MLB DFS Top Stacks: Monday, August 5th
MLB DFS is complex. Most articles are about the individual players most likely to succeed, but the MLB DFS picks most likely to succeed aren’t always the MLB DFS picks we should be most likely to play. With some help from our Top Stacks tool, we will aim to look more at the process instead of just the picks and the teams instead of just the players. We’ll still analyze the MLB player projections that are available in our MLB optimizer, LineupHQ. However, we’ll be more focused on collective ownership, optimal scores, and matchups of full stacks within the context of game selection and leverage.
We’re back to kick off another week of MLB action. Monday’s main slate starts at 6:40 p.m. ET on both sites. There are some bad pitchers on the bump this evening, so let’s get into it.
All stats cited are since the start of the 2023 season unless otherwise noted.
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MLB DFS Picks: Top Stacks for Monday, August 5th
CHALKY STACK
Giants at Patrick Corbin
Patrick Corbin is truly incredible in the sense that he’s somehow holding down an MLB rotation spot for another season. His ERA and xERA are both pushing 5.90, and he’s striking out only 16% of batters while yielding a .205 ISO and .373 wOBA against righties. None of this is new news. You can also attack Corbin with lefties, and the most recent ones he’s dueled with across the last month have mostly taken advantage of him. When Corbin exits, the Giants will square off with a bullpen that ranks 4th-worst in ERA and 8th-worst in WHIP.
Corbin still has a pretty stellar ground-ball rate, so the Giants are a full stack only for me. Tyler Fitzgerald continues to be one of the hottest hitters in baseball this summer, with a .269 ISO, .402 wOBA, and a 13% barrel rate against LHP this season – and now, he’s hitting toward the top of the order.
Matt Chapman has a 64% hard-hit rate and a 12% barrel rate against southpaws this season, and even Mark Canha, who came over from Detroit, has enjoyed mild success against LHP in 2024. Casey Schmitt always seems to do this thing where he goes on a heater for a stretch or two over the last couple of summers. Across 20 measly plate appearances, he has a .611 ISO against MLB LHP this year. He was actually ballin’ out at Triple-A Sacramento (to his standards) this year, with 13 home runs and a .489 SLG in 303 plate appearances. Not too shabby!
Jerar Encarnacion was absolutely destroying the ball in the minors this season, and he’s one of the best value plays on the slate.
The Giants currently have the highest implied run total on the slate by a decent margin, and it’s nice that they’re guaranteed a 9th-inning at-bat. I don’t think it’s a necessity to pay up at pitching today, but if you’re concerned about moolah, the Giants’ most-expensive hitter on FanDuel is listed at $3,500, and the team only has two bats above $4,000 on DraftKings.
Our Top Stacks tool currently has San Fran as the chalkiest and the highest Opto% stack on both sites. Our tool crunches numbers throughout the day, so be sure to visit the page once or twice to see if there are any changes.
PIVOT STACK
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