Million Dollar Musings: MLB DFS Picks Today for Thursday 7/10

Million Dollar Musings: MLB DFS picks

Whether you are looking for the top pitchers or the best stacks, Dave Potts (aka CheeseIsGood) has you covered with an extensive deep dive into his MLB DFS picks. Cheese, one of the preeminent baseball minds in all of fantasy sports and a winner of a $1,000,000 1st-place prize on both DraftKings and FanDuel, is here to give you his musings on the upcoming MLB DFS slate.

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Happy Thursday! We’ve got a strange little 7-game slate tonight that is very dicey on the pitching side and packed with high-end offense. I’ll get things sorted as best I can, but we’ve got something like 10 teams that have slate-breaking upside. My initial lean here is to take some stands and just pick a few favorites to get over the field on.

It looks like we are going to be OK on the MLB weather front tonight, so let’s dive in and sort this out the best we can until those MLB starting lineups start rolling in.

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Thursday Pitching: MLB DFS Picks on FanDuel & DraftKings

Strider of the Braves

There are two big-name pitchers in their own pricing tier up top today. Both of them come with some risk, but when you start looking at the rest of the slate, these two end up looking better and better.

TOP TIER DUO

Bryan Woo and Spencer Strider are light years ahead of the rest of the pitching pool, but in these matchups, these are also not your typical spend-up, can’t-miss-type aces that we find in the $10,000 range.

Bryan Woo has been outstanding in real life and has perked up with his strikeouts for DFS upside as well over his last few starts. I always expect him to be good in any matchup, but in looking at the splits, he is just not the right kind of pitcher for a matchup in Yankee Stadium. He has been basically elite against righties, but these numbers against lefties give me a lot of reason for pause – 21% K, 5.6% BB, 29% GB, .189 ISO, and 10.4% barrels. These are not terrible numbers, but that is basically an average pitcher with power risk against lefties. If the Yankees get all their lefty power bats in the lineup, I just don’t think I can call him a priority for $10,000.

Spencer Strider is still a complete wild card at this point. The only good news is that he looks fully stretched out with no pitch count concerns. But he’s still not back to his old velocity; his Stuff+ is OK, but nothing like his old self, and we just have no idea about either the strikeouts or the walks. In the good news department, he still has a 27.6% K rate and 15.3% swinging strikes, and the A’s are likely to have at least 4 high-strikeout bats in the lineup. If we had a better pitching slate, I’d love to sit this one out, but we have to play somebody tonight. Strider has similar downside risk as Woo, but I would rather play a pitcher against the A’s than the Yankees, so Strider is my SP1.

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About the Author

CheeseIsGood
Dave Potts (CheeseIsGood)

One of the preeminent baseball minds in all of fantasy, Dave Potts (aka CheeseIsGood) has won contests at the highest levels of both season-long and DFS. He is a 2x winner of a $1,000,000 1st-place prize in DFS, having won the 2014 FanDuel baseball Live Final and following that up by taking down a DraftKings Milly Maker Tournament in 2015. In addition, he’s won the Main Event championship in the National Fantasy Baseball Championship and the NFBC Platinum League, which is the highest buy-in entry league. His consistent success in the NFBC tournaments earned him a prestigious spot in their Hall of Fame. Dave can also strum a mean guitar while carrying a tune, and if you’re lucky, you’ll see him do so on one of his MLB Crunch Time appearances. Follow Dave on Twitter – @DavePotts2