MLB Grind Down: Monday, July 6th - Page Three
NY Mets at San Francisco – 10:15 PM EST
| NY Mets | San Francisco | ||||||||
 | Jon Niese |  | Chris Heston | ||||||
| LEFT | RIGHT | ||||||||
| Vegas Moneyline | Vegas Over/Under | ||||||||
| SFG (-142) | 7 | ||||||||
| Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% | Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP vs. Left | 0.253 | 0.678 | 0.298 | 0.181 | SP vs. Left | 0.299 | 0.825 | 0.36 | 0.13 |
| SP vs. Right | 0.273 | 0.765 | 0.337 | 0.165 | SP vs. Right | 0.22 | 0.59 | 0.264 | 0.249 |
| Batter Splits | NYM BvP | NYM vs R | Batter Splits | SF vs L | |||||
| Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window | |||||||||
Pitcher Grind Down
Jon Niese : FD: $7,400 — DK: $7,200
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 277.2 — SIERA: 3.90 — K%: 16.9% — BB%: 6.4% — FB Rate: 27.8% — HR/FB: 11.1%
Last 30 Days: IP: 33.0 — SIERA: 4.07 — K%: 18.8% — BB%: 10.1% — FB Rate: 23.1% — HR/FB: 9.5%
San Francisco Giants Offense (2015)
vs. LH Pitching: wOBA: 0.308 (Rank: 15) — Strikeout Rate: 19.5% (Rank: 8)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.333 (Rank: 8) — Strikeout Rate: 21.1% (Rank: 20)
Pitchers per PA: 3.73 (Rank: 25)
Analysis: Niese has pitched fairly well recently, posting a 4.07 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 18.8% over the last month. The Giants may not lead the league in wOBA against left-handed pitching, but they can certainly hold their own. They are a team that puts the ball in play and they currently have the eighth-lowest strikeout rate (19.5%) against left-handed pitching. The upside is very limited for Niese tonight.
Pitcher Rating:50.0
Chris Heston : FD: $7,300 — DK: $6,300
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 103.0 — SIERA: 3.44 — K%: 19.6% — BB%: 6.8% — FB Rate: 21.6% — HR/FB: 9.1%
Last 30 Days: IP: 32.2 — SIERA: 3.16 — K%: 20.0% — BB%: 6.4% — FB Rate: 17.4% — HR/FB: 0.0%
New York Mets Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.284 (Rank: 29) — Strikeout Rate: 20.6% (Rank: 23)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.230 (Rank: 30) — Strikeout Rate: 22.7% (Rank: 25)
Pitchers per PA: 3.86 (Rank: 8)
Analysis: The last time Heston faced the Mets, he threw a perfect game with 11 strikeouts. Everyone is going to know that and his ownership level is going to be through the roof tonight. I’m not as high on him as most though. He hasn’t been very sharp in his last four starts and dominating the same offense in two straight outings is extremely difficult. He’s the best value pitcher on the board, but don’t expect a repeat performance out of him tonight.
Pitcher Rating:71.1
Batter Grind Down
NY Mets
The Mets were finally able to score some runs in a win over the Dodgers yesterday. They will look for a much better outing against a pitcher (Chris Heston) that recently had a perfect game against them. If you are targeting any Mets’ hitters tonight, target the ones that can hit from the left side of the plate. Heston has given up a .360 wOBA to left-handed hitters.
Elite Plays
NONE
Secondary Plays:
Curtis Granderson : FD: $3,100 — DK: $3,900
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 760 — wOBA: 0.339 — ISO: 0.174 — wRC+: 120
Last 14 Days: PA: 57 — wOBA: 0.444 — ISO: 0.320 — wRC+: 193
Daniel Murphy : FD: $2,900 — DK: $3,300
Position Eligibility: FD: 3B — DK: 2B/3B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 666 — wOBA: 0.332 — ISO: 0.130 — wRC+: 116
Last 14 Days: PA: 27 — wOBA: 0.329 — ISO: 0.080 — wRC+: 113
San Francisco
The Giants draw a favorable matchup tonight against Jon Niese at home. Since the start of the 2014 season, Niese has given up a .337 wOBA to right-handed hitters. Buster Posey is the preferred target here, but Matt Duffy and Andrew Susac are also worth a look.
Elite Plays
Buster Posey : FD: $4,600 — DK: $4,500
Position Eligibility: FD: C — DK: 1B/C
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 248 — wOBA: 0.368 — ISO: 0.205 — wRC+: 142
Last 14 Days: PA: 48 — wOBA: 0.481 — ISO: 0.372 — wRC+: 219
Secondary Plays:
Matt Duffy : FD: $3,400 — DK: $3,500
Position Eligibility: FD: 3B — DK: 2B/3B
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 98 — wOBA: 0.310 — ISO: 0.109 — wRC+: 102
Last 14 Days: PA: 48 — wOBA: 0.385 — ISO: 0.298 — wRC+: 154
Andrew Susac : FD: $2,600 — DK: $2,700
Position Eligibility: FD: C — DK: C
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 75 — wOBA: 0.421 — ISO: 0.200 — wRC+: 178
Last 14 Days: PA: 29 — wOBA: 0.301 — ISO: 0.250 — wRC+: 96