MLB DFS Multi Entry Strategy: Friday, May 3rd
MLB DFS tournament play is unlike that of any other sport. Predicting outcomes with precision is difficult, and player variance is near its peak. There are special considerations when constructing lineups in order for you to find success in the long term. Each weekday, our DFS analysts will examine a specific tournament format and help you understand the application of strategy, via concepts such as pitcher pairings, roster construction, stacking, leverage, ownership, variance, and more.
Pitching Texture
We have a handful of high-priced pitchers toeing the rubber on Friday night but James Paxton separates himself from the pack. The context isn’t the best for Paxton – hitter-friendly park vs good offense – but he has the fewest number of question marks surrounding his talent. In other words, Paxton is good, we know he’s good, and his massive 36.2% strikeout rate this season gives him the best floor + ceiling combination on the slate even if he allows a few runs. While I have Paxton ranked as my top high-priced cash game option I do think there can be a case made to be underweight on him in tournaments at his current ownership projection (30% DK). 30% isn’t overwhelming but it is certainly high for a pitcher in a difficult matchup (the Twins have a 117 wRC+ vs LHP this season) on a 14-game slate.
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