Million Dollar Musings: MLB DFS Picks Today for Monday 3/31

by Dave Potts (CheeseIsGood) Last Updated 2025-03-31 16:01:47 Premium Content Part of the product MLB DFS

Whether you are looking for the top pitchers or the best stacks, Dave Potts (aka CheeseIsGood) has you covered with an extensive deep dive into his MLB DFS picks. Cheese, one of the preeminent baseball minds in all of fantasy sports and a winner of a $1,000,000 1st-place prize on both DraftKings and FanDuel, is here to give you his musings on the upcoming MLB DFS slate.

Happy Monday and War Eagle! Beyond the obvious good news of Auburn reaching the Final Four, I have some other very good news to start this week off right – the Yankees and their fancy bats are not playing today!! We get to wait until tomorrow to start dissecting that nonsense again, so for today, we are left with an 8-game slate that has a lot of unknowns from small sample size on the pitcher side. This leads us to a pretty clear top couple pitchers and then a very spread out group of offense to sort through.

If you’re playing the early 4-game slate that starts at 2:10 PM ET, we have Expert tags and blurbs available in our MLB DFS optimizer, LineupHQ, to get you pointed in the right direction.

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Monday Pitching: MLB DFS Picks on FanDuel & DraftKings

We are down the bottom of the rotation for most teams, with the exception of one ace, followed by a small group of other solid pitchers. We then find a group of young pitchers — or inexperienced pitchers with some potential — but a lot of unknown.

AN ACE OR TWO AND SOME OTHER PEOPLE

• Tyler Glasnow vs. Braves – 32.2% K, 6.7% BB, 3.49 ERA, 2.90 SIERA
• Drew Rasmussen vs. Pirates – 30.2% K, 5.2% BB, 2.83 ERA, 2.55 SIERA
• Ronel Blanco vs. Giants – 24.6% K, 10.1% BB, 2.80 ERA, 4.17 SIERA
• Bowden Francis vs. Nationals – 22.5% K, 5.4% BB, 3.30 ERA, 3.88 SIERA
• Jordan Hicks at Astros – 20% K, 9.8% BB, 4.10 ERA, 4.44 SIERA

We have just one established ace on this slate, Tyler Glasnow, and then a potential ace, Drew Rasmussen, depending on how heavily you want to weigh his 28 innings from last season.

The way I see this slate is that at least on the DK side, where you need two pitchers, I want as much of the one ‘sure thing’ as I can get. Of course, we know nothing is a sure thing in baseball, but we do know that Tyler Glasnow is an elite pitcher. We also know he was at full velocity in Spring Training, striking out 9 batters on 73 pitches in his last start. While the Braves have started off slowly, this is going to be a good offense, but they aren’t an especially low-strikeout offense. There are several interesting options that we’re going to look at, but where salary allows, I don’t see any reason to overthink it with Glasnow as the SP1.

Drew Rasmussen was incredible in his 4 starts plus 12 relief appearances last season, and while we can’t expect a repeat of the 30% strikeout rate, his past numbers tell us we can at least expect a repeat of the strong control and a ground-ball lean. Before an elbow injury ended his 2023 season, he was at a 26.6% K rate through 8 starts, so it’s at least worth hoping we see something in that range as his upside.

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