MLB Daily Grind Down: Tuesday, September 24th Part 3

by Ethan Haskell (Ethan) Last Updated 2013-09-24 04:38:54

Boston vs. Colorado

8:40 PM	Boston – ROAD				Colorado – HOME
TEAM BATTING	AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB	AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB
SEASON	0.273	0.780	20.40%	0.68	0.264	0.735	19.80%	0.60
VS. LEFT/RIGHT	0.284	0.819	20.40%	0.57	0.268	0.748	19.70%	0.48
SP STATS	Lackey – RHP				Chatwood – RHP
SP STATS	WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG	WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG
SEASON	1.20	3.56	7.65	10.71	1.49	3.36	5.53	8.27
LAST 14 DAYS	1.50	8.25	6.75	7.00	1.79	3.78	2.22	4.40
BATTER SPLITS	Note: Batter Splits Below Open in Pop Up Window
BATTER SPLITS	BOS vs R		BOS BvP		COL vs R		COL BvP

John Lackey – Similar to my comments about Gio, Lackey is a guy who isn’t worth paying up for given today’s available pitchers. The Coors thing certainly doesn’t help. Starter Rating: 5 out of 10
Tyler Chatwood – Nope. Starter Rating: 1 out of 10

The highest O/U of the day means you can fire away on hitters here.
Chatwood is allowing lefties to hit .287 on the year. For value, consider Jackie Bradley for Boston.
Lackey has struggled with the long ball against right handers, putting Tulo in play.
David Ortiz in Coors against Chatwood is JUICY
The Rockies are the hottest offensive team in baseball, hitting .333 over the last week

10:05 PM	Oakland – ROAD				LA Angels – HOME
TEAM BATTING	AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB	AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB
SEASON	0.244	0.718	19.40%	0.59	0.263	0.743	18.90%	0.61
VS. LEFT/RIGHT	0.257	0.759	19.00%	0.51	0.270	0.753	19.10%	0.48
SP STATS	Straily – RHP				Vargas – LHP
SP STATS	WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG	WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG
SEASON	1.24	4.11	7.26	9.16	1.45	4.28	6.71	9.19
LAST 14 DAYS	0.74	1.42	8.11	14.60	1.55	7.71	9.50	6.37
BATTER SPLITS	Note: Batter Splits Below Open in Pop Up Window
BATTER SPLITS	OAK vs L		OAK BvP		LAA vs R		LAA BvP

Dan Straily – Check and make sure it’s not AJ Griffin going today but I’m still seeing Straily listed most places. If it is Daniel, he has a 1.96 ERA in his last 3 appearances and faces a team that has been average offensively over the past week. Starter Rating: 5 out of 10
Jason Vargas – He’s extremely boom or bust but his 6.97 ERA against the A’s tells me that I’ll be avoiding him. Starter Rating: 3 out of 10

Trumbo is 5-11 with a HR off Straily. Trout is 6-15
If Yoenis is in the LU, he’s 6-22 with 3 dongs against Vargas. Crisp is 14-39 with 2 HR as well
Vargas has a .766 OPS against righties and .819 OPS against lefties. All batters are in play.
The A’s are hitting .293 (going into Monday where they have 8 runs as I write this) over the last week

10:10 PM	Kansas City – ROAD				Seattle – HOME
TEAM BATTING	AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB	AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB
SEASON	0.258	0.688	16.60%	0.54	0.243	0.706	21.70%	0.54
VS. LEFT/RIGHT	0.263	0.697	16.40%	0.41	0.227	0.650	21.80%	0.37
SP STATS	Chen – LHP				Paxton – LHP
SP STATS	WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG	WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG
SEASON	1.16	3.13	5.69	5.38	0.75	0.75	6.00	13.50
LAST 14 DAYS	1.18	4.96	4.47	7.70	0.75	0.75	6.00	13.50
BATTER SPLITS	Note: Batter Splits Below Open in Pop Up Window
BATTER SPLITS	KCR vs L		KCR BvP		SEA vs L		SEA BvP

Bruce Chen – The upside is that the Mariners are one of the worst teams in baseball against left handed pitching. The downside is that he’s a reverse splits pitcher who struggles more against lefties than righties. More upside is he’s favored in a game with an O/U of 7. Starter Rating: 5 out of 10
James Paxton – In 3 starts, he has 2 where you could say he hit ‘value’ and one dud against the tough Tigers offense. The Royals are scrappy but not a juggernaut offensively and with the low O/U, I think he might be a nice cheapie tonight. Starter Rating: 6 out of 10

10:10 PM	Arizona – ROAD				San Diego – HOME
TEAM BATTING	AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB	AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB
SEASON	0.259	0.717	18.30%	0.56	0.247	0.693	20.90%	0.54
VS. LEFT/RIGHT	0.258	0.717	18.50%	0.45	0.254	0.727	21.20%	0.46
SP STATS	Miley – LHP				Ross – RHP
SP STATS	WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG	WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG
SEASON	1.33	3.70	6.60	9.44	1.17	3.24	8.59	5.73
LAST 14 DAYS	1.07	2.70	5.50	10.55	1.06	4.91	8.87	6.73
BATTER SPLITS	Note: Batter Splits Below Open in Pop Up Window
BATTER SPLITS	ARI vs R		ARI BvP		SDP vs L		SDP BvP

Wade Miley – In 4 starts against the Padres his ERA is 7.11. The Padres feast on left handed pitching and Miley has fallen victim to it 4 times already. Don’t let yourself be trapped into falling for it a fifth time. Starter Rating: 4 out of 10
Tyson Ross – Ross has 3 gems in his last 4 starts, with the one poor appearance being an absolute implosion. In 15 IP against ARI this year he has a 2.00 ERA and 14 K’s in 15 IP. He’s favored and at a pitcher friendly PetCo. Starter Rating: 6 out of 10

Gyorko is 3 for 8 with 2 doubles and Denorfia is 7 for 23 with a pair of doubles as well off Miley.
Ross has held right handers to just a .205 BA-A on the season. Avoid Goldie, Hill and Prado tonight.
Righties are hitting .262 off Miley with a .751 OPS against. Denorfia, Blanks, Gyorko and Hundley all hit lefties extremely well.

10:15 PM	LA Dodgers – ROAD				San Francisco – HOME
TEAM BATTING	AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB	AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB
SEASON	0.266	0.723	18.40%	0.56	0.259	0.692	16.90%	0.51
VS. LEFT/RIGHT	0.270	0.730	18.30%	0.44	0.260	0.689	17.30%	0.39
SP STATS	Ryu – LHP				Cain – RHP
SP STATS	WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG	WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG
SEASON	1.20	3.03	7.16	11.29	1.15	4.06	7.83	9.76
LAST 14 DAYS	0.93	3.21	3.21	7.00	1.19	1.29	6.00	10.67
BATTER SPLITS	Note: Batter Splits Below Open in Pop Up Window
BATTER SPLITS	LAD vs R		LAD BvP		SFG vs L		SFG BvP

Hyun-Jin Ryu – The O/U here is a soft 6.5 with the moneyline being essentially a toss-up against Cain. But in 4 starts vs. SF he has just 12 K’s in 25 IP and a 3.2 K/9 rate over the last 14 days. His arm may be getting tired and there’s not enough upside for me to fall in love with this today. Starter Rating: 6 out of 10
Matt Cain – A week or so back he held the Dodgers to just 1 ER with 6 K’s in 7 IP. He followed that with a strong performance against NYM where he lost out on a win thanks to a bullpen collapse of epic proportions. Again, I see the win being a challenge here but other than that he’s a strong play. Starter Rating: 7 out of 10

Adrian Gonzalez is 20-67 with 4 HR off Cain. Hanley is 11 for 40 with a HR and Ethier is 30 for 68 with a HR.
Pence is 6-11 with 2 XBH off Ryu. Torres is 5-11 with a double.
Overall I’m avoiding the hitters in a game with that O/U of 6.5