MLB DFS Top Stacks: Friday, June 2
Derek Farnsworth walks you through the top stacks for the upcoming MLB main slate. Should we eat the chalk? Which team is a good pivot? Where can we find leverage? Find out below!
MLB DFS is complex. Most articles on MLB DFS picks are about the individual players most likely to succeed on any given day, but the MLB DFS picks most likely to succeed aren’t always the MLB DFS picks we should be most likely to play.
In this space, we will look at the MLB DFS process over the MLB DFS picks. And we’re looking at teams over individual players, using the features of the RotoGrinders Top Stacks tool. We’ll still look at the player projections available in LineupHQ. Still, we’ll be more focused on collective ownership, optimal scores, and matchups of full stacks within the context of game selection and leverage.
Happy Friday everyone and as always, welcome back to the top stacks article. The goal here is to give you an idea of who the most popular stacks are going to be and whether or not they are still good options based on how often they show up in the optimal lineup in our simulations. We also look for teams that we can pivot to at lower ownership and maybe cover a stack or two that I like based on something that I’ve seen in the numbers. There are 13 games on the main slate tonight, so plenty of stacks to choose from.
Let’s dive right in.
Chalk Stack – Phillies vs. Josiah Gray
It’s early in the day, but pOWN% is saying that the Phillies will be the most popular stack on the board tonight. They are currently checking in at 11% ownership on DraftKings and 10.2% ownership on FanDuel. We’ve seen much higher-owned stacks in the past, so the ownership isn’t a big concern. However, it’s always important to see how often the stack actually appears in the optimal lineup. For both sites, the Opto% is at 10.6% for the Phillies, which is right around their ownership.
It’s easy to see why the Phillies are an appealing stack tonight. Josiah Gray is a fly-ball pitcher that gives up a lot of walks and that really struggles against left-handed hitters. Over the last two seasons, he has given up a .377 wOBA to batters from the left side of the plate. He’s been much better at keeping the ball in the park this season, but still has a HR/9 over 2.00 when you look at his numbers over the last few seasons combined.
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