Million Dollar Musings: MLB DFS Picks for Wednesday, May 15th

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CheeseIsGood, a winner of a $1,000,000 1st-place prize on both DraftKings and FanDuel, is here to give you his musings on the upcoming MLB DFS slate. Whether you are looking for the top pitchers or the best stacks, Cheese has you covered with an extensive deep dive into his MLB DFS picks.

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Happy Wednesday! We have another busy Wednesday with games all over the place. I’ll start with a quick peek at the early 6-game slate on DK, which starts at 1:10 PM ET. We will also have an early Crunch Time at 12:20 PM ET to go over any final thoughts on these afternoon games.

Then I’ll be back with a look at the 6-game evening slate for both FD and DK, which begins at 7:10 PM ET.

Wednesday Early Pitching: MLB DFS Picks on FanDuel & DraftKings

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This is a weird and tricky pitching slate. We have two high-upside pitchers that should garner a ton of ownership, and then after a small mid-tier of pitchers with small sample sizes, we have a tangle of below-average pitchers in good matchups.

TWO WITH ACE POTENTIAL

Garrett Crochet vs. Nationals – 34.2% K, 4.8% BB, 4.63 ERA, 2.36 SIERA
Michael King vs. Rockies – 25.6% K, 11.4% BB, 3.67 ERA, 3.99 SIERA

SMALL SAMPLES AND MID-TIER MAYBES

Bryan Woo vs. Royals – 2nd start of season
Robert Gasser vs. Pirates – 2nd start of career
Brandon Pfaadt vs. Reds – 21.1% K, 4% BB, 4.60 ERA, 3.67 SIERA
Andrew Abbott at Diamondbacks – 20.8% K, 6.7% BB, 3.35 ERA, 4.28 SIERA

CHEAP, GOOD MATCHUPS, SHAKY SKILLS

Casey Mize vs. Marlins – 16% K, 5.6% BB, 3.58 ERA, 4.18 SIERA
Alec Marsh at Mariners – 18.5% K, 6.9% BB, 2.53 ERA, 4.33 SIERA
Patrick Corbin at White Sox – 14.8% K, 8.2% BB, 5.91 ERA, 4.66 SIERA
Trevor Rogers – 17.2% K, 9.4% BB, 6.57 ERA, 4.51 SIERA

Michael King has been all over the place in his first season as a full-time starter. He has 2 double-digit strikeout games, with his other 7 appearances all coming with 6 or fewer strikeouts. His control has been a bit all over the place as well, but the overall number is skewed from one bad start in March. Because his latest big start came against the Dodgers, I think everyone is going to focus on the upside here, and it’s certainly viable in this matchup. Officially, I would call him the clear SP1 because of the matchup and his strikeout ability, but this is a spot where I’m nervous about ownership on a guy who is not a sure thing at this point in his career. If you want the guy who is most likely to score the most points with no concerns about what could be 60%+ ownership, then this is your guy. Personally, I will be under the field and just hope it doesn’t bury me.

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About the Author

CheeseIsGood
Dave Potts (CheeseIsGood)

One of the preeminent baseball minds in all of fantasy, Dave Potts (aka CheeseIsGood) has won contests at the highest levels of both season-long and DFS. He is a 2x winner of a $1,000,000 1st-place prize in DFS; having won the 2014 FanDuel baseball Live Final and following that up by taking down a DraftKings Milly Maker Tournament in 2015. In addition, he’s won the Main Event championship in the National Fantasy Baseball Championship and the NFBC Platinum League, which is the highest buy-in entry league. His consistent success in the NFBC tournaments earned him a prestigious spot in their Hall of Fame. Dave can also strum a mean guitar while carrying a tune, and if you’re lucky, you’ll see him do so on one of his MLB Crunch Time appearances. Follow Dave on Twitter – @DavePotts2