hard to trust that a specific catcher will be in the lineup.
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