Million Dollar Musings: MLB DFS Picks Today for Sunday 6/14

Million Dollar Musings: MLB DFS picks

Whether you are looking for the top pitchers or the best stacks, Dave Potts (aka CheeseIsGood) has you covered with an extensive deep dive into his MLB DFS picks today. Cheese, one of the preeminent baseball minds in all of fantasy sports and a winner of a $1,000,000 1st-place prize on both DraftKings and FanDuel, is here to muse about the June 14, 2026 MLB DFS slate.

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Happy Sunday! I’m filling in for Cards today on this tricky 10-game slate that has a mix of high-end aces, high-total offenses, and some weather issues. At first glance, I see a lot of different paths to building lineups, but we’ll see if we can narrow things down a bit on both sides.

The biggest weather concern appears to be the Tigers-Guardians game, which is a very important game for pitching on DK with Gavin Williams on the mound at a discount from the other aces. I’m listing him here for now, but I’m not planning to play him until we see how things look closer to lock.

Sunday Pitching: MLB DFS Picks on DraftKings and FanDuel

Sanchez of the Phillies

We have one of the best pitchers in the league who is priced accordingly, two other high-strikeout pitchers, and then a pretty tangly group of inconsistent pitchers priced between $7,700-$9,000 on DK.

TOP TIER PITCHING

Cristopher Sanchez is not quite Jacob Misiorowski with the strikeouts, but this is the only guy who can make a case to get anywhere near him in the Cy Young race so far this season. Everything about his skill set is elite, and his efficiency has allowed him to go 7+ innings in 7 straight starts. A lot of starters won’t go 7 innings once in an entire season, and this guy makes it look easy. The matchup isn’t good for strikeouts, but the Brewers are never a scary power team, and Sanchez is as matchup proof as they come. He’s the very clear SP1, and it’s only going to be a matter of finding the salary for him. My initial thought here is that he’s not quite the level of must-play that Miz was a couple days ago, but let’s see what else we find on this slate to help decide that.

Kyle Harrison was looking like one of the best pitchers in the league before getting hammered for 8 runs in the first game played in the goofy Las Vegas ballpark last week. I’m going to give him a full pass on that one. When you look at his game log, while the runs were an outlier, the ups and downs in his strikeouts look real. He has 3 huge starts of 11-12 strikeouts in his last 8 games, but nothing else over 7 strikeouts in that time. He is not quite as efficient as Sanchez, so even when he’s good, it’s more likely he gets 5-6 innings than 7+, which he’s only reached once all season. He has the same upside as Sanchez but nowhere remotely near the same consistency. I am happy to play Harrison on any slate, but he’s not going to be a priority at this salary.

Gavin Williams is priced ahead of Harrison on FD, but he is in a whole different pricing tier at a $1,400 discount on DK. He has allowed 4 home runs in his last 2 starts, but both games were against the Yankees, and he still managed to escape both those starts with only 3 earned runs allowed in 5 innings. He’s been a lot like Harrison with the ups and down in the strikeouts, and I consider them to be very similar pitchers overall. There is plenty of power risk in this matchup as well, along with an interesting mix of 4 high-strikeout bats and 5 lower-strikeout bats in Detroit’s lineup. If the weather holds up, I have Williams and Harrison in a virtual tie, which means I lean to Harrison on FD, but I have a strong preference for Williams on DK with the big discount.

Freddy Peralta is simply not the same guy this year. After 8 straight seasons of a strikeout rate above 27%, his current 23.4% strikeout rate looks like what he is. His control has gotten no better to go along with the drop in strikeouts, and basically, he looks to be pretty close to an average pitcher. He’s still priced up at $9,000, and that leaves me with basically no interest.

Taj Bradley started out the season pitching well, but recently, he has fallen back closer to where he was last year. His control has been sketchy all season, and it has become even worse since returning from the IL, with a scary 14.1% BB rate in those 4 starts. He has walked multiple batters in 9 straight starts, and the strikeouts have come and gone. He also adds in a big fly-ball lean with power risk to lefties. That leaves him very similar to Peralta for me. In theory, there’s moderate upside, but I would have wanted to see more of a discount to get him into the primary pool.

Emerson Hancock continues to be great in real life, but so do the Nationals. You could have opened a psychic business if you’d predicted that a mid-June matchup of Hancock vs. the Nationals would be between a pitcher with the 7th best ERA in the league against the league’s top offense. I am more on the side of believing in Washington’s offense. Even in all of Hancock’s greatness, the strikeouts have mostly disappeared, back to his old 20.3% strikeout rate in 6 starts since his one big outlier game. I do believe he’s real-life good, but I don’t want to pay this salary against a very good, low-strikeout offense.

Emmet Sheehan is the trickiest one here for me. He’s down at just $7,900 on DK, and not including Casey Mize, who is coming off the IL, Sheehan has the 4th-highest strikeout rate on this slate, trailing only the top-3 aces. But with those strikeouts has come a similar lack of consistency as all these other pitchers, and home run issues from his heavy fly-ball lean. Even without a certain samurai, the White Sox continue to look like a very tough matchup for right-handed pitching, filled with a mix of patient bats with power. What I’d say here is that I prefer Peralta and Bradley to Sheehan straight up, but I basically have them all in the same bucket, so with this discount, I guess I like Sheehan better on DK. On FD, all of them are priced around the same range, and it’s just a random mix and match there.

Will Warren is back to the same huge splits as we saw last season. He’s basically an ace against righties, and he’s a below-average pitcher to lefties. The Blue Jays are a low-strikeout team overall, but they should only have 4 lefties against him. He has the same lack of consistency with the strikeouts as everyone else, and this slate is really starting to annoy me already. There is essentially no realistic way to separate any of these pitchers below Williams. As much as it sounds funny, I think I’d rather face the Blue Jays than the White Sox right now, so I guess I’ll take Warren ahead of Sheehan. This is still not a priority at all, but he is making it into the primary pool.

Bryce Elder is also right at this same salary range on DK next to Sheehan and Warren, and while he has a much lower overall strikeout rate, he has also shown the same ceiling games, and he has been more consistent in real life. He appears to have a real ability to limit power with almost no barrels allowed, and the Mets have very little in the way of power threats. I slightly prefer Warren here, but I’m going to play Elder ahead of Sheehan as well.

Overall, as I look at this top tier, Cristopher Sanchez looks like more of a priority than I originally expected. It’s really hard to trust anyone at all once you get below him, and that is even more the case if we lose Gavin Williams to the weather.

CHEAPER PITCHING

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About the Author

CheeseIsGood
Dave Potts (CheeseIsGood)

One of the preeminent baseball minds in all of fantasy, Dave Potts (aka CheeseIsGood) has won contests at the highest levels of both season-long and DFS. He is a 2x winner of a $1,000,000 1st-place prize in DFS, having won the 2014 FanDuel baseball Live Final and following that up by taking down a DraftKings Milly Maker Tournament in 2015. In addition, he’s won the Main Event championship in the National Fantasy Baseball Championship and the NFBC Platinum League, which is the highest buy-in entry league. His consistent success in the NFBC tournaments earned him a prestigious spot in their Hall of Fame. Dave can also strum a mean guitar while carrying a tune, and if you’re lucky, you’ll see him do so on one of his MLB Crunch Time appearances. Follow Dave on X – @DavePotts2