MLB DFS Top Stacks: Friday, April 28
Derek Farnsworth walks you through the top stacks for the upcoming MLB main slate. Should we eat the chalk? Which team is a good pivot? Where can we find leverage? Find out below!
MLB DFS is complex. Most articles on MLB DFS picks are about the individual players most likely to succeed on any given day, but the MLB DFS picks most likely to succeed aren’t always the MLB DFS picks we should be most likely to play.
In this space, we will be looking at the MLB DFS process over the MLB DFS picks. And we’re looking at teams over individual players, using the features of the RotoGrinders Top Stacks tool. We’ll still look at the player projections available in LineupHQ. Still, we’ll be more focused on collective ownership, optimal scores, and matchups of full stacks within the context of game selection and leverage.
Happy Friday everyone! We have officially made it to the weekend. Tonight’s slate features Jacob deGrom and a game in Coors Field, so there is going to be a significant amount of chalk. I like the spot for both deGrom and the Diamondbacks, so we’ll look for ways that we can have exposure to both while still building quality tournament lineups.
Chalk Stacks
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Kyle Freeland
The chalk stack tonight has to the Diamondbacks. They would be one of the more popular stacks if this game was in Arizona, so the Coors Field factor will certainly make them the highest-owned stack on the board. In case you have been living under a rock or in case you have never played MLB DFS before, Coors Field is essentially a cheat code for hitters. The altitude makes the ball travel farther, the altitude hurts pitcher’s ability to curve the ball, and the outfield is built to allow doubles and triples. Each and every year, this is the best hitter’s park in baseball.
Now, let’s take a look at the matchup. Kyle Freeland has one of the worst skill sets of any starter taking the mound tonight. Since the start of last season, he has a 4.57 SIERA, a 17% strikeout rate, and a 9% walk rate. To make matters worse, he doesn’t generate many ground balls (41%) and he gives up a lot of hard contact. We are dealing with a small sample size this season, but he has given up nearly two home runs per nine innings. Honestly, I feel bad that the guy has to make half of his starts in Coors Field every year.
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