MLB DFS Top Stacks: Tuesday, September 10th
MLB DFS is complex. Most articles are about the individual players most likely to succeed, but the MLB DFS picks most likely to succeed aren’t always the MLB DFS picks we should be most likely to play. With some help from our Top Stacks tool, we will aim to look more at the process instead of just the picks and the teams instead of just the players. We’ll still analyze the MLB player projections that are available in our MLB optimizer, LineupHQ. However, we’ll be more focused on collective ownership, optimal scores, and matchups of full stacks within the context of game selection and leverage.
We have another huge slate on our hands. Tuesday’s main features 11 games on both sites. Our Top Stacks Tool currently projects no team to carry double-digit pOWN%. With no Chris Sale-priced tier of pitching, you can pretty much get away with stacking whoever you want. Let’s dive into it.
All stats cited are since the start of the 2024 season unless otherwise noted.
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MLB DFS Picks: Top Stacks for Tuesday, September 10th
OPTO STACK
Guardians at Jonathan Cannon
Cannon has profiled as an average to below-average MLB pitcher, with a 4.68 xERA this season. But he’s really, really struggled against lefties. He’s striking out just 14% of hitters while allowing a ..225 ISO and .367 wOBA and a 10% barrel rate to lefties.
RotoGrinders currently projects the Guardians to roll out EIGHT lefties against him, and six of those hitters have struck out less than 17% of the time vs. RHP this year. Ball in play = opportunity, and you can’t ask for much more than that. Cleveland ranks just 19th in wRC vs. RHP this year, but Cannon is an underwhelming pitcher, and this Guardians offense now has Lane Thomas and Kyle Manzardo.
Thomas hasn’t been great since he was traded to Cleveland, but he’s shown some extra-base pop over the last 2 weeks. Manzardo has been pretty darn good since he’s been back up with the club, and he’s super affordable on both sites. Josh Naylor and Jose Ramirez are set up as awesome lefty bats. And once Cannon exits, the Guardians will square off against a bullpen that has the 2nd-worst ERA and has given up the 2nd-most home runs in the league.
This is such a massive 11-game slate, so pOWN% should be pretty spread out. While it looks like Cleveland will be one of the more “popular” teams, our Top Stacks Tool still has every single stack at less than 10% and also has the Guardians with the highest Opto% on both sites, and it’s easy to understand why. The Guardians own the highest implied run total on the main slate.
PIVOT STACK
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