MLB DFS Top Stacks: Tuesday, August 27th
MLB DFS is complex. Most articles are about the individual players most likely to succeed, but the MLB DFS picks most likely to succeed aren’t always the MLB DFS picks we should be most likely to play. With some help from our Top Stacks tool, we will aim to look more at the process instead of just the picks and the teams instead of just the players. We’ll still analyze the MLB player projections that are available in our MLB optimizer, LineupHQ. However, we’ll be more focused on collective ownership, optimal scores, and matchups of full stacks within the context of game selection and leverage.
It is hot and humid around the country. WeatherEdge is blowing up with high home run boosts on top of a good amount of pitchers who struggle to keep the ball in the ballpark and/or log strikeouts. This should be a very high-scoring slate, so be careful not to cap your own upside with too much chalk or targeting stacks that aren’t likely to score a lot of runs through homers.
All stats cited are since the start of the 2024 season unless otherwise noted.
Editor’s Note: Looking for more places to play? Check out our PrizePicks promo code and Underdog Fantasy promo code, two of the best DFS apps available today.
MLB DFS Picks: Top Stacks for Tuesday, August 27th
COORS STACKS
Rockies vs. Roddery Munoz
Marlins at Cal Quantrill
The chalk probably lies here with the Rockies facing the worst pitcher on the slate in Coors Field, but they likely won’t be as owned as the Marlins because the field underrates the power prevention of Cal Quantrill, and the Marlins are cheaper.
Roddery Munoz has the worst xERA (6.57), HR/9 (2.55), and barrel rate allowed (13.1%) on the slate, so we should look for how to spend the money on the Rockies, starting with these high barrel rates against righties:
Michael Toglia, 17.4%
Ryan McMahon, 13.1%
Brenton Doyle, 11.5%
Nolan Jones has been bad this season, but Munoz is the chicken soup that could soothe the soul, as Jones possesses great raw power. After those four, we can play whomever we want to complete a full stack.
The Rockies will be highly owned, but we have them, the Marlins, the Rangers, the Red Sox, and the Blue Jays all in the 9-11% pOWN% range, so it’s entirely possible that Coors goes under-owned on this slate. In single entry and smaller fields, we should expect the Rockies and Marlins to run away from the pack a bit, but only in the 15-20% range, so we’re not talking about mega-chalk.
I’m not high on the Marlins for the ownership. Quantrill only surrenders a 6.9% barrel rate. Sure, there’s a full stack in the big power of Jesus Sanchez, Connor Norby, Jake Burger, Kyle Stowers, with punting to Nick Fortes at catcher or jamming in Jonah Bride, but I like Miami more as an MME mini stack than as a full stack in all formats. We’re really just targeting the terrible Rockies bullpen with a full stack. Something that isn’t stupid at all. But for the ownership, I’d rather play the Rockies or get some leverage and save more money with teams that we’ll discuss later in this space.
Both the Rockies and Marlins are viable in all formats, but — again — there’s so much hot weather on this slate and other teams I’d prefer to full stack with better power matchups that I can relegate Miami to MME only.
TOP STACK
Want to read more? Sign up for Premium!
