MLB Pitching Primer: Wednesday, April 25th
Everything in the sport of baseball comes down to the hitter-versus-pitcher matchup – which makes pitching the most important element of MLB DFS play. Without an understanding of the best pitching plays on the day, your DFS efforts will be sunk! Each day, the Pitching Primer will provide you with some of the top pitching plays on the day – taking a close look at the “why” behind these picks, and helping you to identify pitchers others might overlook.
Wednesday, April 25th
MAIN SLATE
Arms To Trust
Clayton Kershaw vs. Miami Marlins
Pitching is pretty straightforward on the main slate considering we have Kershaw against the Marlins. I think we should start out with the Vegas numbers right off the bat to see how ridiculous they look. Kershaw is currently a -340 favorite (next closest is Taillon at -200), and the Marlins have an implied run total of 2.4 (next closest is Taillon’s opponent, the Tigers, at 3.1).
So yeah, I’d say Kershaw is in a decent spot tonight. Sure, the strikeouts are on the decline, but he is still elite at everything else. For instance, his BB% is currently sitting at a silly 2.3% right now. The groundballs are still there (48.3% GB%), and the Hard% (27.2%) is sitting right where it was last season (27.4%).
We know the Marlins project to be a terrible offense against lefties this season.
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