Million Dollar Musings: MLB DFS Picks Today for Thursday 7/10

by Dave Potts (CheeseIsGood) Last Updated 2025-07-10 17:16:12 Premium Content Part of the product MLB DFS

Whether you are looking for the top pitchers or the best stacks, Dave Potts (aka CheeseIsGood) has you covered with an extensive deep dive into his MLB DFS picks. Cheese, one of the preeminent baseball minds in all of fantasy sports and a winner of a $1,000,000 1st-place prize on both DraftKings and FanDuel, is here to give you his musings on the upcoming MLB DFS slate.

Happy Thursday! We’ve got a strange little 7-game slate tonight that is very dicey on the pitching side and packed with high-end offense. I’ll get things sorted as best I can, but we’ve got something like 10 teams that have slate-breaking upside. My initial lean here is to take some stands and just pick a few favorites to get over the field on.

It looks like we are going to be OK on the MLB weather front tonight, so let’s dive in and sort this out the best we can until those MLB starting lineups start rolling in.

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Thursday Pitching: MLB DFS Picks on FanDuel & DraftKings

There are two big-name pitchers in their own pricing tier up top today. Both of them come with some risk, but when you start looking at the rest of the slate, these two end up looking better and better.

TOP TIER DUO

• Bryan Woo at Yankees – 24.6% K, 4.5% BB, 2.77 ERA, 3.42 SIERA
• Spencer Strider at A’s – 27.6% K, 9.2% BB, 3.93 ERA, 3.59 SIERA

Bryan Woo and Spencer Strider are light years ahead of the rest of the pitching pool, but in these matchups, these are also not your typical spend-up, can’t-miss-type aces that we find in the $10,000 range.

Bryan Woo has been outstanding in real life and has perked up with his strikeouts for DFS upside as well over his last few starts. I always expect him to be good in any matchup, but in looking at the splits, he is just not the right kind of pitcher for a matchup in Yankee Stadium. He has been basically elite against righties, but these numbers against lefties give me a lot of reason for pause – 21% K, 5.6% BB, 29% GB, .189 ISO, and 10.4% barrels. These are not terrible numbers, but that is basically an average pitcher with power risk against lefties. If the Yankees get all their lefty power bats in the lineup, I just don’t think I can call him a priority for $10,000.

Spencer Strider is still a complete wild card at this point. The only good news is that he looks fully stretched out with no pitch count concerns. But he’s still not back to his old velocity; his Stuff+ is OK, but nothing like his old self, and we just have no idea about either the strikeouts or the walks. In the good news department, he still has a 27.6% K rate and 15.3% swinging strikes, and the A’s are likely to have at least 4 high-strikeout bats in the lineup. If we had a better pitching slate, I’d love to sit this one out, but we have to play somebody tonight. Strider has similar downside risk as Woo, but I would rather play a pitcher against the A’s than the Yankees, so Strider is my SP1.

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