MLB DFS Top Stacks: Sunday, June 18
Alex Sonty walks you through the top stacks for the upcoming MLB main slate. Should we eat the chalk? Which team is a good pivot? Where can we find leverage? Find out below!
MLB DFS is complex. Most articles on MLB DFS picks are about the individual players most likely to succeed on any given day, but the MLB DFS picks most likely to succeed aren’t always the MLB DFS picks we should be most likely to play.
In this space, we will look at the MLB DFS process over the MLB DFS picks. And we’re looking at teams over individual players, using the features of the RotoGrinders Top Stacks tool. We’ll still look at the player projections available in LineupHQ. Still, we’ll be more focused on collective ownership, optimal scores, and matchups of full stacks within the context of game selection and leverage.
There isn’t a wealth of pitching on this slate, but there isn’t a wealth of pitchers with extreme power prevention issues. Today, we’re looking more to target pitchers who allow a high frequency of contact facing teams that generate a high quality of contact.
Chalk Stack – Braves vs. Chase Anderson
Chase Anderson was once a massive flyball pitcher. He’s changed his pitch mix in recent years and has become much more of a groundball pitcher. This isn’t great for us.
With the greater groundball rate (44.1% since the start of 2022) has only 1.34 HR/9. This isn’t great for us, but it’s something to work with.
He also isn’t getting hit hard though: Only a 6.5% barrel rate on a 39.2% hard-hit rate. This makes me pause.
All of that said, the Braves projected lineup has a scorching 11.3% barrel rate against RHPs since the start of 2022, and Anderson is giving up a near slate-high 81.2% contact rate.
The Braves are going to be high-owned because of their power against a guy with an 11.9% K-rate this season, and their quality of contact is probably the path of least resistance. Atlanta can be played in all formats. In MME, we should go overweight and play everyone. We should be pretty conscious of leverage in that we should have lower-owned pieces in our stack and pair them with lower-owned teams.
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