MLB DFS Top Stacks: Monday, June 3rd
MLB DFS is complex. Most articles on MLB DFS picks are about the individual players most likely to succeed on any given day, but the MLB DFS picks most likely to succeed aren’t always the MLB DFS picks we should be most likely to play. In this article, we will look at the MLB DFS process over the MLB DFS picks. And we’re looking at teams over individual players, using the features of the RotoGrinders Top Stacks tool. We’ll still look at the player projections that are available in our MLB Lineup Optimizer, LineupHQ. However, we’ll be more focused on collective ownership, optimal scores, and matchups of full stacks within the context of game selection and leverage.
We’ve got an 8-game MLB DFS slate to get the week started. The pitching side is loaded with several appealing options, and we have a Coors Field game to deal with. The slate starts a little earlier than usual, at 6:40 PM ET. Let’s discuss which stacks we might want to target.
All stats cited are for the 2024 season unless otherwise noted.
MLB DFS Picks: Top Stacks for Monday, June 3rd
CHALK STACK
Reds at Ryan Feltner
The Reds’ offense has been largely disappointing this season, as they currently rank 27th in wRC+ (87) and 25th in wOBA (.297). They head into Coors Field for a matchup with Ryan Feltner. The Rockies’ right-hander owns a 5.46 ERA through 11 starts, but he has actually pitched quite well. Estimators like SIERA (4.25) and xERA (3.87) believe he has deserved better results. His strikeouts are still below average at 18.6%, but he has trimmed his walk rate down to 6.8%.
The Reds are priced up on both sites, and they are one of a few teams that do not receive a huge ballpark upgrade for offense when they travel to Coors.
Elly De La Cruz leads the league in stolen bases, with 12 more steals than the next-closest player. He also owns a .244 ISO versus RHP, giving him a coveted power/speed profile that fully justifies him being the highest-priced hitter on both sites.
TJ Friedl and Jake Fraley have yet to really get their seasons on track. Fraley has made plenty of contact, but his power from last season has disappeared. Friedl has been out of the lineup for most of the season with a fractured wrist.
Jeimer Candelario and Spencer Steer have both been above-average hitters. Candelario owns a touch more power, with a .208 ISO versus RHP, while Steer has displayed strong on-base and plate skills.
Will Benson has struck out far too much (38.8% K%), but he has both excellent power (.248 ISO vs. RHP) and speed (9 stolen bases). He is generally buried down in the 9-hole, which should keep his ownership down.
The Reds own both the top pOWN% and Opto%. The ownership overall is not overly concerning at just under 15%, but I think we could see them be quite popular in single-entry formats. There are some pretty obvious salary savers at pitcher, like Matt Waldron and Tylor Megill (DK only), that make it easy enough to spend up for the Reds.
My plan is to play them roughly even with the field in large-field tournaments, but I will likely consider a pivot option in single-entry and small-field tournaments.
PIVOT STACK
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